Price Snapshot
Current Market
$2702.54
MSRP
$143.64
Spread: +$2558.90 (1781%) above MSRP
Buy on TCGPlayer →Evolving Skies Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $2329.58.
36 packs produce $372.96 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−86%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $2702.54.
Expected Loss
−$2329.58
The average opening result after paying $2702.54 sealed.
Open Average
$372.96
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$238.69
Expected range $0.00-$29.42 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $10.36
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$10.36 × 36 packs = $372.96
This product contains 36 booster packs.
$372.96 = $372.96
No promo value applied for this product.
$372.96 × 0.64 = $238.69
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $372.96 ÷ $2702.54 = 13.8% • Cash-out: $238.69 ÷ $2702.54 = 8.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $10.36 EV per pack for this 36-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/36pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 71 | $37.04 | 19.00% | $7.04 | $253.44 | 68.0% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 34 | $134.80 | 2.40% | $3.24 | $116.64 | 31.3% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 20 | $0.34 | 22.00% | $0.08 | $2.88 | 0.8% |
| Total | $10.36 | $372.96 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Evolving Skies, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#215/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$2005.20
+$51.12 EV
Dragonite V (Alternate Full Art)
#192/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$478.51
+$46.08 EV
Rayquaza V (Alternate Full Art)
#194/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$389.69
+$37.44 EV
Umbreon V (Alternate Full Art)
#189/203 · UR
1 in 374 packs
$366.69
+$35.28 EV
Rayquaza VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#218/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$982.89
+$24.84 EV
Sylveon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#212/203 · SR
1 in 1417 packs
$377.70
+$9.72 EV
Salamence
#109/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.58
+$0.36 EV
Raichu
#050/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.47
+$0.36 EV
Galarian Zapdos
#082/203 · H
1 in 91 packs
$0.42
+$0.00 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/evolving-skies-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $143.64. Current sealed price ($2702.54) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($2702.54) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evolving Skies Booster Box | $2702.54 | $372.96 | −86% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies ETB | $678.25 | $83.88 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies PC ETB | $1302.27 | $105.60 | −92% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies 3 Pack Blister | $193.52 | $31.58 | −84% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Build & Battle Box | $294.92 | $78.86 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster | $285.44 | $10.36 | −96% | KEEP SEALED |
| Evolving Skies Booster Pack | $45.69 | $10.36 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Booster Box | Chaos Rising | $238.96 | $132.84 | −44% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Box | Perfect Order | $227.93 | $97.20 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Battle Styles Booster Box | Battle Styles | $272.88 | $107.28 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Booster Box | Temporal Forces | $332.86 | $127.80 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | Scarlet & Violet | $302.46 | $100.08 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box | Phantasmal Flames | $443.72 | $144.72 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | Stellar Crown | $337.01 | $108.72 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | Paldea Evolved | $503.62 | $156.96 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |