Champion's Path ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $210.28.
10 packs plus $12.26 in promo value produce $34.06 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−86%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $244.34.
Expected Loss
−$210.28
The average opening result after paying $244.34 sealed.
Open Average
$34.06
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$21.80
Expected range $0.00-$4.76 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.18
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 500 pack openings.
$2.18 × 10 packs = $21.80
This product contains 10 booster packs.
$21.80 + $12.26 promos = $34.06
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$34.06 × 0.64 = $21.80
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $34.06 ÷ $244.34 = 13.9% • Cash-out: $21.80 ÷ $244.34 = 8.9%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.18 EV per pack for this 10-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/10pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare(SR) | 7 | $70.10 | 2.50% | $1.75 | $17.50 | 80.3% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 19 | $2.02 | 18.00% | $0.36 | $3.60 | 16.5% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 10 | $0.19 | 35.00% | $0.07 | $0.70 | 3.2% |
| Total | $2.18 | $21.80 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Champion's Path, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Charizard V (Secret)
#79/73 · SR
1 in 280 packs
$268.36
+$9.60 EV
Charizard VMAX (Secret)
#74/73 · SR
1 in 280 packs
$190.38
+$6.80 EV
Alcremie VMAX
#23/73 · UR
1 in 106 packs
$5.82
+$0.60 EV
Gardevoir VMAX (Secret)
#76/73 · SR
1 in 280 packs
$15.57
+$0.60 EV
Gardevoir V (Full Art)
#70/73 · UR
1 in 106 packs
$3.92
+$0.40 EV
Gardevoir VMAX
#17/73 · UR
1 in 106 packs
$3.79
+$0.40 EV
Marnie
#56/73 · H
1 in 29 packs
$0.42
+$0.10 EV
Zygarde
#28/73 · H
1 in 29 packs
$0.27
+$0.10 EV
Galarian Obstagoon
#37/73 · H
1 in 29 packs
$0.22
+$0.10 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 500 pack openings (https://www.pokebeach.com/2020/09/full-champions-path-set-list-shiny-charizard-v-rainbow-rare-charizard-vmax, https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-tcg/champions-path). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($244.34) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($244.34) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($12.26) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champion's Path ETB | $244.34 | $34.06 | −86% | KEEP SEALED |
| Champion's Path Pin Collection | $52.75 | $7.04 | −87% | KEEP SEALED |
| Champion's Path Special Pin Collection | $165.63 | $11.90 | −93% | KEEP SEALED |
| Champion's Path Collection | $56.63 | $9.72 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| Champion's Path Premium Collection | $125.79 | $18.26 | −85% | KEEP SEALED |
| Champion's Path Booster Pack | $18.55 | $2.18 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $299.90 | $154.30 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $706.33 | $360.43 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising ETB | Chaos Rising | $82.24 | $39.97 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $169.35 | $78.64 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $172.95 | $73.73 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $277.36 | $116.21 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $165.91 | $68.14 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together PC ETB | Journey Together | $208.09 | $85.17 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |