Rip or Flip
Champion's Path Booster Pack

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$18.55

MSRP

$4.49

Spread: +$14.06 (313%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDChampion's Path1 pack

Champion's Path Booster Pack

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $16.37.

1 packs produce $2.18 of average market value at current prices.

Return vs Market

−88%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $18.55.

Expected Loss

−$16.37

The average opening result after paying $18.55 sealed.

Open Average

$2.18

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$1.40

Expected range $0.00-$4.76 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Low confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $2.18

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 500 pack openings.

02

$2.18 × 1 packs = $2.18

This product contains 1 booster pack.

03

$2.18 = $2.18

No promo value applied for this product.

04

$2.18 × 0.64 = $1.40

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $2.18 ÷ $18.55 = 11.8%Cash-out: $1.40 ÷ $18.55 = 7.5%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.18 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/1pk% of Total
Secret Rare(SR)7$70.102.50%$1.75$1.7580.3%
Ultra Rare(UR)19$2.0218.00%$0.36$0.3616.5%
Holo Rare(H)10$0.1935.00%$0.07$0.073.2%
Total$2.18$2.18100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Champion's Path, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 500 pack openings (https://www.pokebeach.com/2020/09/full-champions-path-set-list-shiny-charizard-v-rainbow-rare-charizard-vmax, https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-tcg/champions-path). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($18.55) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($18.55) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Champion's Path ETB$244.34$34.06−86%KEEP SEALED
Champion's Path Pin Collection$52.75$7.04−87%KEEP SEALED
Champion's Path Special Pin Collection$165.63$11.90−93%KEEP SEALED
Champion's Path Collection$56.63$9.72−83%KEEP SEALED
Champion's Path Premium Collection$125.79$18.26−85%KEEP SEALED
Champion's Path Booster Pack$18.55$2.18−88%KEEP SEALED

Compare Packs Across Sets

See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.

PackSetPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Flygon LineChaos Rising$20.20$11.57−43%KEEP SEALED
Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Pawmot LineChaos Rising$21.66$11.57−47%KEEP SEALED
Chaos Rising Booster PackChaos Rising$6.97$3.69−47%KEEP SEALED
Chaos Rising Sleeved BoosterChaos Rising$7.79$3.69−53%KEEP SEALED
Ascended Heroes Booster PackAscended Heroes$16.13$7.62−53%KEEP SEALED
Chaos Rising 3 Pack BlisterChaos Rising$25.91$11.57−55%KEEP SEALED
Perfect Order Booster PackPerfect Order$6.26$2.70−57%KEEP SEALED
Perfect Order Sleeved BoosterPerfect Order$6.40$2.70−58%KEEP SEALED
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