Champion's Path Booster Pack
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $16.37.
1 packs produce $2.18 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−88%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $18.55.
Expected Loss
−$16.37
The average opening result after paying $18.55 sealed.
Open Average
$2.18
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$1.40
Expected range $0.00-$4.76 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.18
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 500 pack openings.
$2.18 × 1 packs = $2.18
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$2.18 = $2.18
No promo value applied for this product.
$2.18 × 0.64 = $1.40
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $2.18 ÷ $18.55 = 11.8% • Cash-out: $1.40 ÷ $18.55 = 7.5%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.18 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare(SR) | 7 | $70.10 | 2.50% | $1.75 | $1.75 | 80.3% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 19 | $2.02 | 18.00% | $0.36 | $0.36 | 16.5% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 10 | $0.19 | 35.00% | $0.07 | $0.07 | 3.2% |
| Total | $2.18 | $2.18 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Champion's Path, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Charizard V (Secret)
#79/73 · SR
1 in 280 packs
$268.36
+$0.96 EV
Charizard VMAX (Secret)
#74/73 · SR
1 in 280 packs
$190.38
+$0.68 EV
Alcremie VMAX
#23/73 · UR
1 in 106 packs
$5.82
+$0.06 EV
Gardevoir VMAX (Secret)
#76/73 · SR
1 in 280 packs
$15.57
+$0.06 EV
Gardevoir V (Full Art)
#70/73 · UR
1 in 106 packs
$3.92
+$0.04 EV
Gardevoir VMAX
#17/73 · UR
1 in 106 packs
$3.79
+$0.04 EV
Marnie
#56/73 · H
1 in 29 packs
$0.42
+$0.01 EV
Zygarde
#28/73 · H
1 in 29 packs
$0.27
+$0.01 EV
Galarian Obstagoon
#37/73 · H
1 in 29 packs
$0.22
+$0.01 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 500 pack openings (https://www.pokebeach.com/2020/09/full-champions-path-set-list-shiny-charizard-v-rainbow-rare-charizard-vmax, https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-tcg/champions-path). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($18.55) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($18.55) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champion's Path ETB | $244.34 | $34.06 | −86% | KEEP SEALED |
| Champion's Path Pin Collection | $52.75 | $7.04 | −87% | KEEP SEALED |
| Champion's Path Special Pin Collection | $165.63 | $11.90 | −93% | KEEP SEALED |
| Champion's Path Collection | $56.63 | $9.72 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| Champion's Path Premium Collection | $125.79 | $18.26 | −85% | KEEP SEALED |
| Champion's Path Booster Pack | $18.55 | $2.18 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Flygon Line | Chaos Rising | $20.20 | $11.57 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Pawmot Line | Chaos Rising | $21.66 | $11.57 | −47% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Booster Pack | Chaos Rising | $6.97 | $3.69 | −47% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster | Chaos Rising | $7.79 | $3.69 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $16.13 | $7.62 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising 3 Pack Blister | Chaos Rising | $25.91 | $11.57 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Pack | Perfect Order | $6.26 | $2.70 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Sleeved Booster | Perfect Order | $6.40 | $2.70 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |