Twilight Masquerade Sleeved Booster
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $6.49.
1 packs produce $3.11 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−68%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $9.60.
Expected Loss
−$6.49
The average opening result after paying $9.60 sealed.
Open Average
$3.11
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$1.99
Expected range $0.91-$5.31 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.11
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$3.11 × 1 packs = $3.11
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$3.11 = $3.11
No promo value applied for this product.
$3.11 × 0.64 = $1.99
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $3.11 ÷ $9.60 = 32.4% • Cash-out: $1.99 ÷ $9.60 = 20.7%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.11 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 21 | $17.02 | 7.70% | $1.31 | $1.31 | 42.1% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 11 | $77.96 | 1.20% | $0.94 | $0.94 | 30.2% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 21 | $4.75 | 6.60% | $0.31 | $0.31 | 10.0% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 14 | $1.48 | 16.90% | $0.25 | $0.25 | 8.0% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $4.91 | 5.10% | $0.25 | $0.25 | 8.0% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $8.06 | 0.68% | $0.05 | $0.05 | 1.6% |
| Total | $3.11 | $3.11 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Twilight Masquerade, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Greninja ex - 214/167
#214/167 · SIR
1 in 917 packs
$379.78
+$0.41 EV
Eevee - 188/167
#188/167 · IR
1 in 273 packs
$96.15
+$0.35 EV
Chansey - 187/167
#187/167 · IR
1 in 273 packs
$65.44
+$0.24 EV
Perrin - 220/167
#220/167 · SIR
1 in 917 packs
$183.35
+$0.20 EV
Unfair Stamp
#165/167 · ACE
1 in 118 packs
$15.33
+$0.13 EV
Hisuian Growlithe - 181/167
#181/167 · IR
1 in 273 packs
$33.68
+$0.12 EV
Carmine - 217/167
#217/167 · SIR
1 in 917 packs
$75.51
+$0.08 EV
Greninja ex - 106/167
#106/167 · RR
1 in 83 packs
$6.12
+$0.07 EV
Secret Box
#163/167 · ACE
1 in 118 packs
$8.67
+$0.07 EV
Teal Mask Ogerpon ex - 025/167
#025/167 · RR
1 in 83 packs
$4.78
+$0.06 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Twilight-Masquerade-Pull-Rates, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/18/twilight-masquerade-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($9.60) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($9.60) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twilight Masquerade Booster Box | $368.11 | $111.96 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Twilight Masquerade ETB | $110.64 | $29.61 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Twilight Masquerade PC ETB | $181.55 | $59.58 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Twilight Masquerade Booster Bundle | $70.90 | $18.66 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Twilight Masquerade 3 Pack Blister | $36.41 | $9.83 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Twilight Masquerade Single Pack Blister | $11.13 | $3.36 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Twilight Masquerade Build & Battle Box | $57.98 | $14.94 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Twilight Masquerade Sleeved Booster | $9.60 | $3.11 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Twilight Masquerade Art Bundle | $37.37 | $12.44 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Twilight Masquerade Booster Pack | $8.20 | $3.11 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Flygon Line | Chaos Rising | $20.21 | $11.78 | −42% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Pawmot Line | Chaos Rising | $20.95 | $11.78 | −44% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $14.27 | $7.67 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Booster Pack | Chaos Rising | $7.32 | $3.76 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster | Chaos Rising | $7.82 | $3.76 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Pack | Black Bolt | $13.55 | $6.10 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising 3 Pack Blister | Chaos Rising | $26.55 | $11.78 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Pack | Perfect Order | $6.14 | $2.69 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |