Don't rip Twilight Masquerade right now.
Keep it sealed.
Even the best product loses $52.21 on average.
If you must open something: Twilight Masquerade ETB loses the least at −$52.21.
All 8 Products
Twilight Masquerade ETB
9 packs
−$52.21
−72% return
$72.83 sealed → $20.62 EV
See full breakdown →
Twilight Masquerade Booster Pack
1 pack
−$5.67
−72% return
$7.85 sealed → $2.18 EV
See full breakdown →
Twilight Masquerade Booster Box
36 packs
−$239.58
−75% return
$318.06 sealed → $78.48 EV
See full breakdown →
Twilight Masquerade Booster Bundle
6 packs
−$41.30
−76% return
$54.38 sealed → $13.08 EV
See full breakdown →
Twilight Masquerade Single Pack Blister
1 pack
−$8.29
−77% return
$10.72 sealed → $2.43 EV
See full breakdown →
Twilight Masquerade 3 Pack Blister
3 packs
−$24.32
−78% return
$31.36 sealed → $7.04 EV
See full breakdown →
Twilight Masquerade Build & Battle Box
4 packs
−$35.79
−79% return
$45.51 sealed → $9.72 EV
See full breakdown →
Twilight Masquerade PC ETB
11 packs
−$119.45
−82% return
$145.43 sealed → $25.98 EV
See full breakdown →
Chase Cards — What could you pull?
Greninja ex - 214/167
#214/167
Special Illustration Rare$281.31
EV: $0.31
Eevee - 188/167
#188/167
Illustration Rare$65.80
EV: $0.24
Chansey - 187/167
#187/167
Illustration Rare$33.26
EV: $0.12
Perrin - 220/167
#220/167
Special Illustration Rare$108.19
EV: $0.12
Secret Box
#163/167
ACE SPEC Rare$13.33
EV: $0.11
Unfair Stamp
#165/167
ACE SPEC Rare$11.03
EV: $0.09
Tatsugiri - 186/167
#186/167
Illustration Rare$20.63
EV: $0.08
Hisuian Growlithe - 181/167
#181/167
Illustration Rare$18.80
EV: $0.07
Carmine - 217/167
#217/167
Special Illustration Rare$56.87
EV: $0.06
Bloodmoon Ursaluna ex - 216/167
#216/167
Special Illustration Rare$37.32
EV: $0.04
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 21 | $10.90 | 7.70% | $0.84 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 11 | $55.61 | 1.20% | $0.67 |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $4.55 | 5.10% | $0.23 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 21 | $3.35 | 6.60% | $0.22 |
| Double Rare(RR) | 14 | $0.98 | 16.90% | $0.17 |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $7.09 | 0.68% | $0.05 |
| Total EV / Pack | $2.18 | |||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare(RR) | 16.90% | 1 in 6 | 8,000 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 7.70% | 1 in 13 | 8,000 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 6.60% | 1 in 15 | 8,000 |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 5.10% | 1 in 20 | 8,000 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 1.20% | 1 in 83 | 8,000 |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 0.68% | 1 in 147 | 8,000 |
Sources: https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Twilight-Masquerade-Pull-Rates, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/18/twilight-masquerade-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Twilight Masquerade worth opening?
- At current market prices, Twilight Masquerade ETB loses $52.21 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Twilight Masquerade booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Twilight Masquerade booster pack is $2.18 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What are the best cards to pull in Twilight Masquerade?
- The most valuable cards in Twilight Masquerade are Greninja ex - 214/167 ($281.31), Eevee - 188/167 ($65.80), Chansey - 187/167 ($33.26).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Twilight Masquerade?
- Pull rates are based on 8,000 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
As of February 2026, Twilight Masquerade products lose an average of $65.83 (−76%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 8,000+ pack openings.