Stellar Crown ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $127.63.
9 packs plus $4.25 in promo value produce $31.43 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−80%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $159.06.
Expected Loss
−$127.63
The average opening result after paying $159.06 sealed.
Open Average
$31.43
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$20.12
Expected range $0.00-$6.37 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.02
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$3.02 × 9 packs = $27.18
This product contains 9 booster packs.
$27.18 + $4.25 promos = $31.43
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$31.43 × 0.64 = $20.12
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $31.43 ÷ $159.06 = 19.8% • Cash-out: $20.12 ÷ $159.06 = 12.7%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.02 EV per pack for this 9-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/9pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 13 | $26.43 | 7.80% | $2.06 | $18.54 | 68.2% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 6 | $39.38 | 1.10% | $0.43 | $3.87 | 14.2% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 11 | $3.74 | 6.80% | $0.25 | $2.25 | 8.3% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 14 | $1.09 | 16.90% | $0.18 | $1.62 | 6.0% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $10.57 | 0.73% | $0.08 | $0.72 | 2.6% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 3 | $0.41 | 5.00% | $0.02 | $0.18 | 0.7% |
| Total | $3.02 | $27.18 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Stellar Crown, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Bulbasaur
#143/142 · IR
1 in 167 packs
$128.40
+$6.93 EV
Squirtle
#148/142 · IR
1 in 167 packs
$123.55
+$6.66 EV
Dachsbun ex - 169/142
#169/142 · SIR
1 in 545 packs
$83.67
+$1.35 EV
Terapagos ex - 170/142
#170/142 · SIR
1 in 545 packs
$66.96
+$1.08 EV
Milcery - 152/142
#152/142 · IR
1 in 167 packs
$19.00
+$0.99 EV
Crispin - 164/142
#164/142 · UR
1 in 162 packs
$15.10
+$0.81 EV
Hydrapple ex - 167/142
#167/142 · SIR
1 in 545 packs
$34.05
+$0.54 EV
Lapras ex - 158/142
#158/142 · UR
1 in 162 packs
$5.99
+$0.36 EV
Blastoise ex
#030/142 · RR
1 in 83 packs
$2.77
+$0.27 EV
Dachsbun ex - 160/142
#160/142 · UR
1 in 162 packs
$4.08
+$0.27 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Stellar-Crown-Pull-Rates). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($159.06) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($159.06) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($4.25) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | $337.01 | $108.72 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown ETB | $159.06 | $31.43 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | $172.95 | $73.73 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Bundle | $69.78 | $18.12 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown 3 Pack Blister | $31.56 | $9.56 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Single Pack Blister | $11.93 | $3.27 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Build & Battle Box | $43.27 | $18.58 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Sleeved Booster | $612.66 | $3.02 | −100% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Art Bundle | $38.58 | $12.08 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Pack | $9.16 | $3.02 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $299.90 | $154.30 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $706.33 | $360.43 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising ETB | Chaos Rising | $82.24 | $39.97 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $169.35 | $78.64 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $277.36 | $116.21 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $165.91 | $68.14 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together PC ETB | Journey Together | $208.09 | $85.17 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved PC ETB | Paldea Evolved | $564.05 | $227.94 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |