Stellar Crown Build & Battle Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $24.69.
4 packs plus $6.50 in promo value produce $18.58 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−57%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $43.27.
Expected Loss
−$24.69
The average opening result after paying $43.27 sealed.
Open Average
$18.58
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$11.89
Expected range $0.00-$6.37 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.02
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$3.02 × 4 packs = $12.08
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$12.08 + $6.50 promos = $18.58
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$18.58 × 0.64 = $11.89
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $18.58 ÷ $43.27 = 42.9% • Cash-out: $11.89 ÷ $43.27 = 27.5%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.02 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 13 | $26.43 | 7.80% | $2.06 | $8.24 | 68.2% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 6 | $39.38 | 1.10% | $0.43 | $1.72 | 14.2% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 11 | $3.74 | 6.80% | $0.25 | $1.00 | 8.3% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 14 | $1.09 | 16.90% | $0.18 | $0.72 | 6.0% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $10.57 | 0.73% | $0.08 | $0.32 | 2.6% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 3 | $0.41 | 5.00% | $0.02 | $0.08 | 0.7% |
| Total | $3.02 | $12.08 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Stellar Crown, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Bulbasaur
#143/142 · IR
1 in 167 packs
$128.40
+$3.08 EV
Squirtle
#148/142 · IR
1 in 167 packs
$123.55
+$2.96 EV
Dachsbun ex - 169/142
#169/142 · SIR
1 in 545 packs
$83.67
+$0.60 EV
Terapagos ex - 170/142
#170/142 · SIR
1 in 545 packs
$66.96
+$0.48 EV
Milcery - 152/142
#152/142 · IR
1 in 167 packs
$19.00
+$0.44 EV
Crispin - 164/142
#164/142 · UR
1 in 162 packs
$15.10
+$0.36 EV
Hydrapple ex - 167/142
#167/142 · SIR
1 in 545 packs
$34.05
+$0.24 EV
Lapras ex - 158/142
#158/142 · UR
1 in 162 packs
$5.99
+$0.16 EV
Blastoise ex
#030/142 · RR
1 in 83 packs
$2.77
+$0.12 EV
Dachsbun ex - 160/142
#160/142 · UR
1 in 162 packs
$4.08
+$0.12 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Stellar-Crown-Pull-Rates). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $21.99. Current sealed price ($43.27) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($43.27) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($6.50) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | $337.01 | $108.72 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown ETB | $159.06 | $31.43 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | $172.95 | $73.73 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Bundle | $69.78 | $18.12 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown 3 Pack Blister | $31.56 | $9.56 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Single Pack Blister | $11.93 | $3.27 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Build & Battle Box | $43.27 | $18.58 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Sleeved Booster | $612.66 | $3.02 | −100% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Art Bundle | $38.58 | $12.08 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Pack | $9.16 | $3.02 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $53.41 | $45.74 | −14% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $41.59 | $23.65 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $41.67 | $22.98 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $30.19 | $16.24 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $32.09 | $16.24 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Build & Battle Box | Silver Tempest | $49.94 | $24.54 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | Black Bolt | $37.60 | $18.27 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Heavy Hitters Premium Collection | Black Bolt | $144.57 | $69.66 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |