Stellar Crown Build & Battle Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $24.15.
4 packs plus $5.92 in promo value produce $15.84 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−60%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $39.99.
Expected Loss
−$24.15
The average opening result after paying $39.99 sealed.
Open Average
$15.84
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$10.14
Expected range $0.00-$5.30 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.48
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.48 × 4 packs = $9.92
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$9.92 + $5.92 promos = $15.84
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$15.84 × 0.64 = $10.14
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $15.84 ÷ $39.99 = 39.6% • Cash-out: $10.14 ÷ $39.99 = 25.4%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.48 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 13 | $21.74 | 7.80% | $1.70 | $6.80 | 68.5% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 6 | $27.83 | 1.10% | $0.31 | $1.24 | 12.5% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 11 | $3.35 | 6.80% | $0.23 | $0.92 | 9.3% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 14 | $0.94 | 16.90% | $0.16 | $0.64 | 6.5% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $8.85 | 0.73% | $0.06 | $0.24 | 2.4% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 3 | $0.42 | 5.00% | $0.02 | $0.08 | 0.8% |
| Total | $2.48 | $9.92 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Stellar Crown, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Squirtle
#148/142 · IR
1 in 167 packs
$109.24
+$2.64 EV
Bulbasaur
#143/142 · IR
1 in 167 packs
$102.08
+$2.44 EV
Dachsbun ex - 169/142
#169/142 · SIR
1 in 545 packs
$62.59
+$0.44 EV
Crispin - 164/142
#164/142 · UR
1 in 162 packs
$14.44
+$0.36 EV
Milcery - 152/142
#152/142 · IR
1 in 167 packs
$12.92
+$0.32 EV
Terapagos ex - 170/142
#170/142 · SIR
1 in 545 packs
$33.64
+$0.24 EV
Hydrapple ex - 167/142
#167/142 · SIR
1 in 545 packs
$21.89
+$0.16 EV
Lapras ex - 158/142
#158/142 · UR
1 in 162 packs
$5.41
+$0.12 EV
Terapagos ex - 173/142
#173/142 · HR
1 in 411 packs
$11.16
+$0.12 EV
Blastoise ex
#030/142 · RR
1 in 83 packs
$2.02
+$0.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Stellar-Crown-Pull-Rates). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $21.99. Current sealed price ($39.99) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($39.99) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($5.92) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | $308.27 | $89.28 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown ETB | $120.56 | $26.25 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | $158.04 | $65.50 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Bundle | $55.22 | $14.88 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown 3 Pack Blister | $28.87 | $7.94 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Single Pack Blister | $11.20 | $2.73 | −76% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Build & Battle Box | $39.99 | $15.84 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Sleeved Booster | $632.62 | $2.48 | −100% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Art Bundle | $35.06 | $9.92 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Pack | $8.86 | $2.48 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $52.16 | $43.19 | −17% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $23.04 | $14.88 | −35% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $23.31 | $14.88 | −36% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $37.39 | $20.65 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $38.58 | $20.22 | −48% | KEEP SEALED |
| Prismatic Evolutions Surprise Box | Prismatic Evolutions | $54.13 | $26.34 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box | Phantasmal Flames | $56.24 | $27.31 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Victini Illustration Collection | Black Bolt | $51.69 | $25.00 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |