151 Sam's Club Mini Tins Bundle
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $137.24.
8 packs plus $2.00 in promo value produce $88.32 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−61%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $225.56.
Expected Loss
−$137.24
The average opening result after paying $225.56 sealed.
Open Average
$88.32
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$56.52
Expected range $5.60-$15.98 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $10.79
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,500 pack openings.
$10.79 × 8 packs = $86.32
This product contains 8 booster packs.
$86.32 + $2.00 promos = $88.32
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$88.32 × 0.64 = $56.52
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $88.32 ÷ $225.56 = 39.2% • Cash-out: $56.52 ÷ $225.56 = 25.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $10.79 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/8pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 16 | $59.04 | 7.70% | $4.55 | $36.40 | 42.2% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $138.08 | 3.10% | $4.28 | $34.24 | 39.7% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 16 | $15.72 | 6.25% | $0.98 | $7.84 | 9.1% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 13 | $5.45 | 12.50% | $0.68 | $5.44 | 6.3% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $14.99 | 2.00% | $0.30 | $2.40 | 2.8% |
| Total | $10.79 | $86.32 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Pokemon 151, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Charizard ex - 199/165
#199/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$451.28
+$16.00 EV
Blastoise ex - 200/165
#200/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$156.10
+$5.52 EV
Charmander - 168/165
#168/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$126.12
+$4.88 EV
Venusaur ex - 198/165
#198/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$131.64
+$4.64 EV
Squirtle - 170/165
#170/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$115.01
+$4.40 EV
Pikachu - 173/165
#173/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$91.40
+$3.52 EV
Mew ex - 205/165 (151 Metal Card)
#205/165 · RR
1 in 104 packs
$35.10
+$2.72 EV
Mew ex - 205/165
#205/165 · HR
1 in 150 packs
$36.11
+$1.92 EV
Charizard ex - 183/165
#183/165 · UR
1 in 256 packs
$48.38
+$1.52 EV
Mew ex - 193/165
#193/165 · UR
1 in 256 packs
$46.15
+$1.44 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,500 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-151-Pull-Rates/b237df74-fbb0-40d0-9e13-d69ee6e804d9/, https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-151-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/15/scarlet-violet-151-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $39.99. Current sealed price ($225.56) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($225.56) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($2.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 ETB | $644.21 | $122.08 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 PC ETB | $1361.65 | $448.76 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Bundle | $189.92 | $64.74 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Poster Collection | $81.20 | $33.37 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Binder Collection | $238.81 | $44.16 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Ultra-Premium Collection | $1160.40 | $182.64 | −84% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Alakazam ex Collection | $113.84 | $45.16 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Zapdos ex Collection | $116.27 | $45.16 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Mini Tin | $47.78 | $21.58 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Sam's Club Mini Tins Bundle | $225.56 | $88.32 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Pack | $30.54 | $10.79 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $53.49 | $46.16 | −14% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $41.59 | $23.95 | −42% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $42.94 | $23.02 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $31.64 | $16.34 | −48% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | Black Bolt | $37.45 | $19.05 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Build & Battle Box | Silver Tempest | $49.94 | $25.03 | −50% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $32.83 | $16.34 | −50% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Build & Battle Box | Temporal Forces | $40.84 | $19.74 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |