151 Sam's Club Mini Tins Bundle
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $133.99.
8 packs plus $2.00 in promo value produce $81.36 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−62%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $215.35.
Expected Loss
−$133.99
The average opening result after paying $215.35 sealed.
Open Average
$81.36
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$52.07
Expected range $5.15-$14.69 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $9.92
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,500 pack openings.
$9.92 × 8 packs = $79.36
This product contains 8 booster packs.
$79.36 + $2.00 promos = $81.36
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$81.36 × 0.64 = $52.07
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $81.36 ÷ $215.35 = 37.8% • Cash-out: $52.07 ÷ $215.35 = 24.2%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $9.92 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/8pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $133.86 | 3.10% | $4.15 | $33.20 | 41.8% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 16 | $52.21 | 7.70% | $4.02 | $32.16 | 40.5% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 16 | $15.64 | 6.25% | $0.98 | $7.84 | 9.9% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 13 | $4.09 | 12.50% | $0.51 | $4.08 | 5.1% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $12.85 | 2.00% | $0.26 | $2.08 | 2.6% |
| Total | $9.92 | $79.36 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Pokemon 151, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Charizard ex - 199/165
#199/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$425.70
+$15.12 EV
Blastoise ex - 200/165
#200/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$149.43
+$5.28 EV
Venusaur ex - 198/165
#198/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$140.00
+$4.96 EV
Squirtle - 170/165
#170/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$106.27
+$4.08 EV
Charmander - 168/165
#168/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$105.69
+$4.08 EV
Pikachu - 173/165
#173/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$80.75
+$3.12 EV
Mew ex - 205/165 (151 Metal Card)
#205/165 · RR
1 in 104 packs
$24.91
+$1.92 EV
Charizard ex - 183/165
#183/165 · UR
1 in 256 packs
$48.86
+$1.52 EV
Mew ex - 205/165
#205/165 · HR
1 in 150 packs
$29.21
+$1.52 EV
Mew ex - 193/165
#193/165 · UR
1 in 256 packs
$45.74
+$1.44 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,500 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-151-Pull-Rates/b237df74-fbb0-40d0-9e13-d69ee6e804d9/, https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-151-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/15/scarlet-violet-151-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $39.99. Current sealed price ($215.35) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($215.35) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($2.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 ETB | $640.07 | $112.33 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 PC ETB | $1376.95 | $416.12 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Bundle | $188.85 | $59.52 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Poster Collection | $81.56 | $30.76 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Binder Collection | $211.74 | $40.68 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Ultra-Premium Collection | $998.23 | $168.72 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Alakazam ex Collection | $109.76 | $41.68 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Zapdos ex Collection | $115.73 | $41.68 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Mini Tin | $44.89 | $19.84 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Sam's Club Mini Tins Bundle | $215.35 | $81.36 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Pack | $27.64 | $9.92 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $52.16 | $43.70 | −16% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $22.80 | $15.20 | −33% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $23.57 | $15.20 | −36% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $37.40 | $20.85 | −44% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $38.58 | $20.34 | −47% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box | Phantasmal Flames | $57.21 | $27.46 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | Black Bolt | $31.37 | $14.91 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together Build & Battle Box | Journey Together | $32.83 | $15.50 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |