151 Binder Collection
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $195.37.
4 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $43.44 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−82%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $238.81.
Expected Loss
−$195.37
The average opening result after paying $238.81 sealed.
Open Average
$43.44
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$27.80
Expected range $5.38-$15.84 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $10.61
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,500 pack openings.
$10.61 × 4 packs = $42.44
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$42.44 + $1.00 promos = $43.44
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$43.44 × 0.64 = $27.80
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $43.44 ÷ $238.81 = 18.2% • Cash-out: $27.80 ÷ $238.81 = 11.6%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $10.61 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 16 | $57.92 | 7.70% | $4.46 | $17.84 | 42.0% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $137.08 | 3.10% | $4.25 | $17.00 | 40.1% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 16 | $15.13 | 6.25% | $0.95 | $3.80 | 9.0% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 13 | $5.18 | 12.50% | $0.65 | $2.60 | 6.1% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $14.93 | 2.00% | $0.30 | $1.20 | 2.8% |
| Total | $10.61 | $42.44 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Pokemon 151, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Charizard ex - 199/165
#199/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$458.47
+$8.12 EV
Blastoise ex - 200/165
#200/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$151.23
+$2.68 EV
Charmander - 168/165
#168/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$118.93
+$2.28 EV
Venusaur ex - 198/165
#198/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$128.31
+$2.28 EV
Squirtle - 170/165
#170/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$113.26
+$2.20 EV
Pikachu - 173/165
#173/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$89.44
+$1.72 EV
Mew ex - 205/165 (151 Metal Card)
#205/165 · RR
1 in 104 packs
$35.30
+$1.36 EV
Mew ex - 205/165
#205/165 · HR
1 in 150 packs
$35.87
+$0.96 EV
Charizard ex - 183/165
#183/165 · UR
1 in 256 packs
$48.25
+$0.76 EV
Mew ex - 193/165
#193/165 · UR
1 in 256 packs
$41.98
+$0.64 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,500 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-151-Pull-Rates/b237df74-fbb0-40d0-9e13-d69ee6e804d9/, https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-151-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/15/scarlet-violet-151-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $29.99. Current sealed price ($238.81) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($238.81) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 ETB | $660.06 | $120.14 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 PC ETB | $1361.65 | $446.46 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Bundle | $185.98 | $63.66 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Poster Collection | $81.12 | $32.83 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Binder Collection | $238.81 | $43.44 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Ultra-Premium Collection | $1181.34 | $179.76 | −85% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Alakazam ex Collection | $112.51 | $44.44 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Zapdos ex Collection | $115.59 | $44.44 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Mini Tin | $47.51 | $21.22 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Sam's Club Mini Tins Bundle | $225.56 | $86.88 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Pack | $35.32 | $10.61 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $53.41 | $45.74 | −14% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $41.59 | $23.65 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $41.67 | $22.98 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $30.19 | $16.24 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $32.09 | $16.24 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Build & Battle Box | Silver Tempest | $49.94 | $24.54 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | Black Bolt | $37.60 | $18.27 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Heavy Hitters Premium Collection | Black Bolt | $144.57 | $69.66 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |