Rip or Flip
Celebrations Collection
KEEP SEALED

Celebrations Collection

4 packs + $2.00 in promos

−$96.21

you lose on avg

$5.60

market EV

$101.81

sealed price

95% return

Prices updated: 1h agoEV calculated: 1h agoPull rate confidence:Medium
High Variance Set23% of this set's EV comes from ultra-rare pulls (less than 1-in-50 odds). Most packs will return significantly less than the $0.90 average.

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$
KEEP SEALED

$96.21

5.5% return

How the EV is Calculated

01

EV per booster pack = $0.90

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 541 pack openings.

02

$0.90 × 4 packs = $3.60

This product contains 4 booster packs.

03

$3.60 + $2.00 promos = $5.60

Promo card value is based on live TCGPlayer prices.

04

$5.60 ÷ $101.81 = 5.5% return

Sealed price is the average TCGPlayer market price. Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a single rarity tier contributes to the $0.90 EV per pack. For this 4-pack product, multiply by 4.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/4pk% of Total
Ultra Rare(UR)7$2.9912.80%$0.38$1.5242.2%
Holo Rare(H)17$0.8735.00%$0.31$1.2434.4%
Secret Rare(SR)1$53.510.40%$0.21$0.8423.3%
Total$0.90$3.60100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Celebrations, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

1
Mew (Secret)

Mew (Secret)

#025/025 · Secret Rare

1 in 250 packs

$53.51

+$0.86 EV

2
Pikachu

Pikachu

#005/025 · Holo Rare

1 in 49 packs

$6.10

+$0.50 EV

3
Flying Pikachu VMAX

Flying Pikachu VMAX

#007/025 · Ultra Rare

1 in 55 packs

$6.03

+$0.44 EV

4
Surfing Pikachu VMAX

Surfing Pikachu VMAX

#009/025 · Ultra Rare

1 in 55 packs

$5.67

+$0.41 EV

5
Mew

Mew

#011/025 · Holo Rare

1 in 49 packs

$3.88

+$0.32 EV

6
Surfing Pikachu V

Surfing Pikachu V

#008/025 · Ultra Rare

1 in 55 packs

$3.69

+$0.27 EV

7
Lugia

Lugia

#022/025 · Holo Rare

1 in 49 packs

$0.84

+$0.07 EV

Assumptions

  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 541 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/celebrations-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://www.pokebeach.com/forums/threads/all-%E2%80%98celebrations%E2%80%99-cards-promos-products-revealed.152588/). Your results will vary.
  • Sealed price ($101.81) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Promo value ($2.00) is based on estimated value of included promos.
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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