Rip or Flip
Astral Radiance Sleeved Booster

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$10.75

MSRP

$4.49

Spread: +$6.26 (139%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDAstral Radiance1 pack

Astral Radiance Sleeved Booster

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $8.14.

1 packs produce $2.61 of average market value at current prices.

Return vs Market

−76%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $10.75.

Expected Loss

−$8.14

The average opening result after paying $10.75 sealed.

Open Average

$2.61

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$1.67

Expected range $0.00-$8.88 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $2.61

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 4 rarity tiers. Based on 615 pack openings.

02

$2.61 × 1 packs = $2.61

This product contains 1 booster pack.

03

$2.61 = $2.61

No promo value applied for this product.

04

$2.61 × 0.64 = $1.67

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $2.61 ÷ $10.75 = 24.3%Cash-out: $1.67 ÷ $10.75 = 15.5%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.61 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/1pk% of Total
Ultra Rare(UR)58$9.5923.90%$2.29$2.2987.7%
Secret Rare(SR)27$6.762.44%$0.16$0.166.1%
Holo Rare(H)20$0.3525.53%$0.09$0.093.4%
Radiant Rare(RR)3$1.494.88%$0.07$0.072.7%
Total$2.61$2.61100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Astral Radiance, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 615 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/astral-radiance-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2022/05/15/astral-radiance-pull-rates-are-surprisingly-good-in-new-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($10.75) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($10.75) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Astral Radiance Booster Box$383.79$93.96−76%KEEP SEALED
Astral Radiance ETB$108.98$21.88−80%KEEP SEALED
Astral Radiance PC ETB$180.39$28.10−84%KEEP SEALED
Astral Radiance 3 Pack Blister$33.47$8.33−75%KEEP SEALED
Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box$38.58$20.34−47%KEEP SEALED
Astral Radiance Sleeved Booster$10.75$2.61−76%KEEP SEALED
Astral Radiance Booster Pack$9.17$2.61−72%KEEP SEALED

Compare Packs Across Sets

See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.

PackSetPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Ascended Heroes Booster PackAscended Heroes$12.20$7.10−42%KEEP SEALED
Black Bolt Booster PackBlack Bolt$9.86$4.72−52%KEEP SEALED
White Flare Booster PackWhite Flare$9.17$4.33−53%KEEP SEALED
Perfect Order Booster PackPerfect Order$6.71$2.89−57%KEEP SEALED
Shrouded Fable Booster PackShrouded Fable$8.94$3.77−58%KEEP SEALED
Perfect Order 3 Pack BlisterPerfect Order$22.77$9.17−60%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames Single Pack BlisterPhantasmal Flames$9.87$3.97−60%KEEP SEALED
Phantasmal Flames Booster PackPhantasmal Flames$9.45$3.72−61%KEEP SEALED
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