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Medium Confidence615 packs sampledUpdated 2026-02-24

Astral Radiance Pull Rates

See the exact odds for every rarity tier in Astral Radiance, plus how those odds translate into expected value and the chase cards driving each tier.

Rarity tiers

4

Rarest listed odds

1 in 41

Secret Rare

EV per pack

$2.43

Full Pull Rate Table

Complete odds, sample sizes, and confidence context for every rarity tier.

Medium Confidence615 packs sampled
Holo Rare(H)25.53%
Odds: 1 in 4
Sample: 615
Ultra Rare(UR)23.90%
Odds: 1 in 4
Sample: 615
Radiant Rare(RR)4.88%
Odds: 1 in 20
Sample: 615
Secret Rare(SR)2.44%
Odds: 1 in 41
Sample: 615

Sources: https://www.digitaltq.com/astral-radiance-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2022/05/15/astral-radiance-pull-rates-are-surprisingly-good-in-new-pokemon-tcg-set/

What This Means

Translate raw percentages into the actual pack-opening experience.

H

Holo Rare

You'll pull a Holo Rare roughly 1 in 4.

25.53% odds from 615 sampled packs

UR

Ultra Rare

You'll pull a Ultra Rare roughly 1 in 4.

23.90% odds from 615 sampled packs

RR

Radiant Rare

You'll pull a Radiant Rare roughly 1 in 20.

4.88% odds from 615 sampled packs

SR

Secret Rare

You'll pull a Secret Rare roughly 1 in 41.

2.44% odds from 615 sampled packs

Expected Value by Tier

Average card value joined with pull-rate odds to show how each rarity tier contributes to pack EV.

H

Holo Rare

1 in 4

Avg card value
$0.32
EV per pack
$0.08

Top chase: Rampardos at $0.66.

UR

Ultra Rare

1 in 4

Avg card value
$8.91
EV per pack
$2.13

Top chase: Machamp V (Alternate Full Art) at $161.07.

RR

Radiant Rare

1 in 20

Avg card value
$1.30
EV per pack
$0.06

Top chase: Radiant Greninja at $2.98.

SR

Secret Rare

1 in 41

Avg card value
$6.42
EV per pack
$0.16

Top chase: Machamp VMAX (Secret) at $12.53.

Top Chase Cards by Tier

The cards doing the most work inside each rarity bucket.

Sources & Methodology

Where the odds come from and how they feed the EV model.

Pull rates are community-sourced estimates from documented pack openings. We pair those odds with live TCGPlayer market prices to calculate average card value and EV per pack for each rarity tier.

FAQ

What are the pull rates for Astral Radiance?
Astral Radiance pull rates are based on 615 documented pack openings and currently carry medium confidence confidence.
What are the odds of hitting the rarest tier in Astral Radiance?
Secret Rare lands about 1 in 41 in Astral Radiance, based on 615 sampled packs.
Are Astral Radiance pull rates official?
No. These rates are community-sourced estimates compiled from large pack-opening samples, then joined with live TCGPlayer prices to show expected value by rarity tier.