Ascended Heroes Mega ex Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $55.52.
4 packs plus $0.65 in promo value produce $31.13 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−64%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $86.65.
Expected Loss
−$55.52
The average opening result after paying $86.65 sealed.
Open Average
$31.13
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$19.92
Expected range $1.61-$13.63 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $7.62
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 2,000 pack openings.
$7.62 × 4 packs = $30.48
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$30.48 + $0.65 promos = $31.13
Promo value uses static estimate.
$31.13 × 0.64 = $19.92
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $31.13 ÷ $86.65 = 35.9% • Cash-out: $19.92 ÷ $86.65 = 23.0%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $7.62 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 22 | $270.20 | 1.44% | $3.89 | $15.56 | 51.0% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 33 | $12.39 | 11.25% | $1.39 | $5.56 | 18.2% |
| Mega Attack Rare(MAR) | 7 | $28.02 | 3.47% | $0.97 | $3.88 | 12.7% |
| Mega Hyper Rare(MHR) | 2 | $500.13 | 0.19% | $0.95 | $3.80 | 12.5% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 39 | $1.41 | 20.37% | $0.29 | $1.16 | 3.8% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 14 | $2.63 | 4.81% | $0.13 | $0.52 | 1.7% |
| Total | $7.62 | $30.48 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Ascended Heroes, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Mega Gengar ex - 284/217
#284/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$1340.79
+$3.52 EV
Pikachu ex - 276/217
#276/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$1322.80
+$3.48 EV
Mega Charizard Y ex - 294/217
#294/217 · MHR
1 in 1053 packs
$663.25
+$2.52 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 290/217
#290/217 · SIR
1 in 1528 packs
$818.83
+$2.16 EV
Mega Gengar ex - 269/217
#269/217 · MAR
1 in 202 packs
$89.08
+$1.76 EV
Psyduck - 226/217
#226/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$111.97
+$1.52 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 295/217
#295/217 · MHR
1 in 1053 packs
$337.00
+$1.28 EV
Mega Dragonite ex - 271/217
#271/217 · MAR
1 in 202 packs
$60.99
+$1.20 EV
Team Rocket's Mimikyu - 238/217
#238/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$30.63
+$0.40 EV
Erika's Tangela - 218/217
#218/217 · IR
1 in 293 packs
$27.55
+$0.36 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 2,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pok%C3%A9mon-TCG-Ascended-Heroes-Pull-Rates/60143d94-88a7-42ce-8e73-babd7b3fabd6/, https://www.pokebeach.com/2026/02/ascended-heroes-pull-rates-finally-determined-better-than-usual, https://www.thepricedex.com/set/me2pt5/ascended-heroes/pull-rates). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $24.99. Current sealed price ($86.65) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($86.65) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($0.65) is based on static estimate.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes ETB | $169.35 | $78.64 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | $513.03 | $205.96 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Bundle | $1321.75 | $45.72 | −97% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Tech Sticker Collection | $213.64 | $23.61 | −89% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Mini Tin | $27.54 | $15.24 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Premium Poster Collection | $415.63 | $85.89 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Mega ex Box | $86.65 | $31.13 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | $32.09 | $16.24 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | $30.19 | $16.24 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes First Partners Deluxe Pin Collection | $64.18 | $24.86 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | $16.13 | $7.62 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $53.41 | $45.74 | −14% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $41.59 | $23.65 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $41.67 | $22.98 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Build & Battle Box | Silver Tempest | $49.94 | $24.54 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | Black Bolt | $37.60 | $18.27 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Heavy Hitters Premium Collection | Black Bolt | $144.57 | $69.66 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Knock Out [Suicune] | Multi-Set Products | $13.54 | $6.49 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Pokemon GO Collection | Pokemon GO | $38.26 | $18.08 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |