151 ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $538.98.
9 packs plus $25.70 in promo value produce $122.00 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−82%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $660.98.
Expected Loss
−$538.98
The average opening result after paying $660.98 sealed.
Open Average
$122.00
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$78.08
Expected range $5.53-$15.87 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $10.70
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,500 pack openings.
$10.70 × 9 packs = $96.30
This product contains 9 booster packs.
$96.30 + $25.70 promos = $122.00
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$122.00 × 0.64 = $78.08
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $122.00 ÷ $660.98 = 18.5% • Cash-out: $78.08 ÷ $660.98 = 11.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $10.70 EV per pack for this 9-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/9pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $140.63 | 3.10% | $4.36 | $39.24 | 40.7% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 16 | $56.28 | 7.70% | $4.33 | $38.97 | 40.5% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 16 | $15.86 | 6.25% | $0.99 | $8.91 | 9.3% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 13 | $5.92 | 12.50% | $0.74 | $6.66 | 6.9% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $13.88 | 2.00% | $0.28 | $2.52 | 2.6% |
| Total | $10.70 | $96.30 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Pokemon 151, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Charizard ex - 199/165
#199/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$455.52
+$18.18 EV
Blastoise ex - 200/165
#200/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$160.69
+$6.39 EV
Venusaur ex - 198/165
#198/165 · SIR
1 in 226 packs
$137.88
+$5.49 EV
Charmander - 168/165
#168/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$110.86
+$4.77 EV
Squirtle - 170/165
#170/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$105.75
+$4.59 EV
Bulbasaur - 166/165
#166/165 · IR
1 in 208 packs
$90.62
+$3.96 EV
Mew ex - 205/165 (151 Metal Card)
#205/165 · RR
1 in 104 packs
$42.39
+$3.69 EV
Mew ex - 205/165
#205/165 · HR
1 in 150 packs
$32.24
+$1.89 EV
Charizard ex - 183/165
#183/165 · UR
1 in 256 packs
$46.48
+$1.62 EV
Mew ex - 193/165
#193/165 · UR
1 in 256 packs
$45.55
+$1.62 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,500 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-151-Pull-Rates/b237df74-fbb0-40d0-9e13-d69ee6e804d9/, https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-151-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/15/scarlet-violet-151-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($660.98) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($660.98) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($25.70) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 151 ETB | $660.98 | $122.00 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 PC ETB | $1385.62 | $445.81 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Bundle | $206.95 | $64.20 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Poster Collection | $79.19 | $33.10 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Binder Collection | $235.29 | $43.80 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Ultra-Premium Collection | $1199.98 | $181.20 | −85% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Alakazam ex Collection | $114.46 | $44.80 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Zapdos ex Collection | $111.90 | $44.80 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Mini Tin | $46.90 | $21.40 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Sam's Club Mini Tins Bundle | $220.73 | $87.60 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| 151 Booster Pack | $28.52 | $10.70 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $693.88 | $352.77 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $300.52 | $152.31 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $163.26 | $74.03 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order ETB | Perfect Order | $56.81 | $25.39 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $152.23 | $66.81 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $179.33 | $77.73 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | Ascended Heroes | $519.54 | $220.30 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $275.78 | $116.31 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |