Paldea Evolved Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $343.29.
36 packs produce $153.36 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−69%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $496.65.
Expected Loss
−$343.29
The average opening result after paying $496.65 sealed.
Open Average
$153.36
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$98.15
Expected range $0.00-$9.40 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $4.26
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$4.26 × 36 packs = $153.36
This product contains 36 booster packs.
$153.36 = $153.36
No promo value applied for this product.
$153.36 × 0.64 = $98.15
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $153.36 ÷ $496.65 = 30.9% • Cash-out: $98.15 ÷ $496.65 = 19.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $4.26 EV per pack for this 36-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/36pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 36 | $38.05 | 7.70% | $2.93 | $105.48 | 68.8% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 15 | $26.08 | 3.10% | $0.81 | $29.16 | 19.0% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 26 | $3.83 | 6.70% | $0.26 | $9.36 | 6.1% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 17 | $1.01 | 14.30% | $0.14 | $5.04 | 3.3% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 9 | $6.60 | 1.80% | $0.12 | $4.32 | 2.8% |
| Total | $4.26 | $153.36 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Paldea Evolved, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Magikarp - 203/193
#203/193 · IR
1 in 468 packs
$397.88
+$30.60 EV
Raichu - 211/193
#211/193 · IR
1 in 468 packs
$119.19
+$9.00 EV
Maushold - 226/193
#226/193 · IR
1 in 468 packs
$98.91
+$7.56 EV
Iono - 269/193
#269/193 · SIR
1 in 484 packs
$61.03
+$4.68 EV
Tinkaton ex - 262/193
#262/193 · SIR
1 in 484 packs
$60.16
+$4.32 EV
Chi-Yu ex - 259/193
#259/193 · SIR
1 in 484 packs
$48.68
+$3.60 EV
Dedenne ex - 239/193
#239/193 · UR
1 in 388 packs
$14.95
+$1.44 EV
Pikachu ex
#063/193 · RR
1 in 119 packs
$3.57
+$1.08 EV
Boss's Orders - 248/193
#248/193 · UR
1 in 388 packs
$11.93
+$1.08 EV
Iono - 254/193
#254/193 · UR
1 in 388 packs
$10.90
+$1.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paldea-Evolved-Pull-Rates/1b7d3e70-9542-4a50-8692-1661e2316521/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paldea-evolved-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/11/paldea-evolved-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $143.64. Current sealed price ($496.65) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($496.65) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | $496.65 | $153.36 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved ETB | $196.57 | $62.19 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved PC ETB | $554.81 | $223.14 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Bundle | $115.31 | $25.56 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved 3 Pack Blister | $35.08 | $13.28 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Single Pack Blister | $14.73 | $4.51 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Build & Battle Box | $59.28 | $20.41 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Sleeved Booster | $14.43 | $4.26 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Pack | $13.66 | $4.26 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perfect Order Booster Box | Perfect Order | $213.73 | $99.36 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Battle Styles Booster Box | Battle Styles | $271.11 | $105.12 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Booster Box | Temporal Forces | $320.75 | $123.84 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet Booster Box | Scarlet & Violet | $304.30 | $100.08 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown Booster Box | Stellar Crown | $329.69 | $107.28 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box | Phantasmal Flames | $463.79 | $145.80 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paradox Rift Booster Box | Paradox Rift | $284.65 | $85.32 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames Booster Box | Obsidian Flames | $373.72 | $110.52 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |