Paldea Evolved Sleeved Booster
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $9.55.
1 packs produce $4.44 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−68%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $13.99.
Expected Loss
−$9.55
The average opening result after paying $13.99 sealed.
Open Average
$4.44
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$2.84
Expected range $0.00-$9.64 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $4.44
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$4.44 × 1 packs = $4.44
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$4.44 = $4.44
No promo value applied for this product.
$4.44 × 0.64 = $2.84
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $4.44 ÷ $13.99 = 31.7% • Cash-out: $2.84 ÷ $13.99 = 20.3%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $4.44 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 36 | $39.77 | 7.70% | $3.06 | $3.06 | 68.9% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 15 | $26.94 | 3.10% | $0.84 | $0.84 | 18.9% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 26 | $3.98 | 6.70% | $0.27 | $0.27 | 6.1% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 17 | $1.05 | 14.30% | $0.15 | $0.15 | 3.4% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 9 | $6.82 | 1.80% | $0.12 | $0.12 | 2.7% |
| Total | $4.44 | $4.44 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Paldea Evolved, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Magikarp - 203/193
#203/193 · IR
1 in 468 packs
$404.17
+$0.86 EV
Raichu - 211/193
#211/193 · IR
1 in 468 packs
$115.88
+$0.25 EV
Maushold - 226/193
#226/193 · IR
1 in 468 packs
$104.16
+$0.22 EV
Iono - 269/193
#269/193 · SIR
1 in 484 packs
$66.04
+$0.14 EV
Tinkaton ex - 262/193
#262/193 · SIR
1 in 484 packs
$59.99
+$0.12 EV
Chi-Yu ex - 259/193
#259/193 · SIR
1 in 484 packs
$52.23
+$0.11 EV
Pikachu ex
#063/193 · RR
1 in 119 packs
$4.22
+$0.04 EV
Dedenne ex - 239/193
#239/193 · UR
1 in 388 packs
$16.12
+$0.04 EV
Iono - 254/193
#254/193 · UR
1 in 388 packs
$11.81
+$0.03 EV
Boss's Orders - 248/193
#248/193 · UR
1 in 388 packs
$11.57
+$0.03 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paldea-Evolved-Pull-Rates/1b7d3e70-9542-4a50-8692-1661e2316521/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paldea-evolved-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/11/paldea-evolved-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($13.99) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($13.99) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
Partner
You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.
4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | $505.42 | $159.84 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved ETB | $203.87 | $64.47 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved PC ETB | $574.10 | $231.92 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Bundle | $115.71 | $26.64 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved 3 Pack Blister | $36.72 | $13.82 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Single Pack Blister | $14.99 | $4.69 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Build & Battle Box | $59.28 | $20.92 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Sleeved Booster | $13.99 | $4.44 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Pack | $14.58 | $4.44 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Flygon Line | Chaos Rising | $20.21 | $11.78 | −42% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Pawmot Line | Chaos Rising | $20.95 | $11.78 | −44% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $14.27 | $7.67 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Booster Pack | Chaos Rising | $7.32 | $3.76 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster | Chaos Rising | $7.82 | $3.76 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Pack | Black Bolt | $13.55 | $6.10 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising 3 Pack Blister | Chaos Rising | $26.55 | $11.78 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Pack | Perfect Order | $6.14 | $2.69 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |