Paldea Evolved Sleeved Booster
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $10.44.
1 packs produce $3.74 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−74%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $14.18.
Expected Loss
−$10.44
The average opening result after paying $14.18 sealed.
Open Average
$3.74
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$2.39
Expected range $0.00-$8.47 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.74
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$3.74 × 1 packs = $3.74
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$3.74 = $3.74
No promo value applied for this product.
$3.74 × 0.64 = $2.39
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $3.74 ÷ $14.18 = 26.4% • Cash-out: $2.39 ÷ $14.18 = 16.9%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.74 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 36 | $32.73 | 7.70% | $2.52 | $2.52 | 67.4% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 15 | $23.00 | 3.10% | $0.71 | $0.71 | 19.0% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 26 | $3.74 | 6.70% | $0.25 | $0.25 | 6.7% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 17 | $1.03 | 14.30% | $0.15 | $0.15 | 4.0% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 9 | $5.89 | 1.80% | $0.11 | $0.11 | 2.9% |
| Total | $3.74 | $3.74 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Paldea Evolved, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Magikarp - 203/193
#203/193 · IR
1 in 468 packs
$366.83
+$0.78 EV
Raichu - 211/193
#211/193 · IR
1 in 468 packs
$106.95
+$0.23 EV
Maushold - 226/193
#226/193 · IR
1 in 468 packs
$82.45
+$0.18 EV
Iono - 269/193
#269/193 · SIR
1 in 484 packs
$54.09
+$0.11 EV
Tinkaton ex - 262/193
#262/193 · SIR
1 in 484 packs
$50.70
+$0.10 EV
Chi-Yu ex - 259/193
#259/193 · SIR
1 in 484 packs
$47.28
+$0.10 EV
Dedenne ex - 239/193
#239/193 · UR
1 in 388 packs
$16.31
+$0.04 EV
Pikachu ex
#063/193 · RR
1 in 119 packs
$4.12
+$0.03 EV
Boss's Orders - 248/193
#248/193 · UR
1 in 388 packs
$12.05
+$0.03 EV
Iono - 254/193
#254/193 · UR
1 in 388 packs
$11.01
+$0.03 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paldea-Evolved-Pull-Rates/1b7d3e70-9542-4a50-8692-1661e2316521/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paldea-evolved-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/11/paldea-evolved-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($14.18) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($14.18) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paldea Evolved Booster Box | $447.58 | $134.64 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved ETB | $180.15 | $52.09 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved PC ETB | $534.38 | $196.10 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Bundle | $104.59 | $22.44 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved 3 Pack Blister | $33.39 | $11.72 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Single Pack Blister | $13.87 | $3.99 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Build & Battle Box | $54.88 | $17.77 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Sleeved Booster | $14.18 | $3.74 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Paldea Evolved Booster Pack | $11.55 | $3.74 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $12.20 | $7.10 | −42% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Pack | Black Bolt | $9.86 | $4.72 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Pack | White Flare | $9.17 | $4.33 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Pack | Perfect Order | $6.71 | $2.89 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Booster Pack | Shrouded Fable | $8.94 | $3.77 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister | Perfect Order | $22.77 | $9.17 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister | Phantasmal Flames | $9.87 | $3.97 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Pack | Phantasmal Flames | $9.45 | $3.72 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |