Black Bolt Booster Bundle
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $40.61.
6 packs produce $31.26 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−57%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $71.87.
Expected Loss
−$40.61
The average opening result after paying $71.87 sealed.
Open Average
$31.26
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$20.01
Expected range $1.43-$8.99 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $5.21
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 700 pack openings.
$5.21 × 6 packs = $31.26
This product contains 6 booster packs.
$31.26 = $31.26
No promo value applied for this product.
$31.26 × 0.64 = $20.01
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $31.26 ÷ $71.87 = 43.5% • Cash-out: $20.01 ÷ $71.87 = 27.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $5.21 EV per pack for this 6-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/6pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 69 | $18.43 | 16.40% | $3.02 | $18.12 | 58.0% |
| Black White Rare(BWR) | 2 | $494.64 | 0.20% | $0.99 | $5.94 | 19.0% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $76.34 | 1.25% | $0.95 | $5.70 | 18.2% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 6 | $0.60 | 21.10% | $0.13 | $0.78 | 2.5% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 8 | $2.11 | 5.80% | $0.12 | $0.72 | 2.3% |
| Total | $5.21 | $31.26 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Black Bolt, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Victini - 171/086
#171/086 · BWR
1 in 1000 packs
$512.55
+$3.06 EV
Zekrom ex - 172/086
#172/086 · BWR
1 in 1000 packs
$476.72
+$2.88 EV
Zekrom ex - 166/086
#166/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$247.68
+$2.64 EV
Seismitoad - 105/086
#105/086 · IR
1 in 421 packs
$176.28
+$2.52 EV
Haxorus - 147/086
#147/086 · IR
1 in 421 packs
$64.63
+$0.90 EV
Kyurem ex - 165/086
#165/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$73.10
+$0.78 EV
Krookodile - 137/086
#137/086 · IR
1 in 421 packs
$47.07
+$0.66 EV
N's Plan - 170/086
#170/086 · SIR
1 in 560 packs
$62.76
+$0.66 EV
Zekrom ex - 158/086
#158/086 · UR
1 in 138 packs
$4.69
+$0.18 EV
N's Plan - 163/086
#163/086 · UR
1 in 138 packs
$4.24
+$0.18 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 700 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Black-Bolt-and-White-Flare-Pull-Rates/bac92199-a2a7-4668-b4a4-2647a111776f/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-odds/, https://pokepatch.com/2025/07/20/black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-sets/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $26.94. Current sealed price ($71.87) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($71.87) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Bolt ETB | $144.09 | $48.85 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt PC ETB | $295.38 | $85.14 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Bundle | $71.87 | $31.26 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Binder Collection | $58.84 | $21.84 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | $35.44 | $16.38 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Poster Collection | $63.04 | $16.63 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Victini Illustration Collection | $62.68 | $28.05 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Mini Tin | $20.56 | $10.42 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Heavy Hitters Premium Collection | $138.62 | $63.30 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Pack | $11.81 | $5.21 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Bundles Across Sets
See how this bundle stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Bundle | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrouded Fable Booster Bundle | Shrouded Fable | $51.93 | $25.26 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Temporal Forces Art Bundle | Temporal Forces | $29.95 | $13.72 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Bundle | White Flare | $67.97 | $29.58 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Bundle | Perfect Order | $41.09 | $16.26 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Prismatic Evolutions Art Bundle | Prismatic Evolutions | $40.66 | $15.32 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Art Bundle | Perfect Order | $31.09 | $10.84 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Twilight Masquerade Art Bundle | Twilight Masquerade | $35.52 | $11.60 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Bundle | Phantasmal Flames | $69.63 | $22.26 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |