White Flare Pull Rates
See the exact odds for every rarity tier in White Flare, plus how those odds translate into expected value and the chase cards driving each tier.
Rarity tiers
5
Rarest listed odds
1 in 500
Black White Rare
EV per pack
$3.89
Full Pull Rate Table
Complete odds, sample sizes, and confidence context for every rarity tier.
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare(RR) | 21.10% | 1 in 5 | 700 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 16.40% | 1 in 6 | 700 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 5.80% | 1 in 17 | 700 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 1.25% | 1 in 80 | 700 |
| Black White Rare(BWR) | 0.20% | 1 in 500 | 700 |
Sources: https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Black-Bolt-and-White-Flare-Pull-Rates/bac92199-a2a7-4668-b4a4-2647a111776f/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-odds/, https://pokepatch.com/2025/07/20/black-bolt-white-flare-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-sets/
What This Means
Translate raw percentages into the actual pack-opening experience.
RR
Double Rare
You'll pull a Double Rare roughly 1 in 5.
21.10% odds from 700 sampled packs
IR
Illustration Rare
You'll pull a Illustration Rare roughly 1 in 6.
16.40% odds from 700 sampled packs
UR
Ultra Rare
You'll pull a Ultra Rare roughly 1 in 17.
5.80% odds from 700 sampled packs
SIR
Special Illustration Rare
You'll pull a Special Illustration Rare roughly 1 in 80.
1.25% odds from 700 sampled packs
Expected Value by Tier
Average card value joined with pull-rate odds to show how each rarity tier contributes to pack EV.
IR
Illustration Rare
1 in 6
- Avg card value
- $13.39
- EV per pack
- $2.20
Top chase: Zoroark - 143/086 at $46.46.
SIR
Special Illustration Rare
1 in 80
- Avg card value
- $55.91
- EV per pack
- $0.70
Top chase: Reshiram ex - 166/086 at $153.52.
BWR
Black White Rare
1 in 500
- Avg card value
- $371.51
- EV per pack
- $0.74
Top chase: Victini - 172/086 at $388.89.
Top Chase Cards by Tier
The cards doing the most work inside each rarity bucket.
RR
Double Rare
Avg value $0.49 • 1 in 5
IR
Illustration Rare
Avg value $13.39 • 1 in 6
UR
Ultra Rare
Avg value $2.52 • 1 in 17
SIR
Special Illustration Rare
Avg value $55.91 • 1 in 80
BWR
Black White Rare
Avg value $371.51 • 1 in 500
Sources & Methodology
Where the odds come from and how they feed the EV model.
Pull rates are community-sourced estimates from documented pack openings. We pair those odds with live TCGPlayer market prices to calculate average card value and EV per pack for each rarity tier.
FAQ
- What are the pull rates for White Flare?
- White Flare pull rates are based on 700 documented pack openings and currently carry medium confidence confidence.
- What are the odds of hitting the rarest tier in White Flare?
- Black White Rare lands about 1 in 500 in White Flare, based on 700 sampled packs.
- Are White Flare pull rates official?
- No. These rates are community-sourced estimates compiled from large pack-opening samples, then joined with live TCGPlayer prices to show expected value by rarity tier.