Silver Tempest ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $109.45.
8 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $28.36 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−79%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $137.81.
Expected Loss
−$109.45
The average opening result after paying $137.81 sealed.
Open Average
$28.36
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$18.15
Expected range $0.00-$17.46 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.42
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 4 rarity tiers. Based on 718 pack openings.
$3.42 × 8 packs = $27.36
This product contains 8 booster packs.
$27.36 + $1.00 promos = $28.36
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$28.36 × 0.64 = $18.15
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $28.36 ÷ $137.81 = 20.6% • Cash-out: $18.15 ÷ $137.81 = 13.2%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.42 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/8pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 48 | $12.82 | 23.40% | $3.00 | $24.00 | 87.7% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 20 | $9.38 | 2.92% | $0.27 | $2.16 | 7.9% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 14 | $0.36 | 25.35% | $0.09 | $0.72 | 2.6% |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $1.11 | 5.57% | $0.06 | $0.48 | 1.8% |
| Total | $3.42 | $27.36 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Silver Tempest, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Lugia V (Alternate Full Art)
#186/195 · UR
1 in 205 packs
$422.72
+$16.48 EV
Unown V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/195 · UR
1 in 205 packs
$22.84
+$0.88 EV
Regidrago V (Alternate Full Art)
#184/195 · UR
1 in 205 packs
$21.79
+$0.88 EV
Lugia VSTAR (Secret) (202)
#202/195 · SR
1 in 685 packs
$35.38
+$0.40 EV
Lugia VSTAR (Secret) (211)
#211/195 · SR
1 in 685 packs
$24.41
+$0.32 EV
Radiant Jirachi
#120/195 · RR
1 in 54 packs
$1.46
+$0.24 EV
Radiant Alakazam
#059/195 · RR
1 in 54 packs
$1.36
+$0.24 EV
Alolan Vulpix VSTAR (Secret)
#197/195 · SR
1 in 685 packs
$20.83
+$0.24 EV
Dragonite
#131/195 · H
1 in 55 packs
$1.02
+$0.16 EV
Crobat
#105/195 · H
1 in 55 packs
$0.44
+$0.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 718 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/silver-tempest-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($137.81) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($137.81) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
Partner
You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.
4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silver Tempest Booster Box | $468.11 | $123.12 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest ETB | $137.81 | $28.36 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest PC ETB | $300.89 | $36.20 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Booster Bundle | $100.66 | $20.52 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest 3 Pack Blister | $50.13 | $10.76 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Build & Battle Box | $47.76 | $21.30 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Sleeved Booster | $59.54 | $3.42 | −94% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Booster Pack | $10.68 | $3.42 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $641.21 | $316.90 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $293.86 | $145.12 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $229.79 | $110.96 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $149.97 | $71.16 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $158.04 | $65.50 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $148.22 | $60.25 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes PC ETB | Ascended Heroes | $481.05 | $189.76 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable ETB | Shrouded Fable | $89.43 | $35.21 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |