Silver Tempest ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $138.69.
8 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $32.28 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−81%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $170.97.
Expected Loss
−$138.69
The average opening result after paying $170.97 sealed.
Open Average
$32.28
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$20.66
Expected range $0.00-$20.05 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.91
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 4 rarity tiers. Based on 718 pack openings.
$3.91 × 8 packs = $31.28
This product contains 8 booster packs.
$31.28 + $1.00 promos = $32.28
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$32.28 × 0.64 = $20.66
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $32.28 ÷ $170.97 = 18.9% • Cash-out: $20.66 ÷ $170.97 = 12.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.91 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/8pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 48 | $14.73 | 23.40% | $3.45 | $27.60 | 88.2% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 20 | $10.10 | 2.92% | $0.29 | $2.32 | 7.4% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 14 | $0.41 | 25.35% | $0.10 | $0.80 | 2.6% |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $1.32 | 5.57% | $0.07 | $0.56 | 1.8% |
| Total | $3.91 | $31.28 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Silver Tempest, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Lugia V (Alternate Full Art)
#186/195 · UR
1 in 205 packs
$485.62
+$18.96 EV
Regidrago V (Alternate Full Art)
#184/195 · UR
1 in 205 packs
$28.00
+$1.12 EV
Unown V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/195 · UR
1 in 205 packs
$27.89
+$1.12 EV
Lugia VSTAR (Secret) (202)
#202/195 · SR
1 in 685 packs
$38.54
+$0.48 EV
Lugia VSTAR (Secret) (211)
#211/195 · SR
1 in 685 packs
$25.67
+$0.32 EV
Radiant Alakazam
#059/195 · RR
1 in 54 packs
$1.71
+$0.24 EV
Radiant Jirachi
#120/195 · RR
1 in 54 packs
$1.66
+$0.24 EV
Alolan Vulpix VSTAR (Secret)
#197/195 · SR
1 in 685 packs
$23.88
+$0.24 EV
Dragonite
#131/195 · H
1 in 55 packs
$1.12
+$0.16 EV
Forest Seal Stone
#156/195 · H
1 in 55 packs
$0.63
+$0.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 718 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/silver-tempest-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($170.97) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($170.97) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silver Tempest Booster Box | $544.70 | $140.76 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest ETB | $170.97 | $32.28 | −81% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest PC ETB | $325.65 | $41.10 | −87% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Booster Bundle | $117.94 | $23.46 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest 3 Pack Blister | $44.25 | $12.23 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Build & Battle Box | $49.94 | $24.54 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Sleeved Booster | $60.49 | $3.91 | −94% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Booster Pack | $12.07 | $3.91 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $299.90 | $154.30 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $706.33 | $360.43 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising ETB | Chaos Rising | $82.24 | $39.97 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $169.35 | $78.64 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $172.95 | $73.73 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $277.36 | $116.21 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $165.91 | $68.14 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together PC ETB | Journey Together | $208.09 | $85.17 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |