Paldean Fates Tin
5 packs + $1.00 in promos
−$67.94
you lose on avg
$21.10
market EV
$89.04
sealed price
−76% return
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−$67.94
23.7% return
How the EV is Calculated
EV per booster pack = $4.02
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 7 rarity tiers. Based on 1,500 pack openings.
$4.02 × 5 packs = $20.10
This product contains 5 booster packs.
$20.10 + $1.00 promos = $21.10
Promo card value is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
$21.10 ÷ $89.04 = 23.7% return
Sealed price is the average TCGPlayer market price. Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a single rarity tier contributes to the $4.02 EV per pack. For this 5-pack product, multiply by 5.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/5pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 8 | $119.07 | 1.72% | $2.05 | $10.25 | 51.0% |
| Shiny Rare(SHR) | 120 | $4.92 | 25.00% | $1.23 | $6.15 | 30.6% |
| Shiny Ultra Rare(SUR) | 12 | $4.17 | 7.70% | $0.32 | $1.60 | 8.0% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 10 | $0.97 | 13.30% | $0.13 | $0.65 | 3.2% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $8.12 | 1.61% | $0.13 | $0.65 | 3.2% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 3 | $1.61 | 7.10% | $0.11 | $0.55 | 2.7% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 5 | $0.81 | 6.70% | $0.05 | $0.25 | 1.2% |
| Total | $4.02 | $20.10 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Paldean Fates, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Mew ex - 232/091
#232/091 · Special Illustration Rare
1 in 465 packs
$541.17
+$5.82 EV
Charizard ex - 234/091
#234/091 · Special Illustration Rare
1 in 465 packs
$218.16
+$2.35 EV
Gardevoir ex - 233/091
#233/091 · Special Illustration Rare
1 in 465 packs
$116.92
+$1.26 EV
Mew ex - 216/091
#216/091 · Shiny Ultra Rare
1 in 156 packs
$26.33
+$0.84 EV
Pikachu - 131/091
#131/091 · Shiny Rare
1 in 480 packs
$38.94
+$0.41 EV
Charizard ex - 054/091
#054/091 · Double Rare
1 in 75 packs
$4.92
+$0.33 EV
Snorlax
#202/091 · Shiny Rare
1 in 480 packs
$24.26
+$0.25 EV
Charmander - 109/091
#109/091 · Shiny Rare
1 in 480 packs
$22.79
+$0.24 EV
Pawmi - 226/091
#226/091 · Illustration Rare
1 in 42 packs
$1.92
+$0.23 EV
Wugtrio - 224/091
#224/091 · Illustration Rare
1 in 42 packs
$1.65
+$0.20 EV
Assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,500 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paldean-Fates-Pull-Rates/23de3e93-0d0f-4ae0-abc4-13664f3001a3/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paldean-fates-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://www.pokebeach.com/2024/01/paldean-fates-pull-rates-revealed). Your results will vary.
- ●Sealed price ($89.04) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on estimated value of included promos.
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.