Rip or Flip
Paldean Fates Mini Tin
KEEP SEALED

Paldean Fates Mini Tin

2 packs

−$26.64

you lose on avg

$8.04

market EV

$34.68

sealed price

77% return

Prices updated: 1h agoEV calculated: 1h agoPull rate confidence:High
High Variance Set54% of this set's EV comes from ultra-rare pulls (less than 1-in-50 odds). Most packs will return significantly less than the $4.02 average.

Your Price Calculator

Paid a different price? Enter it below to see your personalized verdict.

$
KEEP SEALED

$26.64

23.2% return

How the EV is Calculated

01

EV per booster pack = $4.02

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 7 rarity tiers. Based on 1,500 pack openings.

02

$4.02 × 2 packs = $8.04

This product contains 2 booster packs.

03

$8.04 ÷ $34.68 = 23.2% return

Sealed price is the average TCGPlayer market price. Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a single rarity tier contributes to the $4.02 EV per pack. For this 2-pack product, multiply by 2.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/2pk% of Total
Special Illustration Rare(SIR)8$119.071.72%$2.05$4.1051.0%
Shiny Rare(SHR)120$4.9225.00%$1.23$2.4630.6%
Shiny Ultra Rare(SUR)12$4.177.70%$0.32$0.648.0%
Double Rare(RR)10$0.9713.30%$0.13$0.263.2%
Hyper Rare(HR)6$8.121.61%$0.13$0.263.2%
Illustration Rare(IR)3$1.617.10%$0.11$0.222.7%
Ultra Rare(UR)5$0.816.70%$0.05$0.101.2%
Total$4.02$8.04100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Paldean Fates, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

1
Mew ex - 232/091

Mew ex - 232/091

#232/091 · Special Illustration Rare

1 in 465 packs

$541.17

+$2.33 EV

2
Charizard ex - 234/091

Charizard ex - 234/091

#234/091 · Special Illustration Rare

1 in 465 packs

$218.16

+$0.94 EV

3
Gardevoir ex - 233/091

Gardevoir ex - 233/091

#233/091 · Special Illustration Rare

1 in 465 packs

$116.92

+$0.50 EV

4
Mew ex - 216/091

Mew ex - 216/091

#216/091 · Shiny Ultra Rare

1 in 156 packs

$26.33

+$0.34 EV

5
Pikachu - 131/091

Pikachu - 131/091

#131/091 · Shiny Rare

1 in 480 packs

$38.94

+$0.16 EV

6
Charizard ex - 054/091

Charizard ex - 054/091

#054/091 · Double Rare

1 in 75 packs

$4.92

+$0.13 EV

7
Snorlax

Snorlax

#202/091 · Shiny Rare

1 in 480 packs

$24.26

+$0.10 EV

8
Charmander - 109/091

Charmander - 109/091

#109/091 · Shiny Rare

1 in 480 packs

$22.79

+$0.09 EV

9
Pawmi - 226/091

Pawmi - 226/091

#226/091 · Illustration Rare

1 in 42 packs

$1.92

+$0.09 EV

10
Wugtrio - 224/091

Wugtrio - 224/091

#224/091 · Illustration Rare

1 in 42 packs

$1.65

+$0.08 EV

Assumptions

  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,500 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paldean-Fates-Pull-Rates/23de3e93-0d0f-4ae0-abc4-13664f3001a3/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paldean-fates-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://www.pokebeach.com/2024/01/paldean-fates-pull-rates-revealed). Your results will vary.
  • Sealed price ($34.68) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
← Back to all Paldean Fates products