Phantasmal Flames Sleeved Booster
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $6.71.
1 packs produce $3.72 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−64%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $10.43.
Expected Loss
−$6.71
The average opening result after paying $10.43 sealed.
Open Average
$3.72
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$2.38
Expected range $0.00-$7.82 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.72
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 5,000 pack openings.
$3.72 × 1 packs = $3.72
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$3.72 = $3.72
No promo value applied for this product.
$3.72 × 0.64 = $2.38
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $3.72 ÷ $10.43 = 35.7% • Cash-out: $2.38 ÷ $10.43 = 22.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.72 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 5 | $184.90 | 1.25% | $2.31 | $2.31 | 62.1% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 13 | $5.14 | 11.10% | $0.57 | $0.57 | 15.3% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 17 | $4.10 | 8.30% | $0.34 | $0.34 | 9.1% |
| Mega Hyper Rare(MHR) | 1 | $351.36 | 0.08% | $0.28 | $0.28 | 7.5% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 10 | $1.12 | 20.00% | $0.22 | $0.22 | 5.9% |
| Total | $3.72 | $3.72 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Phantasmal Flames, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Mega Charizard X ex - 125/094
#125/094 · SIR
1 in 400 packs
$827.09
+$2.07 EV
Mega Charizard X ex - 130/094
#130/094 · MHR
1 in 1259 packs
$351.36
+$0.28 EV
Mega Charizard X ex - 109/094
#109/094 · UR
1 in 205 packs
$33.65
+$0.16 EV
Meowth
#106/094 · IR
1 in 117 packs
$17.24
+$0.15 EV
Piplup - 098/094
#098/094 · IR
1 in 117 packs
$14.87
+$0.13 EV
Dawn - 129/094
#129/094 · SIR
1 in 400 packs
$31.70
+$0.08 EV
Mega Charizard X ex - 013/094
#013/094 · RR
1 in 50 packs
$3.60
+$0.07 EV
Mega Sharpedo ex - 127/094
#127/094 · SIR
1 in 400 packs
$25.36
+$0.06 EV
Mega Gengar ex
#056/094 · RR
1 in 50 packs
$2.48
+$0.05 EV
Dewgong - 097/094
#097/094 · IR
1 in 117 packs
$5.11
+$0.04 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 5,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Phantasmal-Flames-Pull-Rates/9abae60d-b7fb-448f-874e-176f78d6a6ca/, https://screenrant.com/pokemon-tcg-phantasmal-flames-mega-charizard-ex-sir-pull-rate/, https://tcgprotectors.com/blogs/pokemon-blog/phantasmal-flames-pull-rates-10000-packs-analyzed-hits-or-misses). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($10.43) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($10.43) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box | $414.08 | $133.92 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames ETB | $122.18 | $36.14 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames PC ETB | $309.82 | $87.62 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Bundle | $64.03 | $22.32 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames 3 Pack Blister | $31.14 | $11.66 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister | $9.87 | $3.97 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box | $57.21 | $27.46 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Sleeved Booster | $10.43 | $3.72 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Art Bundle | $41.68 | $14.88 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Pack | $9.45 | $3.72 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $12.20 | $7.10 | −42% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Pack | Black Bolt | $9.86 | $4.72 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| White Flare Booster Pack | White Flare | $9.17 | $4.33 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Pack | Perfect Order | $6.71 | $2.89 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Booster Pack | Shrouded Fable | $8.94 | $3.77 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order 3 Pack Blister | Perfect Order | $22.77 | $9.17 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Sleeved Booster | Perfect Order | $7.36 | $2.89 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
| Lost Origin Booster Pack | Lost Origin | $14.63 | $5.56 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |