Phantasmal Flames Booster Pack
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $6.36.
1 packs produce $4.02 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−61%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $10.38.
Expected Loss
−$6.36
The average opening result after paying $10.38 sealed.
Open Average
$4.02
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$2.57
Expected range $0.00-$8.40 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $4.02
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 5,000 pack openings.
$4.02 × 1 packs = $4.02
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$4.02 = $4.02
No promo value applied for this product.
$4.02 × 0.64 = $2.57
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $4.02 ÷ $10.38 = 38.7% • Cash-out: $2.57 ÷ $10.38 = 24.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $4.02 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 5 | $192.95 | 1.25% | $2.41 | $2.41 | 60.0% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 13 | $6.89 | 11.10% | $0.76 | $0.76 | 18.9% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 17 | $3.94 | 8.30% | $0.33 | $0.33 | 8.2% |
| Mega Hyper Rare(MHR) | 1 | $335.87 | 0.08% | $0.27 | $0.27 | 6.7% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 10 | $1.27 | 20.00% | $0.25 | $0.25 | 6.2% |
| Total | $4.02 | $4.02 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Phantasmal Flames, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Mega Charizard X ex - 125/094
#125/094 · SIR
1 in 400 packs
$867.15
+$2.17 EV
Meowth
#106/094 · IR
1 in 117 packs
$31.30
+$0.27 EV
Mega Charizard X ex - 130/094
#130/094 · MHR
1 in 1259 packs
$335.87
+$0.27 EV
Mega Charizard X ex - 109/094
#109/094 · UR
1 in 205 packs
$36.69
+$0.18 EV
Piplup - 098/094
#098/094 · IR
1 in 117 packs
$18.80
+$0.16 EV
Mega Charizard X ex - 013/094
#013/094 · RR
1 in 50 packs
$5.21
+$0.10 EV
Dawn - 129/094
#129/094 · SIR
1 in 400 packs
$31.38
+$0.08 EV
Mega Gengar ex
#056/094 · RR
1 in 50 packs
$3.12
+$0.06 EV
Wigglytuff - 105/094
#105/094 · IR
1 in 117 packs
$7.34
+$0.06 EV
Mega Sharpedo ex - 127/094
#127/094 · SIR
1 in 400 packs
$24.74
+$0.06 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 5,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Phantasmal-Flames-Pull-Rates/9abae60d-b7fb-448f-874e-176f78d6a6ca/, https://screenrant.com/pokemon-tcg-phantasmal-flames-mega-charizard-ex-sir-pull-rate/, https://tcgprotectors.com/blogs/pokemon-blog/phantasmal-flames-pull-rates-10000-packs-analyzed-hits-or-misses). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($10.38) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($10.38) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
Partner
You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.
4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Box | $443.72 | $144.72 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames ETB | $148.45 | $38.86 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames PC ETB | $335.05 | $101.39 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Bundle | $72.83 | $24.12 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames 3 Pack Blister | $36.94 | $12.56 | −66% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister | $11.74 | $4.27 | −64% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box | $60.79 | $28.06 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Sleeved Booster | $12.11 | $4.02 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Art Bundle | $49.57 | $16.08 | −68% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Booster Pack | $10.38 | $4.02 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Flygon Line | Chaos Rising | $20.20 | $11.57 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Pawmot Line | Chaos Rising | $21.66 | $11.57 | −47% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Booster Pack | Chaos Rising | $6.97 | $3.69 | −47% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster | Chaos Rising | $7.79 | $3.69 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $16.13 | $7.62 | −53% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising 3 Pack Blister | Chaos Rising | $25.91 | $11.57 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Pack | Perfect Order | $6.26 | $2.70 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Sleeved Booster | Perfect Order | $6.40 | $2.70 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |