Fusion Strike ETB
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $311.61.
8 packs plus $1.00 in promo value produce $31.32 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−91%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $342.93.
Expected Loss
−$311.61
The average opening result after paying $342.93 sealed.
Open Average
$31.32
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$20.04
Expected range $0.00-$10.16 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.79
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$3.79 × 8 packs = $30.32
This product contains 8 booster packs.
$30.32 + $1.00 promos = $31.32
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$31.32 × 0.64 = $20.04
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $31.32 ÷ $342.93 = 9.1% • Cash-out: $20.04 ÷ $342.93 = 5.8%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.79 EV per pack for this 8-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/8pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secret Rare(SR) | 20 | $81.08 | 2.40% | $1.95 | $15.60 | 51.5% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 47 | $9.58 | 18.50% | $1.77 | $14.16 | 46.7% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 13 | $0.31 | 22.00% | $0.07 | $0.56 | 1.8% |
| Total | $3.79 | $30.32 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Fusion Strike, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Gengar VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#271/264 · SR
1 in 833 packs
$887.02
+$8.48 EV
Mew V (Alternate Full Art)
#251/264 · UR
1 in 254 packs
$107.92
+$3.36 EV
Celebi V (Alternate Full Art)
#245/264 · UR
1 in 254 packs
$104.35
+$3.28 EV
Espeon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#270/264 · SR
1 in 833 packs
$307.65
+$2.96 EV
Mew VMAX (Alternate Art Secret)
#269/264 · SR
1 in 833 packs
$216.36
+$2.08 EV
Gengar VMAX
#157/264 · UR
1 in 254 packs
$50.04
+$1.60 EV
Swampert
#064/264 · H
1 in 59 packs
$0.59
+$0.08 EV
Deoxys
#120/264 · H
1 in 59 packs
$0.43
+$0.08 EV
Dragapult
#130/264 · H
1 in 59 packs
$0.38
+$0.08 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://pokepatch.com/2021/11/14/fusion-strike-pull-rates-might-be-the-worst-weve-seen/, https://www.digitaltq.com/fusion-strike-best-cards-to-pull-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $49.99. Current sealed price ($342.93) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($342.93) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fusion Strike Booster Box | $1128.88 | $136.44 | −88% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike ETB | $342.93 | $31.32 | −91% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike PC ETB | $493.78 | $39.90 | −92% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike 3 Pack Blister | $70.41 | $11.87 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike Build & Battle Box | $85.30 | $24.77 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike Sleeved Booster | $107.29 | $3.79 | −96% | KEEP SEALED |
| Fusion Strike Booster Pack | $17.33 | $3.79 | −78% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare ETBs Across Sets
See how this etb stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| ETB | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlet & Violet PC ETB | Scarlet & Violet | $299.90 | $154.30 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | Obsidian Flames | $706.33 | $360.43 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising ETB | Chaos Rising | $82.24 | $39.97 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes ETB | Ascended Heroes | $169.35 | $78.64 | −54% | KEEP SEALED |
| Stellar Crown PC ETB | Stellar Crown | $172.95 | $73.73 | −57% | KEEP SEALED |
| Mega Evolution PC ETB | Mega Evolution | $277.36 | $116.21 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable PC ETB | Shrouded Fable | $165.91 | $68.14 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |
| Journey Together PC ETB | Journey Together | $208.09 | $85.17 | −59% | KEEP SEALED |