Obsidian Flames Sleeved Booster
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $9.27.
1 packs produce $3.15 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−75%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $12.42.
Expected Loss
−$9.27
The average opening result after paying $12.42 sealed.
Open Average
$3.15
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$2.02
Expected range $1.14-$5.16 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.15
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$3.15 × 1 packs = $3.15
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$3.15 = $3.15
No promo value applied for this product.
$3.15 × 0.64 = $2.02
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $3.15 ÷ $12.42 = 25.4% • Cash-out: $2.02 ÷ $12.42 = 16.3%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.15 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 12 | $18.86 | 7.70% | $1.45 | $1.45 | 46.0% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 6 | $30.35 | 3.10% | $0.94 | $0.94 | 29.8% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $16.72 | 1.90% | $0.32 | $0.32 | 10.2% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 12 | $3.61 | 6.70% | $0.24 | $0.24 | 7.6% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 21 | $1.43 | 14.30% | $0.20 | $0.20 | 6.3% |
| Total | $3.15 | $3.15 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Obsidian Flames, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Charizard ex - 223/197
#223/197 · SIR
1 in 194 packs
$141.49
+$0.73 EV
Ninetales -199/197
#199/197 · IR
1 in 156 packs
$50.91
+$0.33 EV
Cleffa - 202/197
#202/197 · IR
1 in 156 packs
$45.85
+$0.29 EV
Charizard ex - 228/197
#228/197 · HR
1 in 158 packs
$44.42
+$0.28 EV
Gloom - 198/197
#198/197 · IR
1 in 156 packs
$28.41
+$0.18 EV
Charizard ex - 215/197
#215/197 · UR
1 in 179 packs
$22.04
+$0.12 EV
Pidgeot ex - 225/197
#225/197 · SIR
1 in 194 packs
$21.35
+$0.11 EV
Charizard ex - 125/197
#125/197 · RR
1 in 147 packs
$6.00
+$0.04 EV
Tyranitar ex - 211/197
#211/197 · UR
1 in 179 packs
$5.88
+$0.03 EV
Eiscue ex - 222/197
#222/197 · SIR
1 in 194 packs
$6.50
+$0.03 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Obsidian-Flames-Pull-Rates/e2a66999-a7b5-4621-9765-c9a132e04bd2/, https://www.digitaltq.com/obsidian-flames-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://www.thepricedex.com/set/sv3/obsidian-flames/pull-rates). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($12.42) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($12.42) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obsidian Flames Booster Box | $377.58 | $113.40 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames ETB | $297.37 | $104.65 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames PC ETB | $706.33 | $363.92 | −48% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames Booster Bundle | $108.26 | $18.90 | −83% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames 3 Pack Blister | $34.08 | $9.95 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames Single Pack Blister | $11.05 | $3.40 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames Build & Battle Box | $51.73 | $18.26 | −65% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames Sleeved Booster | $12.42 | $3.15 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Obsidian Flames Booster Pack | $11.62 | $3.15 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Flygon Line | Chaos Rising | $20.21 | $11.78 | −42% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Pawmot Line | Chaos Rising | $20.95 | $11.78 | −44% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Booster Pack | Ascended Heroes | $14.27 | $7.67 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Booster Pack | Chaos Rising | $7.32 | $3.76 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising Sleeved Booster | Chaos Rising | $7.82 | $3.76 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Booster Pack | Black Bolt | $13.55 | $6.10 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Chaos Rising 3 Pack Blister | Chaos Rising | $26.55 | $11.78 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |
| Perfect Order Booster Pack | Perfect Order | $6.14 | $2.69 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |