Destined Rivals Build & Battle Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $37.29.
4 packs plus $9.73 in promo value produce $23.13 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−62%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $60.42.
Expected Loss
−$37.29
The average opening result after paying $60.42 sealed.
Open Average
$23.13
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$14.80
Expected range $1.15-$5.55 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $3.35
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$3.35 × 4 packs = $13.40
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$13.40 + $9.73 promos = $23.13
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$23.13 × 0.64 = $14.80
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $23.13 ÷ $60.42 = 38.3% • Cash-out: $14.80 ÷ $60.42 = 24.5%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.35 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 11 | $138.11 | 1.06% | $1.46 | $5.84 | 43.6% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 23 | $14.70 | 8.30% | $1.22 | $4.88 | 36.4% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 22 | $5.31 | 6.25% | $0.33 | $1.32 | 9.9% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $28.99 | 0.67% | $0.19 | $0.76 | 5.7% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 17 | $0.75 | 20.00% | $0.15 | $0.60 | 4.5% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $0.00 | 5.00% | $0.00 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
| Total | $3.35 | $13.40 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Destined Rivals, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 231/182
#231/182 · SIR
1 in 1038 packs
$566.92
+$2.20 EV
Misty's Psyduck - 193/182
#193/182 · IR
1 in 277 packs
$79.37
+$1.16 EV
Cynthia's Garchomp ex - 232/182
#232/182 · SIR
1 in 1038 packs
$293.04
+$1.12 EV
Ethan's Ho-Oh ex - 230/182
#230/182 · SIR
1 in 1038 packs
$169.63
+$0.64 EV
Misty's Lapras - 194/182
#194/182 · IR
1 in 277 packs
$40.21
+$0.60 EV
Team Rocket's Meowth - 203/182
#203/182 · IR
1 in 277 packs
$32.34
+$0.48 EV
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 240/182
#240/182 · HR
1 in 896 packs
$72.99
+$0.32 EV
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 213/182
#213/182 · UR
1 in 352 packs
$25.40
+$0.28 EV
Team Rocket's Petrel - 226/182
#226/182 · UR
1 in 352 packs
$12.34
+$0.16 EV
Cynthia's Garchomp ex - 241/182
#241/182 · HR
1 in 896 packs
$34.44
+$0.16 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Destined-Rivals-Pull-Rates/43ba832e-44c9-45a4-ae2e-594df2defdda/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-destined-rivals-expansion-pull-rates/, https://clickandcollectables.com.au/blogs/news/destined-rivals-pull-rates-chase-cards). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $21.99. Current sealed price ($60.42) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($60.42) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($9.73) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Destined Rivals Booster Box | $615.08 | $120.60 | −80% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals ETB | $204.68 | $43.82 | −79% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals PC ETB | $559.75 | $159.09 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Booster Bundle | $78.50 | $20.10 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals 3 Pack Blister | $41.48 | $10.55 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Single Pack Blister | $12.72 | $3.60 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Build & Battle Box | $60.42 | $23.13 | −62% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Sleeved Booster | $11.99 | $3.35 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Art Bundle | $43.55 | $13.40 | −69% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Booster Pack | $8.69 | $3.35 | −61% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $53.41 | $45.74 | −14% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $41.59 | $23.65 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $41.67 | $22.98 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $30.19 | $16.24 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $32.09 | $16.24 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Silver Tempest Build & Battle Box | Silver Tempest | $49.94 | $24.54 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Black Bolt Tech Sticker Collection | Black Bolt | $37.60 | $18.27 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Heavy Hitters Premium Collection | Black Bolt | $144.57 | $69.66 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |