Destined Rivals Build & Battle Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $27.66.
4 packs plus $8.38 in promo value produce $20.06 of average market value.
Return vs Market
−58%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $47.72.
Expected Loss
−$27.66
The average opening result after paying $47.72 sealed.
Open Average
$20.06
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$12.84
Expected range $1.05-$4.79 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $2.92
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.92 × 4 packs = $11.68
This product contains 4 booster packs.
$11.68 + $8.38 promos = $20.06
Promo value uses live TCGPlayer prices for included promo cards.
$20.06 × 0.64 = $12.84
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $20.06 ÷ $47.72 = 42.0% • Cash-out: $12.84 ÷ $47.72 = 26.9%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $2.92 EV per pack for this 4-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/4pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 11 | $119.30 | 1.06% | $1.26 | $5.04 | 43.2% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 23 | $12.37 | 8.30% | $1.03 | $4.12 | 35.3% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 22 | $5.09 | 6.25% | $0.32 | $1.28 | 11.0% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $26.39 | 0.67% | $0.18 | $0.72 | 6.2% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 17 | $0.67 | 20.00% | $0.13 | $0.52 | 4.5% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $0.00 | 5.00% | $0.00 | $0.00 | 0.0% |
| Total | $2.92 | $11.68 | 100% | |||
Promo Cards
Promo cards tied to this product. Some releases include all shown promos, while others include a random subset.
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Destined Rivals, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 231/182
#231/182 · SIR
1 in 1038 packs
$517.21
+$2.00 EV
Misty's Psyduck - 193/182
#193/182 · IR
1 in 277 packs
$60.83
+$0.88 EV
Cynthia's Garchomp ex - 232/182
#232/182 · SIR
1 in 1038 packs
$222.62
+$0.84 EV
Ethan's Ho-Oh ex - 230/182
#230/182 · SIR
1 in 1038 packs
$160.68
+$0.60 EV
Team Rocket's Meowth - 203/182
#203/182 · IR
1 in 277 packs
$32.11
+$0.48 EV
Misty's Lapras - 194/182
#194/182 · IR
1 in 277 packs
$31.53
+$0.44 EV
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 240/182
#240/182 · HR
1 in 896 packs
$58.87
+$0.28 EV
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 213/182
#213/182 · UR
1 in 352 packs
$20.77
+$0.24 EV
Team Rocket's Petrel - 226/182
#226/182 · UR
1 in 352 packs
$14.10
+$0.16 EV
Cynthia's Garchomp ex - 241/182
#241/182 · HR
1 in 896 packs
$32.09
+$0.16 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Destined-Rivals-Pull-Rates/43ba832e-44c9-45a4-ae2e-594df2defdda/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-destined-rivals-expansion-pull-rates/, https://clickandcollectables.com.au/blogs/news/destined-rivals-pull-rates-chase-cards). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $21.99. Current sealed price ($47.72) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($47.72) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($8.38) is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Destined Rivals Booster Box | $592.78 | $105.12 | −82% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals ETB | $217.59 | $35.66 | −84% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals PC ETB | $516.87 | $136.43 | −74% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Booster Bundle | $66.02 | $17.52 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals 3 Pack Blister | $39.52 | $9.26 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Single Pack Blister | $11.62 | $3.17 | −73% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Build & Battle Box | $47.72 | $20.06 | −58% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Sleeved Booster | $8.85 | $2.92 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Art Bundle | $38.99 | $11.68 | −70% | KEEP SEALED |
| Destined Rivals Booster Pack | $8.85 | $2.92 | −67% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Collections Across Sets
See how this collection stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.
| Collection | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivid Voltage Build & Battle Box | Vivid Voltage | $52.16 | $43.19 | −17% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Erika | Ascended Heroes | $23.04 | $14.88 | −35% | KEEP SEALED |
| Ascended Heroes Collection - Larry | Ascended Heroes | $23.31 | $14.88 | −36% | KEEP SEALED |
| Shrouded Fable Kingambit Illustration Collection | Shrouded Fable | $37.39 | $20.65 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Astral Radiance Build & Battle Box | Astral Radiance | $38.58 | $20.22 | −48% | KEEP SEALED |
| Prismatic Evolutions Surprise Box | Prismatic Evolutions | $54.13 | $26.34 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Phantasmal Flames Build & Battle Box | Phantasmal Flames | $56.24 | $27.31 | −51% | KEEP SEALED |
| Unova Victini Illustration Collection | Black Bolt | $51.69 | $25.00 | −52% | KEEP SEALED |