Rip or Flip
Brilliant Stars Sleeved Booster

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$63.28

MSRP

$4.49

Spread: +$58.79 (1309%) above MSRP

Buy on TCGPlayer →
KEEP SEALEDBrilliant Stars1 pack

Brilliant Stars Sleeved Booster

Average opening value trails the buy-in by $59.54.

1 packs produce $3.74 of average market value at current prices.

Return vs Market

−94%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $63.28.

Expected Loss

−$59.54

The average opening result after paying $63.28 sealed.

Open Average

$3.74

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$2.39

Expected range $0.00-$15.96 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · High confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $3.74

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 1,004 pack openings.

02

$3.74 × 1 packs = $3.74

This product contains 1 booster pack.

03

$3.74 = $3.74

No promo value applied for this product.

04

$3.74 × 0.64 = $2.39

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $3.74 ÷ $63.28 = 5.9%Cash-out: $2.39 ÷ $63.28 = 3.8%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $3.74 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/1pk% of Total
Ultra Rare(UR)48$13.6123.70%$3.22$3.2286.1%
Secret Rare(SR)14$15.242.80%$0.43$0.4311.5%
Holo Rare(H)10$0.3626.39%$0.09$0.092.4%
Total$3.74$3.74100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Brilliant Stars, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,004 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/brilliant-stars-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2022/02/16/brilliant-stars-pull-rates-for-new-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $4.49. Current sealed price ($63.28) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($63.28) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

Partner

You know what to buy. Collectify Discord helps you find it.

Try Free for 1 Month

Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Brilliant Stars Booster Box$611.08$134.64−78%KEEP SEALED
Brilliant Stars ETB$164.89$30.92−81%KEEP SEALED
Brilliant Stars PC ETB$248.43$39.40−84%KEEP SEALED
Brilliant Stars 3 Pack Blister$46.36$11.72−75%KEEP SEALED
Brilliant Stars Build & Battle Box$54.56$17.38−68%KEEP SEALED
Brilliant Stars Sleeved Booster$63.28$3.74−94%KEEP SEALED
Brilliant Stars Booster Pack$14.58$3.74−74%KEEP SEALED

Compare Packs Across Sets

See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Pokémon TCG sets.

PackSetPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Flygon LineChaos Rising$20.21$11.78−42%KEEP SEALED
Chaos Rising Premium Checklane Blister - Pawmot LineChaos Rising$20.95$11.78−44%KEEP SEALED
Ascended Heroes Booster PackAscended Heroes$14.27$7.67−46%KEEP SEALED
Chaos Rising Booster PackChaos Rising$7.32$3.76−49%KEEP SEALED
Chaos Rising Sleeved BoosterChaos Rising$7.82$3.76−52%KEEP SEALED
Black Bolt Booster PackBlack Bolt$13.55$6.10−55%KEEP SEALED
Chaos Rising 3 Pack BlisterChaos Rising$26.55$11.78−56%KEEP SEALED
Perfect Order Booster PackPerfect Order$6.14$2.69−56%KEEP SEALED
← Back to all Brilliant Stars products