Pokemon 151 is on the edge.
It could go either way.
151 Poster Collection returns 92% — close to breakeven.
All 10 Products
151 Poster Collection
3 packs
92.3%
return on $24.64
$24.64 → EV: $22.75
You lose ~$1.89
See full breakdown →
151 Zapdos ex Collection
4 packs
80.8%
return on $38.38
$38.38 → EV: $31.00
You lose ~$7.38
See full breakdown →
151 Alakazam ex Collection
4 packs
80.0%
return on $38.77
$38.77 → EV: $31.00
You lose ~$7.77
See full breakdown →
151 Mini Tin
2 packs
49.5%
return on $29.27
$29.27 → EV: $14.50
You lose ~$14.77
See full breakdown →
151 Booster Pack
1 pack
36.8%
return on $19.69
$19.69 → EV: $7.25
You lose ~$12.44
See full breakdown →
151 Ultra-Premium Collection
16 packs
35.6%
return on $354.26
$354.26 → EV: $126.00
You lose ~$228.26
See full breakdown →
151 Binder Collection
4 packs
20.5%
return on $146.63
$146.63 → EV: $30.00
You lose ~$116.63
See full breakdown →
151 PC ETB
11 packs
17.4%
return on $470.33
$470.33 → EV: $81.75
You lose ~$388.58
See full breakdown →
151 ETB
9 packs
14.5%
return on $458.07
$458.07 → EV: $66.25
You lose ~$391.82
See full breakdown →
151 Booster Bundle
6 packs
4.8%
return on $902.48
$902.48 → EV: $43.50
You lose ~$858.98
See full breakdown →
Chase Cards — What could you pull?
Charizard ex - 199/165
#199/165
Special Illustration Rare$299.53
EV: $1.33
Blastoise ex - 200/165
#200/165
Special Illustration Rare$118.13
EV: $0.52
Venusaur ex - 198/165
#198/165
Special Illustration Rare$99.94
EV: $0.44
Charmander - 168/165
#168/165
Illustration Rare$82.04
EV: $0.39
Zapdos ex - 202/165
#202/165
Special Illustration Rare$80.36
EV: $0.36
Squirtle - 170/165
#170/165
Illustration Rare$73.26
EV: $0.35
Pikachu - 173/165
#173/165
Illustration Rare$57.93
EV: $0.28
Alakazam ex - 201/165
#201/165
Special Illustration Rare$58.95
EV: $0.26
Charmeleon - 169/165
#169/165
Illustration Rare$53.84
EV: $0.26
Bulbasaur - 166/165
#166/165
Illustration Rare$52.31
EV: $0.25
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $98.58 | 3.10% | $3.06 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 16 | $36.78 | 7.70% | $2.83 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 16 | $11.15 | 6.25% | $0.70 |
| Double Rare(RR) | 13 | $3.76 | 12.50% | $0.47 |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $9.57 | 2.00% | $0.19 |
| Total EV / Pack | $7.25 | |||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare(RR) | 12.50% | 1 in 8 | 1,500 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 7.70% | 1 in 13 | 1,500 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 6.25% | 1 in 16 | 1,500 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 3.10% | 1 in 32 | 1,500 |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 2.00% | 1 in 50 | 1,500 |
Sources: https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-151-Pull-Rates/b237df74-fbb0-40d0-9e13-d69ee6e804d9/, https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-151-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/15/scarlet-violet-151-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Pokemon 151 worth opening?
- 151 Poster Collection sits at 92% return — right on the edge. It could go either way depending on what you pull.
- What is the EV of a Pokemon 151 booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Pokemon 151 booster pack is $7.25 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What are the best cards to pull in Pokemon 151?
- The most valuable cards in Pokemon 151 are Charizard ex - 199/165 ($299.53), Blastoise ex - 200/165 ($118.13), Venusaur ex - 198/165 ($99.94).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Pokemon 151?
- Pull rates are based on 1,500 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
As of February 2026, Pokemon 151 products return an average of 43% of their sealed price based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 1,500+ pack openings.