Price Snapshot
Current Market
$3795.29
MSRP
$95.76
Spread: +$3699.53 (3863%) above MSRP
Buy on TCGPlayer →Romance Dawn Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $3371.45.
24 packs produce $423.84 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−89%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $3795.29.
Expected Loss
−$3371.45
The average opening result after paying $3795.29 sealed.
Open Average
$423.84
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$271.26
Expected range $0.58-$34.74 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $17.66
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,000 pack openings.
$17.66 × 24 packs = $423.84
This product contains 24 booster packs.
$423.84 = $423.84
No promo value applied for this product.
$423.84 × 0.64 = $271.26
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $423.84 ÷ $3795.29 = 11.2% • Cash-out: $271.26 ÷ $3795.29 = 7.2%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $17.66 EV per pack for this 24-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/24pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternate Art(AA) | 26 | $151.43 | 8.30% | $12.57 | $301.68 | 71.2% |
| Manga Rare(MR) | 1 | $2038.87 | 0.17% | $3.47 | $83.28 | 19.6% |
| L(L) | 8 | $1.74 | 50.00% | $0.87 | $20.88 | 4.9% |
| SR(SR) | 10 | $1.57 | 33.30% | $0.52 | $12.48 | 2.9% |
| SEC(SEC) | 2 | $5.47 | 4.17% | $0.23 | $5.52 | 1.3% |
| Total | $17.66 | $423.84 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Romance Dawn, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Shanks (Parallel) (Manga) (Alternate Art)
#OP01-120 · MR
1 in 588 packs
$2038.87
+$83.28 EV
Monkey.D.Luffy (003) (Parallel)
#OP01-003 · AA
1 in 313 packs
$854.17
+$65.52 EV
Roronoa Zoro (001) (Parallel)
#OP01-001 · AA
1 in 313 packs
$558.38
+$42.72 EV
Trafalgar Law (002) (Parallel)
#OP01-002 · AA
1 in 313 packs
$476.37
+$36.48 EV
Monkey.D.Luffy (003)
#OP01-003 · L
1 in 16 packs
$9.26
+$13.92 EV
Roronoa Zoro (025)
#OP01-025 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$3.91
+$3.12 EV
Roronoa Zoro (001)
#OP01-001 · L
1 in 16 packs
$1.98
+$2.88 EV
Kaido (094)
#OP01-094 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$3.40
+$2.64 EV
Shanks
#OP01-120 · SEC
1 in 48 packs
$5.49
+$2.64 EV
Yamato
#OP01-121 · SEC
1 in 48 packs
$5.45
+$2.64 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,000 pack openings (https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition, https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $95.76. Current sealed price ($3795.29) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($3795.29) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romance Dawn Booster Box | $3795.29 | $423.84 | −89% | KEEP SEALED |
| Romance Dawn Booster Pack | $77.46 | $17.66 | −77% | KEEP SEALED |
| Romance Dawn Sleeved Booster Pack | $178.37 | $17.66 | −90% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other One Piece TCG sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adventure on Kami's Island Booster Box | Adventure on Kami's Island | $233.03 | $273.60 | +17% | RIP IT |
| The Azure Sea's Seven Booster Box | The Azure Sea's Seven | $235.98 | $259.92 | +10% | RIP IT |
| Carrying On His Will Booster Box | Carrying On His Will | $575.66 | $602.40 | +5% | HOLD |
| Premium Booster Vol. 2 Booster Box | Premium Booster The Best Vol. 2 | $289.57 | $242.60 | −16% | KEEP SEALED |
| Legacy of the Master Booster Box | Legacy of the Master | $245.44 | $202.56 | −17% | KEEP SEALED |
| A Fist of Divine Speed Booster Box | A Fist of Divine Speed | $397.46 | $323.76 | −19% | KEEP SEALED |
| Wings of the Captain Booster Box | Wings of the Captain | $319.10 | $188.88 | −41% | KEEP SEALED |
| 500 Years in the Future Booster Box | 500 Years in the Future | $292.85 | $170.64 | −42% | KEEP SEALED |