Romance Dawn
Don't rip Romance Dawn right now.
−89%
$3795.29 sealed → $423.84 EV | EV/pack: $17.66
Even the best product loses −$3371.45 on average.
If you must open something: Romance Dawn Booster Box loses the least at −$3371.45.
Best product to check
Romance Dawn Booster Box
MSRP $95.76 • Market price $3795.29 • Return −89%
Set EV History
Recent movement in set-level EV based on current pricing and pull-rate assumptions.
EV Trend
EV per pack and best product return over time.
Best Sealed Products
Browse the current set products sorted by return, price, and market EV.
All 3 Products
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4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Chase Cards
What you could pull from this set, ranked by value.
Shanks (Parallel) (Manga) (Alternate Art)
#OP01-120
MR$2038.87
EV: $3.47
Monkey.D.Luffy (003) (Parallel)
#OP01-003
AA$854.17
EV: $2.73
Roronoa Zoro (001) (Parallel)
#OP01-001
AA$558.38
EV: $1.78
View 7 more chase cards
Trafalgar Law (002) (Parallel)
#OP01-002
AA$476.37
EV: $1.52
Nami (Parallel)
#OP01-016
AA$447.06
EV: $1.43
Donquixote Doflamingo (060) (Parallel)
#OP01-060
AA$273.30
EV: $0.87
Monkey.D.Luffy (003)
#OP01-003
L$9.26
EV: $0.58
Roronoa Zoro (025) (Parallel)
#OP01-025
AA$159.31
EV: $0.51
Crocodile (062) (Parallel)
#OP01-062
AA$143.64
EV: $0.46
Kaido (061) (Parallel)
#OP01-061
AA$140.63
EV: $0.45
Deep Dives
Expandable sections for the EV math, pull-rate tables, and editorial FAQ.
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Range | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternate Art(AA) | 26 | $151.43 | $4.95–$854.17 | 8.30% | $12.57 |
| Manga Rare(MR) | 1 | $2038.87 | $2038.87–$2038.87 | 0.17% | $3.47 |
| L(L) | 8 | $1.74 | $0.25–$9.26 | 50.00% | $0.87 |
| SR(SR) | 10 | $1.57 | $0.48–$3.91 | 33.30% | $0.52 |
| SEC(SEC) | 2 | $5.47 | $5.45–$5.49 | 4.17% | $0.23 |
| Total EV / Pack | $17.66 | ||||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manga Rare(MR) | 0.17% | 1 in 588 | 1,000 |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 8.30% | 1 in 12 | 1,000 |
| L(L) | 50.00% | 1 in 2 | 1,000 |
| SR(SR) | 33.30% | 1 in 3 | 1,000 |
| SEC(SEC) | 4.17% | 1 in 24 | 1,000 |
Sources: https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition, https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Romance Dawn worth opening?
- At current market prices, Romance Dawn Booster Box loses $3371.45 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Romance Dawn booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Romance Dawn booster pack is $17.66 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What is the MSRP for Romance Dawn products?
- Romance Dawn Booster Box launched at $95.76 MSRP. Compare that to the current sealed market price of $3795.29 to see how far Romance Dawn pricing has moved from retail.
- What are the best cards to pull in Romance Dawn?
- The most valuable cards in Romance Dawn are Shanks (Parallel) (Manga) (Alternate Art) ($2038.87), Monkey.D.Luffy (003) (Parallel) ($854.17), Roronoa Zoro (001) (Parallel) ($558.38).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Romance Dawn?
- Pull rates are based on 1,000 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
- What is the best Romance Dawn product to buy?
- Based on current EV calculations, Romance Dawn Booster Box offers the best return at −89% (−$3371.45). It contains 24 packs and is priced at $3795.29.
- How often are Romance Dawn prices updated?
- All prices are updated daily at 21:00 UTC using TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV. EV calculations refresh automatically with each price update.
- What is cash-out EV for Romance Dawn?
- Cash-out EV is the expected value after marketplace fees, shipping, and liquidity discounts. We apply a 0.64x multiplier to market EV. For Romance Dawn Booster Box, cash-out EV is $271.26 versus $423.84 market EV.
- How do pull rates work for Romance Dawn?
- Pull rates represent the probability of pulling each rarity tier from a single booster pack. They are based on 1,000 community pack openings. Each rarity tier has a different pull rate — higher rarities are harder to pull but typically more valuable.
As of April 2026, Romance Dawn products lose an average of $1197.32 (−85%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 1,000+ pack openings.