Romance Dawn
Don't rip Romance Dawn right now.
−89%
$3799.51 sealed → $430.08 EV | EV/pack: $17.92
Even the best product loses −$3369.43 on average.
If you must open something: Romance Dawn Booster Box loses the least at −$3369.43.
Best product to check
Romance Dawn Booster Box
MSRP $95.76 • Market price $3799.51 • Return −89%
Set EV History
Recent movement in set-level EV based on current pricing and pull-rate assumptions.
EV Trend
EV per pack and best product return over time.
Best Sealed Products
Browse the current set products sorted by return, price, and market EV.
All 3 Products
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4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Chase Cards
What you could pull from this set, ranked by value.
Shanks (Parallel) (Manga) (Alternate Art)
#OP01-120
MR$2078.49
EV: $3.53
Monkey.D.Luffy (003) (Parallel)
#OP01-003
AA$902.71
EV: $2.88
Roronoa Zoro (001) (Parallel)
#OP01-001
AA$556.30
EV: $1.78
View 7 more chase cards
Trafalgar Law (002) (Parallel)
#OP01-002
AA$449.80
EV: $1.44
Nami (Parallel)
#OP01-016
AA$398.81
EV: $1.27
Monkey.D.Luffy (003)
#OP01-003
L$13.31
EV: $0.83
Donquixote Doflamingo (060) (Parallel)
#OP01-060
AA$193.19
EV: $0.62
Roronoa Zoro (025) (Parallel)
#OP01-025
AA$160.62
EV: $0.51
Crocodile (062) (Parallel)
#OP01-062
AA$140.61
EV: $0.45
Monkey.D.Luffy (024) (Parallel)
#OP01-024
AA$139.05
EV: $0.44
Deep Dives
Expandable sections for the EV math, pull-rate tables, and editorial FAQ.
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Range | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternate Art(AA) | 26 | $145.47 | $5.07–$902.71 | 8.30% | $12.07 |
| Manga Rare(MR) | 1 | $2078.49 | $2078.49–$2078.49 | 0.17% | $3.53 |
| L(L) | 8 | $2.90 | $0.29–$13.31 | 50.00% | $1.45 |
| SR(SR) | 10 | $1.75 | $0.56–$5.37 | 33.30% | $0.58 |
| SEC(SEC) | 2 | $6.90 | $6.43–$7.38 | 4.17% | $0.29 |
| Total EV / Pack | $17.92 | ||||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manga Rare(MR) | 0.17% | 1 in 588 | 1,000 |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 8.30% | 1 in 12 | 1,000 |
| L(L) | 50.00% | 1 in 2 | 1,000 |
| SR(SR) | 33.30% | 1 in 3 | 1,000 |
| SEC(SEC) | 4.17% | 1 in 24 | 1,000 |
Sources: https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition, https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Romance Dawn worth opening?
- At current market prices, Romance Dawn Booster Box loses $3369.43 on average. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Romance Dawn booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Romance Dawn booster pack is $17.92 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What is the MSRP for Romance Dawn products?
- Romance Dawn Booster Box launched at $95.76 MSRP. Compare that to the current sealed market price of $3799.51 to see how far Romance Dawn pricing has moved from retail.
- What are the best cards to pull in Romance Dawn?
- The most valuable cards in Romance Dawn are Shanks (Parallel) (Manga) (Alternate Art) ($2078.49), Monkey.D.Luffy (003) (Parallel) ($902.71), Roronoa Zoro (001) (Parallel) ($556.30).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Romance Dawn?
- Pull rates are based on 1,000 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
- What is the best Romance Dawn product to buy?
- Based on current EV calculations, Romance Dawn Booster Box offers the best return at −89% (−$3369.43). It contains 24 packs and is priced at $3799.51.
- How often are Romance Dawn prices updated?
- All prices are updated daily at 21:00 UTC using TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV. EV calculations refresh automatically with each price update.
- What is cash-out EV for Romance Dawn?
- Cash-out EV is the expected value after marketplace fees, shipping, and liquidity discounts. We apply a 0.64x multiplier to market EV. For Romance Dawn Booster Box, cash-out EV is $275.25 versus $430.08 market EV.
- How do pull rates work for Romance Dawn?
- Pull rates represent the probability of pulling each rarity tier from a single booster pack. They are based on 1,000 community pack openings. Each rarity tier has a different pull rate — higher rarities are harder to pull but typically more valuable.
As of May 2026, Romance Dawn products lose an average of $1192.58 (−85%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 1,000+ pack openings.