Romance Dawn Booster Pack
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $55.10.
1 packs produce $17.92 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−75%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $73.02.
Expected Loss
−$55.10
The average opening result after paying $73.02 sealed.
Open Average
$17.92
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$11.47
Expected range $0.65-$35.19 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $17.92
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,000 pack openings.
$17.92 × 1 packs = $17.92
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$17.92 = $17.92
No promo value applied for this product.
$17.92 × 0.64 = $11.47
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $17.92 ÷ $73.02 = 24.5% • Cash-out: $11.47 ÷ $73.02 = 15.7%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $17.92 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alternate Art(AA) | 26 | $145.47 | 8.30% | $12.07 | $12.07 | 67.4% |
| Manga Rare(MR) | 1 | $2078.49 | 0.17% | $3.53 | $3.53 | 19.7% |
| L(L) | 8 | $2.90 | 50.00% | $1.45 | $1.45 | 8.1% |
| SR(SR) | 10 | $1.75 | 33.30% | $0.58 | $0.58 | 3.2% |
| SEC(SEC) | 2 | $6.90 | 4.17% | $0.29 | $0.29 | 1.6% |
| Total | $17.92 | $17.92 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Romance Dawn, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Shanks (Parallel) (Manga) (Alternate Art)
#OP01-120 · MR
1 in 588 packs
$2078.49
+$3.53 EV
Monkey.D.Luffy (003) (Parallel)
#OP01-003 · AA
1 in 313 packs
$902.71
+$2.88 EV
Roronoa Zoro (001) (Parallel)
#OP01-001 · AA
1 in 313 packs
$556.30
+$1.78 EV
Trafalgar Law (002) (Parallel)
#OP01-002 · AA
1 in 313 packs
$449.80
+$1.44 EV
Monkey.D.Luffy (003)
#OP01-003 · L
1 in 16 packs
$13.31
+$0.83 EV
Roronoa Zoro (001)
#OP01-001 · L
1 in 16 packs
$4.27
+$0.27 EV
Trafalgar Law (002)
#OP01-002 · L
1 in 16 packs
$3.88
+$0.24 EV
Roronoa Zoro (025)
#OP01-025 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$5.37
+$0.18 EV
Yamato
#OP01-121 · SEC
1 in 48 packs
$7.38
+$0.15 EV
Monkey.D.Luffy (024)
#OP01-024 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$4.08
+$0.14 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,000 pack openings (https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition, https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $3.99. Current sealed price ($73.02) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($73.02) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romance Dawn Booster Box | $3799.51 | $430.08 | −89% | KEEP SEALED |
| Romance Dawn Booster Pack | $73.02 | $17.92 | −75% | KEEP SEALED |
| Romance Dawn Sleeved Booster Pack | $171.14 | $17.92 | −90% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other One Piece TCG sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Azure Sea's Seven Sleeved Booster Pack | The Azure Sea's Seven | $9.46 | $9.53 | +1% | HOLD |
| Adventure on Kami's Island Sleeved Booster Pack | Adventure on Kami's Island | $10.40 | $9.14 | −12% | KEEP SEALED |
| Carrying On His Will Sleeved Booster Pack | Carrying On His Will | $30.50 | $25.39 | −17% | KEEP SEALED |
| Legacy of the Master Sleeved Booster Pack | Legacy of the Master | $15.32 | $8.83 | −42% | KEEP SEALED |
| A Fist of Divine Speed Sleeved Booster Pack | A Fist of Divine Speed | $27.38 | $14.65 | −46% | KEEP SEALED |
| Royal Blood Sleeved Booster Pack | Royal Blood | $9.16 | $4.86 | −47% | KEEP SEALED |
| One Piece Heroines Edition Sleeved Booster Pack | One Piece Heroines Edition | $14.65 | $6.52 | −55% | KEEP SEALED |
| Emperors in the New World Sleeved Booster Pack | Emperors in the New World | $30.12 | $11.17 | −63% | KEEP SEALED |