500 Years in the Future Booster Box
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $133.28.
24 packs produce $184.32 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−42%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $317.60.
Expected Loss
−$133.28
The average opening result after paying $317.60 sealed.
Open Average
$184.32
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$117.96
Expected range $5.40-$9.96 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $7.68
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 7 rarity tiers. Based on 1,000 pack openings.
$7.68 × 24 packs = $184.32
This product contains 24 booster packs.
$184.32 = $184.32
No promo value applied for this product.
$184.32 × 0.64 = $117.96
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $184.32 ÷ $317.60 = 58.0% • Cash-out: $117.96 ÷ $317.60 = 37.1%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $7.68 EV per pack for this 24-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/24pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manga Rare(MR) | 1 | $2114.96 | 0.17% | $3.60 | $86.40 | 46.9% |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 24 | $22.56 | 8.30% | $1.87 | $44.88 | 24.3% |
| SR(SR) | 10 | $2.69 | 33.30% | $0.90 | $21.60 | 11.7% |
| Special Rare(SP) | 6 | $105.45 | 0.70% | $0.74 | $17.76 | 9.6% |
| TR(TR) | 1 | $120.24 | 0.35% | $0.42 | $10.08 | 5.5% |
| L(L) | 6 | $0.16 | 50.00% | $0.08 | $1.92 | 1.0% |
| SEC(SEC) | 2 | $1.73 | 4.17% | $0.07 | $1.68 | 0.9% |
| Total | $7.68 | $184.32 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in 500 Years in the Future, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Boa Hancock (051) (Parallel) (Manga)
#OP07-051 · MR
1 in 588 packs
$2114.96
+$86.40 EV
Trafalgar Law (010) (TR)
#ST10-010 · TR
1 in 286 packs
$120.24
+$10.08 EV
Boa Hancock (051)
#OP07-051 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$12.22
+$9.84 EV
O-Nami (SP)
#OP06-101 · SP
1 in 857 packs
$347.03
+$9.60 EV
Boa Hancock (038) (Parallel)
#OP07-038 · AA
1 in 289 packs
$94.53
+$7.92 EV
Boa Hancock (051) (Parallel)
#OP07-051 · AA
1 in 289 packs
$64.75
+$5.28 EV
Jewelry Bonney (019) (Parallel)
#OP07-019 · AA
1 in 289 packs
$63.35
+$5.28 EV
Donquixote Doflamingo (SP)
#OP01-073 · SP
1 in 857 packs
$98.58
+$2.88 EV
Sanji
#OP07-064 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$2.73
+$2.16 EV
Monkey.D.Luffy (109)
#OP07-109 · SR
1 in 30 packs
$2.73
+$2.16 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,000 pack openings (https://cardcosmos.de/en/blogs/news/one-piece-card-game-pull-rates-hitrates-der-japanischen-edition, https://cardgamer.com/games/one-piece-card-game-rarities/, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/collecting/all-one-piece-tcg-rarities-explained, https://tcgking.nl/blogs/gameplay/complete-list-of-one-piece-tcg-sp-special-rare-cards). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $95.76. Current sealed price ($317.60) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($317.60) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 500 Years in the Future Booster Box | $317.60 | $184.32 | −42% | KEEP SEALED |
| 500 Years in the Future Booster Pack | $7.13 | $7.68 | +8% | HOLD |
| 500 Years in the Future Sleeved Booster Pack | $27.41 | $7.68 | −72% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Boxs Across Sets
See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other One Piece TCG sets.
| Box | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrying On His Will Booster Box | Carrying On His Will | $568.88 | $609.36 | +7% | HOLD |
| Adventure on Kami's Island Booster Box | Adventure on Kami's Island | $219.24 | $219.36 | +0% | HOLD |
| The Azure Sea's Seven Booster Box | The Azure Sea's Seven | $260.97 | $228.72 | −12% | KEEP SEALED |
| Legacy of the Master Booster Box | Legacy of the Master | $251.25 | $211.92 | −16% | KEEP SEALED |
| A Fist of Divine Speed Booster Box | A Fist of Divine Speed | $459.82 | $351.60 | −24% | KEEP SEALED |
| Premium Booster Vol. 2 Booster Box | Premium Booster The Best Vol. 2 | $357.84 | $247.20 | −31% | KEEP SEALED |
| Wings of the Captain Booster Box | Wings of the Captain | $375.96 | $198.00 | −47% | KEEP SEALED |
| Royal Blood Booster Box | Royal Blood | $232.23 | $116.64 | −50% | KEEP SEALED |