Origins Booster Pack
Average opening value trails the buy-in by $4.68.
1 packs produce $7.05 of average market value at current prices.
Return vs Market
−40%
Compared with today's sealed market price of $11.73.
Expected Loss
−$4.68
The average opening result after paying $11.73 sealed.
Open Average
$7.05
Average market value from packs and included promos.
Cash-out EV
$4.51
Expected range $1.47-$12.63 per pack.
Price History
Recent sealed price movement for this product.
Sealed History
Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.
How the EV is Calculated
Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.
EV per booster pack = $7.05
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 500 pack openings.
$7.05 × 1 packs = $7.05
This product contains 1 booster pack.
$7.05 = $7.05
No promo value applied for this product.
$7.05 × 0.64 = $4.51
Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.
Market: $7.05 ÷ $11.73 = 60.1% • Cash-out: $4.51 ÷ $11.73 = 38.5%
Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $7.05 EV per pack for this 1-pack product.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/1pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rare(R) | 84 | $1.23 | 175.00% | $2.15 | $2.15 | 30.5% |
| Epic(E) | 42 | $11.30 | 15.14% | $1.71 | $1.71 | 24.3% |
| Signature(SIG) | 12 | $1041.38 | 0.14% | $1.45 | $1.45 | 20.6% |
| Overnumbered(OVN) | 12 | $82.95 | 1.39% | $1.15 | $1.15 | 16.3% |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 30 | $7.05 | 8.33% | $0.59 | $0.59 | 8.4% |
| Total | $7.05 | $7.05 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Origins, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.
Thousand-Tailed Watcher
#116/298 · R
1 in 48 packs
$21.45
+$0.45 EV
Kai'Sa - Daughter of the Void (Signature)
#299*/298 · SIG
1 in 8633 packs
$2356.00
+$0.27 EV
Ahri - Nine-Tailed Fox (Signature)
#303*/298 · SIG
1 in 8633 packs
$1946.02
+$0.23 EV
Baited Hook
#242/298 · E
1 in 277 packs
$65.02
+$0.23 EV
Sona - Harmonious
#073/298 · R
1 in 48 packs
$10.44
+$0.22 EV
Ahri - Nine-Tailed Fox (Overnumbered)
#303/298 · OVN
1 in 863 packs
$173.83
+$0.20 EV
Sabotage
#156/298 · R
1 in 48 packs
$8.72
+$0.18 EV
Dazzling Aurora
#160/298 · E
1 in 277 packs
$49.65
+$0.18 EV
Kai'Sa - Survivor
#039/298 · E
1 in 277 packs
$47.63
+$0.17 EV
Kai'Sa - Survivor (Alternate Art)
#039a/298 · AA
1 in 360 packs
$57.99
+$0.16 EV
Assumptions
Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.
Expand assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 500 pack openings (https://riftbound.leagueoflegends.com/en-us/news/announcements/collectability-in-riftbound-origins/, https://cardgamer.com/guides/riftbound-pull-rates/, https://techraptor.net/tabletop/guides/understanding-riftbound-rarity-and-booster-odds). Your results will vary.
- ●MSRP is $4.99. Current sealed price ($11.73) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
- ●Sealed price ($11.73) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.
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Try Free for 1 MonthOther Products in This Set
| Product | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Origins Booster Box | $175.50 | $169.20 | −4% | HOLD |
| Origins Champion Deck (Jinx) | $19.91 | $11.05 | −45% | KEEP SEALED |
| Origins Champion Deck (Viktor) | $42.21 | $17.05 | −60% | KEEP SEALED |
| Origins Champion Deck (Lee Sin) | $35.01 | $10.05 | −71% | KEEP SEALED |
| Origins Booster Pack | $11.73 | $7.05 | −40% | KEEP SEALED |
| Origins Sleeved Booster Pack | $12.44 | $7.05 | −43% | KEEP SEALED |
Compare Packs Across Sets
See how this pack stacks up against the same product type from other Riftbound sets.
| Pack | Set | Price | Market EV | Return | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unleashed Booster Pack | Unleashed | $5.12 | $5.19 | +1% | HOLD |
| Spiritforged Booster Pack | Spiritforged | $6.68 | $3.42 | −49% | KEEP SEALED |
| Spiritforged Sleeved Booster Pack | Spiritforged | $7.79 | $3.42 | −56% | KEEP SEALED |