Origins
Origins is on the edge.
−4%
$175.50 sealed → $169.20 EV | EV/pack: $7.05
Origins Booster Box is −$6.30 — close to breakeven.
⚠ Some data may be incomplete: Sum of pull rates is 2.0000 (exceeds 1.0) — rates may be overcounted; Rare: pull rate 1.75 is outside [0, 1]
Best product to check
Origins Booster Box
MSRP $119.99 • Market price $175.50 • Return −4%
Set EV History
Recent movement in set-level EV based on current pricing and pull-rate assumptions.
EV Trend
EV per pack and best product return over time.
Best Sealed Products
Browse the current set products sorted by return, price, and market EV.
All 6 Products
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4.9/5 on Whop (147 reviews)
Chase Cards
What you could pull from this set, ranked by value.
Thousand-Tailed Watcher
#116/298
R$21.45
EV: $0.45
Kai'Sa - Daughter of the Void (Signature)
#299*/298
SIG$2356.00
EV: $0.27
Baited Hook
#242/298
E$65.02
EV: $0.23
View 7 more chase cards
Ahri - Nine-Tailed Fox (Signature)
#303*/298
SIG$1946.02
EV: $0.23
Sona - Harmonious
#073/298
R$10.44
EV: $0.22
Ahri - Nine-Tailed Fox (Overnumbered)
#303/298
OVN$173.83
EV: $0.20
Sabotage
#156/298
R$8.72
EV: $0.18
Dazzling Aurora
#160/298
E$49.65
EV: $0.18
Kai'Sa - Survivor
#039/298
E$47.63
EV: $0.17
Kai'Sa - Daughter of the Void (Overnumbered)
#299/298
OVN$141.83
EV: $0.16
Deep Dives
Expandable sections for the EV math, pull-rate tables, and editorial FAQ.
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Range | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rare(R) | 84 | $1.23 | $0.11–$21.45 | 175.00% | $2.15 |
| Epic(E) | 42 | $11.30 | $0.92–$65.02 | 15.14% | $1.71 |
| Signature(SIG) | 12 | $1041.38 | $624.35–$2356.00 | 0.14% | $1.45 |
| Overnumbered(OVN) | 12 | $82.95 | $40.46–$173.83 | 1.39% | $1.15 |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 30 | $7.05 | $0.99–$57.99 | 8.33% | $0.59 |
| Total EV / Pack | $7.05 | ||||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare(R) | 175.00% | 1 in 1 | 500 |
| Epic(E) | 15.14% | 1 in 7 | 500 |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 8.33% | 1 in 12 | 500 |
| Overnumbered(OVN) | 1.39% | 1 in 72 | 500 |
| Signature(SIG) | 0.14% | 1 in 719 | 500 |
Sources: https://riftbound.leagueoflegends.com/en-us/news/announcements/collectability-in-riftbound-origins/, https://cardgamer.com/guides/riftbound-pull-rates/, https://techraptor.net/tabletop/guides/understanding-riftbound-rarity-and-booster-odds
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Origins worth opening?
- Origins Booster Box is −$6.30 — right on the edge. It could go either way depending on what you pull.
- What is the EV of a Origins booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Origins booster pack is $7.05 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What is the MSRP for Origins products?
- Origins Booster Box launched at $119.99 MSRP. Compare that to the current sealed market price of $175.50 to see how far Origins pricing has moved from retail.
- What are the best cards to pull in Origins?
- The most valuable cards in Origins are Thousand-Tailed Watcher ($21.45), Kai'Sa - Daughter of the Void (Signature) ($2356.00), Baited Hook ($65.02).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Origins?
- Pull rates are based on 500 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
- What is the best Origins product to buy?
- Based on current EV calculations, Origins Booster Box offers the best return at −4% (−$6.30). It contains 24 packs and is priced at $175.50.
- How often are Origins prices updated?
- All prices are updated daily at 21:00 UTC using TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV. EV calculations refresh automatically with each price update.
- What is cash-out EV for Origins?
- Cash-out EV is the expected value after marketplace fees, shipping, and liquidity discounts. We apply a 0.64x multiplier to market EV. For Origins Booster Box, cash-out EV is $108.29 versus $169.20 market EV.
- How do pull rates work for Origins?
- Pull rates represent the probability of pulling each rarity tier from a single booster pack. They are based on 500 community pack openings. Each rarity tier has a different pull rate — higher rarities are harder to pull but typically more valuable.
As of May 2026, Origins products lose an average of $12.56 (−44%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 500+ pack openings.