Origins is on the edge.
It could go either way.
Origins Booster Pack is +$0.31 — close to breakeven.
All 6 Products
Origins Booster Pack
1 pack
+$0.31
+3% return
$11.52 sealed → $11.83 EV
See full breakdown →
Origins Sleeved Booster Pack
1 pack
−$0.13
−1% return
$11.96 sealed → $11.83 EV
See full breakdown →
Origins Booster Box
24 packs
−$14.00
−5% return
$297.92 sealed → $283.92 EV
See full breakdown →
Origins Champion Deck (Jinx)
1 pack
−$9.27
−37% return
$25.10 sealed → $15.83 EV
See full breakdown →
Origins Champion Deck (Viktor)
1 pack
−$19.86
−48% return
$41.69 sealed → $21.83 EV
See full breakdown →
Origins Champion Deck (Lee Sin)
1 pack
−$17.05
−53% return
$31.88 sealed → $14.83 EV
See full breakdown →
Chase Cards — What could you pull?
Kai'Sa - Survivor
#039/298
Epic$98.25
EV: $0.58
Thousand-Tailed Watcher
#116/298
Rare$27.91
EV: $0.58
Time Warp
#122/298
Epic$80.50
EV: $0.48
Seal of Discord
#204/298
Epic$67.12
EV: $0.40
Dazzling Aurora
#160/298
Epic$57.70
EV: $0.34
Kai'Sa - Survivor (Alternate Art)
#039a/298
Showcase$111.32
EV: $0.31
Sabotage
#156/298
Rare$14.68
EV: $0.31
Ahri - Nine-Tailed Fox (Overnumbered)
#303/298
Showcase$242.99
EV: $0.28
Sett - Brawler
#164/298
Epic$45.11
EV: $0.27
Kai'Sa - Daughter of the Void (Overnumbered)
#299/298
Showcase$228.26
EV: $0.26
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epic(E) | 42 | $19.14 | 25.00% | $4.79 |
| Rare(R) | 84 | $1.72 | 175.00% | $3.01 |
| Overnumbered(OVN) | 12 | $119.07 | 1.39% | $1.66 |
| Signature(SIG) | 12 | $950.59 | 0.14% | $1.32 |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 30 | $12.66 | 8.33% | $1.05 |
| Total EV / Pack | $11.83 | |||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare(R) | 175.00% | 1 in 1 | 500 |
| Epic(E) | 25.00% | 1 in 4 | 500 |
| Alternate Art(AA) | 8.33% | 1 in 12 | 500 |
| Overnumbered(OVN) | 1.39% | 1 in 72 | 500 |
| Signature(SIG) | 0.14% | 1 in 719 | 500 |
Sources: https://riftbound.leagueoflegends.com/en-us/news/announcements/collectability-in-riftbound-origins/, https://cardgamer.com/guides/riftbound-pull-rates/, https://techraptor.net/tabletop/guides/understanding-riftbound-rarity-and-booster-odds
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Origins worth opening?
- Origins Booster Pack is +$0.31 — right on the edge. It could go either way depending on what you pull.
- What is the EV of a Origins booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Origins booster pack is $11.83 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What are the best cards to pull in Origins?
- The most valuable cards in Origins are Kai'Sa - Survivor ($98.25), Thousand-Tailed Watcher ($27.91), Time Warp ($80.50).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Origins?
- Pull rates are based on 500 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
As of February 2026, Origins products lose an average of $10.00 (−24%) based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 500+ pack openings.