Rip or Flip
Origins Booster Box

Price Snapshot

Current Market

$175.50

MSRP

$119.99

Spread: +$55.51 (46%) above MSRP

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HOLDOrigins24 packs

Origins Booster Box

Average opening value sits near break-even at −$6.30.

24 packs produce $169.20 of average market value at current prices.

Return vs Market

−4%

Compared with today's sealed market price of $175.50.

Expected Loss

−$6.30

The average opening result after paying $175.50 sealed.

Open Average

$169.20

Average market value from packs and included promos.

Cash-out EV

$108.29

Expected range $1.47-$12.63 per pack.

Prices just now · EV just now · Medium confidence

Price History

Recent sealed price movement for this product.

Sealed History

Sealed market price versus opening EV over time.

How the EV is Calculated

Step-by-step walkthrough of the pack EV, promo value, and cash-out assumptions.

01

EV per booster pack = $7.05

Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 500 pack openings.

02

$7.05 × 24 packs = $169.20

This product contains 24 booster packs.

03

$169.20 = $169.20

No promo value applied for this product.

04

$169.20 × 0.64 = $108.29

Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to account for marketplace fees, shipping, and bulk liquidity discount.

05

Market: $169.20 ÷ $175.50 = 96.4%Cash-out: $108.29 ÷ $175.50 = 61.7%

Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.

EV by Rarity Tier

Each row shows how much a rarity tier contributes to the $7.05 EV per pack for this 24-pack product.

RarityCardsAvg ValuePull RateEV/PackEV/24pk% of Total
Rare(R)84$1.23175.00%$2.15$51.6030.5%
Epic(E)42$11.3015.14%$1.71$41.0424.3%
Signature(SIG)12$1041.380.14%$1.45$34.8020.6%
Overnumbered(OVN)12$82.951.39%$1.15$27.6016.3%
Alternate Art(AA)30$7.058.33%$0.59$14.168.4%
Total$7.05$169.20100%

Top 10 Cards You Could Pull

The most valuable cards in Origins, sorted by how much they contribute to EV.

Assumptions

Key pricing, pull-rate, and cash-out assumptions behind the model.

Expand assumptions
  • Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
  • Pull rates are community-sourced from 500 pack openings (https://riftbound.leagueoflegends.com/en-us/news/announcements/collectability-in-riftbound-origins/, https://cardgamer.com/guides/riftbound-pull-rates/, https://techraptor.net/tabletop/guides/understanding-riftbound-rarity-and-booster-odds). Your results will vary.
  • MSRP is $119.99. Current sealed price ($175.50) may be above or below retail depending on supply and demand.
  • Sealed price ($175.50) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
  • Cash-out EV applies a 0.64 multiplier to market EV (TCGPlayer fees ~15% + shipping + bulk discount/slippage).
  • EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.

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Other Products in This Set

ProductPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Origins Booster Box$175.50$169.20−4%HOLD
Origins Champion Deck (Jinx)$19.91$11.05−45%KEEP SEALED
Origins Champion Deck (Viktor)$42.21$17.05−60%KEEP SEALED
Origins Champion Deck (Lee Sin)$35.01$10.05−71%KEEP SEALED
Origins Booster Pack$11.73$7.05−40%KEEP SEALED
Origins Sleeved Booster Pack$12.44$7.05−43%KEEP SEALED

Compare Boxs Across Sets

See how this box stacks up against the same product type from other Riftbound sets.

BoxSetPriceMarket EVReturnVerdict
Unleashed Booster BoxUnleashed$116.94$124.56+7%HOLD
Spiritforged Booster BoxSpiritforged$137.86$82.08−40%KEEP SEALED
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