Sword & Shield ETB
8 packs + $1.00 in promos
7.1%
return
$12.60
market EV
$178.02
sealed price
You lose ~$165.42 on average
How the EV is Calculated
EV per booster pack = $1.45
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 3 rarity tiers. Based on 630 pack openings.
$1.45 × 8 packs = $11.60
This product contains 8 booster packs.
$11.60 + $1.00 promos = $12.60
Promo card value is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
$12.60 ÷ $178.02 = 7.1% return
Sealed price is the average TCGPlayer market price. Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
Cash-Out EV: $8.06 — applies a 0.64x multiplier to account for TCGPlayer/eBay fees (~13%), shipping, and the gap between market price and actual sale price.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a single rarity tier contributes to the $1.45 EV per pack. For this 8-pack product, multiply by 8.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/8pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 37 | $4.94 | 19.50% | $0.96 | $7.68 | 66.2% |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 14 | $14.54 | 2.40% | $0.35 | $2.80 | 24.1% |
| Holo Rare(H) | 17 | $0.62 | 22.00% | $0.14 | $1.12 | 9.7% |
| Total | $1.45 | $11.60 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Sword & Shield, sorted by how much they contribute to EV. "Your odds" shows the chance of pulling that specific card in this 8-pack product.
Snorlax VMAX
#142/202 · Ultra Rare
Your odds: 4.1% (8 packs)
$42.36
+$1.79 EV
Marnie (Full Art)
#200/202 · Ultra Rare
Your odds: 4.1% (8 packs)
$36.00
+$1.52 EV
Snorlax VMAX (Secret)
#206/202 · Secret Rare
Your odds: 1.4% (8 packs)
$77.35
+$1.06 EV
Snorlax V (Full Art)
#197/202 · Ultra Rare
Your odds: 4.1% (8 packs)
$18.87
+$0.80 EV
Gengar
#085/202 · Holo Rare
Your odds: 9.9% (8 packs)
$4.83
+$0.50 EV
Marnie (Secret)
#208/202 · Secret Rare
Your odds: 1.4% (8 packs)
$18.16
+$0.25 EV
Quick Ball (Secret)
#216/202 · Secret Rare
Your odds: 1.4% (8 packs)
$16.78
+$0.23 EV
Toxicroak
#124/202 · Holo Rare
Your odds: 9.9% (8 packs)
$0.65
+$0.07 EV
Cinderace (035)
#035/202 · Holo Rare
Your odds: 9.9% (8 packs)
$0.44
+$0.05 EV
Assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 630 pack openings (https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/). Your results will vary.
- ●Sealed price ($178.02) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on estimated value of included promos.
- ●Cash-Out EV uses a 0.64x multiplier (~36% haircut) for fees, shipping, and price-to-sale gap.
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.