Don't rip Sword & Shield right now.
Keep it sealed.
No product returns more than 18% of its sealed price.
If you must open something: Sword & Shield Booster Pack loses the least at 18.3% return.
All 5 Products
Sword & Shield Booster Pack
1 pack
18.3%
return on $7.92
$7.92 → EV: $1.45
You lose ~$6.47
See full breakdown →
Sword & Shield Build & Battle Box
4 packs
10.5%
return on $64.62
$64.62 → EV: $6.80
You lose ~$57.82
See full breakdown →
Sword & Shield 3 Pack Blister
3 packs
9.7%
return on $49.99
$49.99 → EV: $4.85
You lose ~$45.14
See full breakdown →
Sword & Shield Booster Box
36 packs
8.0%
return on $654.55
$654.55 → EV: $52.20
You lose ~$602.35
See full breakdown →
Sword & Shield ETB
8 packs
7.1%
return on $178.02
$178.02 → EV: $12.60
You lose ~$165.42
See full breakdown →
Chase Cards — What could you pull?
Snorlax VMAX
#142/202
Ultra Rare$42.36
EV: $0.22
Marnie (Full Art)
#200/202
Ultra Rare$36.00
EV: $0.19
Snorlax VMAX (Secret)
#206/202
Secret Rare$77.35
EV: $0.13
Snorlax V (Full Art)
#197/202
Ultra Rare$18.87
EV: $0.10
Gengar
#085/202
Holo Rare$4.83
EV: $0.06
Morpeko V (Full Art)
#190/202
Ultra Rare$6.95
EV: $0.04
Sableye V (Full Art)
#194/202
Ultra Rare$6.89
EV: $0.04
Snorlax V
#141/202
Ultra Rare$6.28
EV: $0.03
Marnie (Secret)
#208/202
Secret Rare$18.16
EV: $0.03
Quick Ball (Secret)
#216/202
Secret Rare$16.78
EV: $0.03
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 37 | $4.94 | 19.50% | $0.96 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 14 | $14.54 | 2.40% | $0.35 |
| Holo Rare(H) | 17 | $0.62 | 22.00% | $0.14 |
| Total EV / Pack | $1.45 | |||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare(H) | 22.00% | 1 in 5 | 630 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 19.50% | 1 in 5 | 630 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 2.40% | 1 in 42 | 630 |
Sources: https://www.digitaltq.com/vivid-voltage-booster-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pack-kingdom.com/pokemon-booster-pack-pull-rates/
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Sword & Shield worth opening?
- At current market prices, Sword & Shield Booster Pack only returns 18% of its sealed price. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Sword & Shield booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Sword & Shield booster pack is $1.45 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What are the best cards to pull in Sword & Shield?
- The most valuable cards in Sword & Shield are Snorlax VMAX ($42.36), Marnie (Full Art) ($36.00), Snorlax VMAX (Secret) ($77.35).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Sword & Shield?
- Pull rates are based on 630 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
As of February 2026, Sword & Shield products return an average of 11% of their sealed price based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 630+ pack openings.