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Low Confidence500 packs sampledUpdated 2026-02-24

Champion's Path Pull Rates

See the exact odds for every rarity tier in Champion's Path, plus how those odds translate into expected value and the chase cards driving each tier.

Rarity tiers

3

Rarest listed odds

1 in 40

Secret Rare

EV per pack

$2.05

Full Pull Rate Table

Complete odds, sample sizes, and confidence context for every rarity tier.

Low Confidence500 packs sampled
Holo Rare(H)35.00%
Odds: 1 in 3
Sample: 500
Ultra Rare(UR)18.00%
Odds: 1 in 6
Sample: 500
Secret Rare(SR)2.50%
Odds: 1 in 40
Sample: 500

Sources: https://www.pokebeach.com/2020/09/full-champions-path-set-list-shiny-charizard-v-rainbow-rare-charizard-vmax, https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-tcg/champions-path

What This Means

Translate raw percentages into the actual pack-opening experience.

H

Holo Rare

You'll pull a Holo Rare roughly 1 in 3.

35.00% odds from 500 sampled packs

UR

Ultra Rare

You'll pull a Ultra Rare roughly 1 in 6.

18.00% odds from 500 sampled packs

SR

Secret Rare

You'll pull a Secret Rare roughly 1 in 40.

2.50% odds from 500 sampled packs

Expected Value by Tier

Average card value joined with pull-rate odds to show how each rarity tier contributes to pack EV.

H

Holo Rare

1 in 3

Avg card value
$0.26
EV per pack
$0.09

Top chase: Marnie at $0.45.

UR

Ultra Rare

1 in 6

Avg card value
$1.77
EV per pack
$0.32

Top chase: Alcremie VMAX at $4.92.

SR

Secret Rare

1 in 40

Avg card value
$65.77
EV per pack
$1.64

Top chase: Charizard V (Secret) at $255.81.

Top Chase Cards by Tier

The cards doing the most work inside each rarity bucket.

Sources & Methodology

Where the odds come from and how they feed the EV model.

Pull rates are community-sourced estimates from documented pack openings. We pair those odds with live TCGPlayer market prices to calculate average card value and EV per pack for each rarity tier.

FAQ

What are the pull rates for Champion's Path?
Champion's Path pull rates are based on 500 documented pack openings and currently carry low confidence confidence.
What are the odds of hitting the rarest tier in Champion's Path?
Secret Rare lands about 1 in 40 in Champion's Path, based on 500 sampled packs.
Are Champion's Path pull rates official?
No. These rates are community-sourced estimates compiled from large pack-opening samples, then joined with live TCGPlayer prices to show expected value by rarity tier.