151 PC ETB
11 packs + $2.00 in promos
17.4%
return
$81.75
market EV
$470.33
sealed price
You lose ~$388.58 on average
How the EV is Calculated
EV per booster pack = $7.25
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 1,500 pack openings.
$7.25 × 11 packs = $79.75
This product contains 11 booster packs.
$79.75 + $2.00 promos = $81.75
Promo card value is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
$81.75 ÷ $470.33 = 17.4% return
Sealed price is the average TCGPlayer market price. Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
Cash-Out EV: $52.32 — applies a 0.64x multiplier to account for TCGPlayer/eBay fees (~13%), shipping, and the gap between market price and actual sale price.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a single rarity tier contributes to the $7.25 EV per pack. For this 11-pack product, multiply by 11.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/11pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 7 | $98.58 | 3.10% | $3.06 | $33.66 | 42.2% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 16 | $36.78 | 7.70% | $2.83 | $31.13 | 39.0% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 16 | $11.15 | 6.25% | $0.70 | $7.70 | 9.7% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 13 | $3.76 | 12.50% | $0.47 | $5.17 | 6.5% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 3 | $9.57 | 2.00% | $0.19 | $2.09 | 2.6% |
| Total | $7.25 | $79.75 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Pokemon 151, sorted by how much they contribute to EV. "Your odds" shows the chance of pulling that specific card in this 11-pack product.
Charizard ex - 199/165
#199/165 · Special Illustration Rare
Your odds: 4.8% (11 packs)
$299.53
+$14.59 EV
Blastoise ex - 200/165
#200/165 · Special Illustration Rare
Your odds: 4.8% (11 packs)
$118.13
+$5.75 EV
Venusaur ex - 198/165
#198/165 · Special Illustration Rare
Your odds: 4.8% (11 packs)
$99.94
+$4.87 EV
Charmander - 168/165
#168/165 · Illustration Rare
Your odds: 5.2% (11 packs)
$82.04
+$4.34 EV
Squirtle - 170/165
#170/165 · Illustration Rare
Your odds: 5.2% (11 packs)
$73.26
+$3.88 EV
Pikachu - 173/165
#173/165 · Illustration Rare
Your odds: 5.2% (11 packs)
$57.93
+$3.07 EV
Mew ex - 205/165 (151 Metal Card)
#205/165 · Double Rare
Your odds: 10.1% (11 packs)
$20.85
+$2.21 EV
Charizard ex - 183/165
#183/165 · Ultra Rare
Your odds: 4.2% (11 packs)
$40.20
+$1.73 EV
Mew ex - 205/165
#205/165 · Hyper Rare
Your odds: 7.1% (11 packs)
$21.89
+$1.61 EV
Mew ex - 193/165
#193/165 · Ultra Rare
Your odds: 4.2% (11 packs)
$26.63
+$1.14 EV
Assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 1,500 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-151-Pull-Rates/b237df74-fbb0-40d0-9e13-d69ee6e804d9/, https://www.digitaltq.com/pokemon-151-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/15/scarlet-violet-151-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●Sealed price ($470.33) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($2.00) is based on estimated value of included promos.
- ●Cash-Out EV uses a 0.64x multiplier (~36% haircut) for fees, shipping, and price-to-sale gap.
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.