Don't rip Paldean Fates right now.
Keep it sealed.
No product returns more than 62% of its sealed price.
If you must open something: Paldean Fates Tech Sticker Collection loses the least at 61.5% return.
All 8 Products
Paldean Fates Tech Sticker Collection
3 packs
61.5%
return on $20.39
$20.39 → EV: $12.54
You lose ~$7.85
See full breakdown →
Paldean Fates Tin
5 packs
46.7%
return on $44.19
$44.19 → EV: $20.65
You lose ~$23.54
See full breakdown →
Paldean Fates Premium Collection
7 packs
36.9%
return on $82.69
$82.69 → EV: $30.51
You lose ~$52.18
See full breakdown →
Paldean Fates Booster Pack
1 pack
26.7%
return on $14.73
$14.73 → EV: $3.93
You lose ~$10.80
See full breakdown →
Paldean Fates Mini Tin
2 packs
22.7%
return on $34.64
$34.64 → EV: $7.86
You lose ~$26.78
See full breakdown →
Paldean Fates PC ETB
11 packs
21.6%
return on $208.91
$208.91 → EV: $45.23
You lose ~$163.68
See full breakdown →
Paldean Fates ETB
9 packs
12.1%
return on $300.27
$300.27 → EV: $36.37
You lose ~$263.90
See full breakdown →
Paldean Fates Booster Bundle
6 packs
3.5%
return on $665.42
$665.42 → EV: $23.58
You lose ~$641.84
See full breakdown →
Chase Cards — What could you pull?
Mew ex - 232/091
#232/091
Special Illustration Rare$514.45
EV: $1.11
Charizard ex - 234/091
#234/091
Special Illustration Rare$217.50
EV: $0.47
Gardevoir ex - 233/091
#233/091
Special Illustration Rare$117.04
EV: $0.25
Mew ex - 216/091
#216/091
Shiny Ultra Rare$25.37
EV: $0.16
Pikachu - 131/091
#131/091
Shiny Rare$36.96
EV: $0.08
Iono - 237/091
#237/091
Special Illustration Rare$27.40
EV: $0.06
Charizard ex - 054/091
#054/091
Double Rare$3.97
EV: $0.05
Snorlax
#202/091
Shiny Rare$24.67
EV: $0.05
Charmander - 109/091
#109/091
Shiny Rare$22.46
EV: $0.05
Wugtrio - 224/091
#224/091
Illustration Rare$1.78
EV: $0.04
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 8 | $115.35 | 1.72% | $1.98 |
| Shiny Rare(SHR) | 120 | $4.87 | 25.00% | $1.22 |
| Shiny Ultra Rare(SUR) | 12 | $4.01 | 7.70% | $0.31 |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $8.04 | 1.61% | $0.13 |
| Double Rare(RR) | 10 | $0.87 | 13.30% | $0.12 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 3 | $1.62 | 7.10% | $0.12 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 5 | $0.73 | 6.70% | $0.05 |
| Total EV / Pack | $3.93 | |||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shiny Rare(SHR) | 25.00% | 1 in 4 | 1,500 |
| Double Rare(RR) | 13.30% | 1 in 8 | 1,500 |
| Shiny Ultra Rare(SUR) | 7.70% | 1 in 13 | 1,500 |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 7.10% | 1 in 14 | 1,500 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 6.70% | 1 in 15 | 1,500 |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 1.72% | 1 in 58 | 1,500 |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 1.61% | 1 in 62 | 1,500 |
Sources: https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Paldean-Fates-Pull-Rates/23de3e93-0d0f-4ae0-abc4-13664f3001a3/, https://www.digitaltq.com/paldean-fates-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://www.pokebeach.com/2024/01/paldean-fates-pull-rates-revealed
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Paldean Fates worth opening?
- At current market prices, Paldean Fates Tech Sticker Collection only returns 62% of its sealed price. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Paldean Fates booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Paldean Fates booster pack is $3.93 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What are the best cards to pull in Paldean Fates?
- The most valuable cards in Paldean Fates are Mew ex - 232/091 ($514.45), Charizard ex - 234/091 ($217.50), Gardevoir ex - 233/091 ($117.04).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Paldean Fates?
- Pull rates are based on 1,500 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
As of February 2026, Paldean Fates products return an average of 29% of their sealed price based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 1,500+ pack openings.