Mega Evolution Booster Bundle
6 packs
26.8%
return
$12.36
market EV
$46.20
sealed price
You lose ~$33.84 on average
How the EV is Calculated
EV per booster pack = $2.06
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 5,000 pack openings.
$2.06 × 6 packs = $12.36
This product contains 6 booster packs.
$12.36 ÷ $46.20 = 26.8% return
Sealed price is the average TCGPlayer market price. Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
Cash-Out EV: $7.91 — applies a 0.64x multiplier to account for TCGPlayer/eBay fees (~13%), shipping, and the gap between market price and actual sale price.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a single rarity tier contributes to the $2.06 EV per pack. For this 6-pack product, multiply by 6.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/6pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 10 | $79.97 | 0.99% | $0.79 | $4.74 | 38.3% |
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 22 | $4.69 | 11.10% | $0.52 | $3.12 | 25.2% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 22 | $5.09 | 8.30% | $0.42 | $2.52 | 20.4% |
| Mega Hyper Rare(MHR) | 2 | $249.50 | 0.08% | $0.20 | $1.20 | 9.7% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 10 | $0.65 | 20.00% | $0.13 | $0.78 | 6.3% |
| Total | $2.06 | $12.36 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Mega Evolution, sorted by how much they contribute to EV. "Your odds" shows the chance of pulling that specific card in this 6-pack product.
Mega Gardevoir ex - 178/132
#178/132 · Special Illustration Rare
Your odds: 1 in 169 (6 packs)
$172.08
+$1.02 EV
Mega Lucario ex - 179/132
#179/132 · Special Illustration Rare
Your odds: 1 in 169 (6 packs)
$157.86
+$0.94 EV
Mega Venusaur ex - 177/132
#177/132 · Special Illustration Rare
Your odds: 1 in 169 (6 packs)
$123.43
+$0.73 EV
Mega Lucario ex - 188/132
#188/132 · Mega Hyper Rare
Your odds: 1 in 420 (6 packs)
$280.09
+$0.67 EV
Mega Gardevoir ex - 187/132
#187/132 · Mega Hyper Rare
Your odds: 1 in 420 (6 packs)
$218.90
+$0.52 EV
Lillie's Determination - 169/132
#169/132 · Ultra Rare
Your odds: 2.2% (6 packs)
$22.45
+$0.51 EV
Bulbasaur - 133/132
#133/132 · Illustration Rare
Your odds: 3.0% (6 packs)
$16.17
+$0.49 EV
Ivysaur - 134/132
#134/132 · Illustration Rare
Your odds: 3.0% (6 packs)
$16.10
+$0.49 EV
Vulpix - 138/132
#138/132 · Illustration Rare
Your odds: 3.0% (6 packs)
$11.70
+$0.35 EV
Mega Lucario ex - 160/132
#160/132 · Ultra Rare
Your odds: 2.2% (6 packs)
$15.64
+$0.35 EV
Assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 5,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Mega-Evolution-Pull-Rates/40cbeedc-21ce-473b-aef1-74e3969d9f91/, https://gamerant.com/pokemon-tcg-mega-evolution-pull-rates/, https://pokepatch.com/2025/12/16/mega-evolution-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●Sealed price ($46.20) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-Out EV uses a 0.64x multiplier (~36% haircut) for fees, shipping, and price-to-sale gap.
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.