Don't rip Lost Origin right now.
Keep it sealed.
No product returns more than 48% of its sealed price.
If you must open something: Lost Origin PC ETB loses the least at 47.9% return.
All 7 Products
Lost Origin PC ETB
10 packs
47.9%
return on $117.41
$117.41 → EV: $56.20
You lose ~$61.21
See full breakdown →
Lost Origin Booster Pack
1 pack
38.4%
return on $14.11
$14.11 → EV: $5.42
You lose ~$8.69
See full breakdown →
Lost Origin Build & Battle Box
4 packs
35.8%
return on $63.38
$63.38 → EV: $22.68
You lose ~$40.70
See full breakdown →
Lost Origin ETB
8 packs
27.6%
return on $160.67
$160.67 → EV: $44.36
You lose ~$116.31
See full breakdown →
Lost Origin Booster Box
36 packs
26.7%
return on $731.83
$731.83 → EV: $195.12
You lose ~$536.71
See full breakdown →
Lost Origin Booster Bundle
6 packs
23.9%
return on $136.26
$136.26 → EV: $32.52
You lose ~$103.74
See full breakdown →
Lost Origin 3 Pack Blister
3 packs
23.1%
return on $72.56
$72.56 → EV: $16.76
You lose ~$55.80
See full breakdown →
Chase Cards — What could you pull?
Giratina V (Alternate Full Art)
#186/196
Ultra Rare$680.35
EV: $3.64
Aerodactyl V (Alternate Full Art)
#180/196
Ultra Rare$157.68
EV: $0.84
Rotom V (Alternate Full Art)
#177/196
Ultra Rare$24.89
EV: $0.13
Galarian Perrserker V (Alternate Full Art)
#184/196
Ultra Rare$15.07
EV: $0.08
Giratina V (Full Art)
#185/196
Ultra Rare$11.99
EV: $0.06
Giratina VSTAR (201) (Secret)
#201/196
Secret Rare$24.23
EV: $0.04
Gengar
#066/196
Holo Rare$2.66
EV: $0.03
Giratina VSTAR (212) (Secret)
#212/196
Secret Rare$14.28
EV: $0.02
Lady (Full Art)
#193/196
Ultra Rare$3.97
EV: $0.02
Arezu (Full Art)
#189/196
Ultra Rare$3.82
EV: $0.02
The Math — EV Breakdown & Pull Rates
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 44 | $21.61 | 23.54% | $5.09 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 21 | $6.15 | 3.20% | $0.20 |
| Holo Rare(H) | 22 | $0.39 | 26.46% | $0.10 |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 3 | $0.69 | 4.04% | $0.03 |
| Total EV / Pack | $5.42 | |||
| Rarity | Pull Rate | Odds | Sample Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Holo Rare(H) | 26.46% | 1 in 4 | 718 |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 23.54% | 1 in 4 | 718 |
| Radiant Rare(RR) | 4.04% | 1 in 25 | 718 |
| Secret Rare(SR) | 3.20% | 1 in 31 | 718 |
Sources: https://www.digitaltq.com/lost-origin-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg
Frequently Asked Questions
- Is Lost Origin worth opening?
- At current market prices, Lost Origin PC ETB only returns 48% of its sealed price. You are better off keeping it sealed or buying singles directly.
- What is the EV of a Lost Origin booster pack?
- The expected value of a single Lost Origin booster pack is $5.42 based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community pull rate data.
- What are the best cards to pull in Lost Origin?
- The most valuable cards in Lost Origin are Giratina V (Alternate Full Art) ($680.35), Aerodactyl V (Alternate Full Art) ($157.68), Rotom V (Alternate Full Art) ($24.89).
- How often do you pull a chase card in Lost Origin?
- Pull rates are based on 718 pack openings from community sources. See the pull rate table below for exact odds per rarity tier.
As of February 2026, Lost Origin products return an average of 32% of their sealed price based on current TCGPlayer market prices and community-sourced pull rate data from 718+ pack openings.