Twilight Masquerade Booster Box
36 packs
24.6%
return
$78.48
market EV
$319.40
sealed price
You lose ~$240.92 on average
How the EV is Calculated
EV per booster pack = $2.18
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 6 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$2.18 × 36 packs = $78.48
This product contains 36 booster packs.
$78.48 ÷ $319.40 = 24.6% return
Sealed price is the average TCGPlayer market price. Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
Cash-Out EV: $50.23 — applies a 0.64x multiplier to account for TCGPlayer/eBay fees (~13%), shipping, and the gap between market price and actual sale price.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a single rarity tier contributes to the $2.18 EV per pack. For this 36-pack product, multiply by 36.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/36pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 21 | $10.64 | 7.70% | $0.82 | $29.52 | 37.6% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 11 | $55.50 | 1.20% | $0.67 | $24.12 | 30.7% |
| ACE SPEC Rare(ACE) | 6 | $4.96 | 5.10% | $0.25 | $9.00 | 11.5% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 21 | $3.35 | 6.60% | $0.22 | $7.92 | 10.1% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 14 | $0.99 | 16.90% | $0.17 | $6.12 | 7.8% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $7.22 | 0.68% | $0.05 | $1.80 | 2.3% |
| Total | $2.18 | $78.48 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Twilight Masquerade, sorted by how much they contribute to EV. "Your odds" shows the chance of pulling that specific card in this 36-pack product.
Greninja ex - 214/167
#214/167 · Special Illustration Rare
Your odds: 3.9% (36 packs)
$284.06
+$11.16 EV
Eevee - 188/167
#188/167 · Illustration Rare
Your odds: 12.4% (36 packs)
$65.27
+$8.62 EV
Chansey - 187/167
#187/167 · Illustration Rare
Your odds: 12.4% (36 packs)
$33.13
+$4.37 EV
Unfair Stamp
#165/167 · ACE SPEC Rare
Your odds: 26.5% (36 packs)
$13.90
+$4.25 EV
Perrin - 220/167
#220/167 · Special Illustration Rare
Your odds: 3.9% (36 packs)
$103.31
+$4.06 EV
Secret Box
#163/167 · ACE SPEC Rare
Your odds: 26.5% (36 packs)
$13.07
+$4.00 EV
Tatsugiri - 186/167
#186/167 · Illustration Rare
Your odds: 12.4% (36 packs)
$19.15
+$2.53 EV
Carmine - 217/167
#217/167 · Special Illustration Rare
Your odds: 3.9% (36 packs)
$56.25
+$2.21 EV
Dragapult ex - 200/167
#200/167 · Ultra Rare
Your odds: 10.7% (36 packs)
$11.07
+$1.25 EV
Teal Mask Ogerpon ex - 025/167
#025/167 · Double Rare
Your odds: 35.4% (36 packs)
$2.51
+$1.09 EV
Assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Twilight-Masquerade-Pull-Rates, https://pokepatch.com/2025/05/18/twilight-masquerade-pull-rates-in-pokemon-tcg-set/). Your results will vary.
- ●Sealed price ($319.40) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Cash-Out EV uses a 0.64x multiplier (~36% haircut) for fees, shipping, and price-to-sale gap.
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.