Scarlet & Violet ETB
9 packs + $1.00 in promos
17.5%
return
$17.56
market EV
$100.22
sealed price
You lose ~$82.66 on average
How the EV is Calculated
EV per booster pack = $1.84
Sum of (average card value × pull rate) across all 5 rarity tiers. Based on 8,000 pack openings.
$1.84 × 9 packs = $16.56
This product contains 9 booster packs.
$16.56 + $1.00 promos = $17.56
Promo card value is based on live TCGPlayer prices.
$17.56 ÷ $100.22 = 17.5% return
Sealed price is the average TCGPlayer market price. Above 110% = Rip It, below 90% = Keep Sealed.
Cash-Out EV: $11.24 — applies a 0.64x multiplier to account for TCGPlayer/eBay fees (~13%), shipping, and the gap between market price and actual sale price.
EV by Rarity Tier
Each row shows how much a single rarity tier contributes to the $1.84 EV per pack. For this 9-pack product, multiply by 9.
| Rarity | Cards | Avg Value | Pull Rate | EV/Pack | EV/9pk | % of Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustration Rare(IR) | 24 | $12.20 | 7.70% | $0.94 | $8.46 | 51.1% |
| Special Illustration Rare(SIR) | 10 | $15.56 | 3.10% | $0.48 | $4.32 | 26.1% |
| Ultra Rare(UR) | 20 | $3.14 | 6.70% | $0.21 | $1.89 | 11.4% |
| Hyper Rare(HR) | 6 | $6.01 | 1.90% | $0.11 | $0.99 | 6.0% |
| Double Rare(RR) | 12 | $0.68 | 14.30% | $0.10 | $0.90 | 5.4% |
| Total | $1.84 | $16.56 | 100% | |||
Top 10 Cards You Could Pull
The most valuable cards in Scarlet & Violet, sorted by how much they contribute to EV. "Your odds" shows the chance of pulling that specific card in this 9-pack product.
Gardevoir ex - 245/198
#245/198 · Special Illustration Rare
Your odds: 2.8% (9 packs)
$60.65
+$1.69 EV
Drowzee - 210/198
#210/198 · Illustration Rare
Your odds: 2.9% (9 packs)
$38.19
+$1.10 EV
Kirlia - 212/198
#212/198 · Illustration Rare
Your odds: 2.9% (9 packs)
$34.50
+$1.00 EV
Ralts - 211/198
#211/198 · Illustration Rare
Your odds: 2.9% (9 packs)
$30.25
+$0.87 EV
Miriam - 251/198
#251/198 · Special Illustration Rare
Your odds: 2.8% (9 packs)
$22.32
+$0.62 EV
Miraidon ex - 244/198
#244/198 · Special Illustration Rare
Your odds: 2.8% (9 packs)
$19.20
+$0.54 EV
Arcanine ex - 224/198
#224/198 · Ultra Rare
Your odds: 3.0% (9 packs)
$9.84
+$0.30 EV
Gyarados ex - 225/198
#225/198 · Ultra Rare
Your odds: 3.0% (9 packs)
$8.80
+$0.27 EV
Basic Fighting Energy - 258/198
#258/198 · Hyper Rare
Your odds: 2.8% (9 packs)
$8.12
+$0.23 EV
Miraidon ex - 253/198
#253/198 · Hyper Rare
Your odds: 2.8% (9 packs)
$6.49
+$0.18 EV
Assumptions
- ●Card prices are TCGPlayer market prices via TCGCSV, updated daily. Actual selling prices may differ.
- ●Pull rates are community-sourced from 8,000 pack openings (https://www.tcgplayer.com/content/article/Pokemon-TCG-Scarlet-Violet-Pull-Rates/a7702fce-dd64-4a58-beb1-0f871c853215/, https://www.digitaltq.com/scarlet-violet-pull-rates-pokemon-tcg, https://cardshoplive.com/pages/hit-rates-for-pokemon-tcg-scarlet-and-violet). Your results will vary.
- ●Sealed price ($100.22) is the average TCGPlayer market price across all variants of this product.
- ●Promo value ($1.00) is based on estimated value of included promos.
- ●Cash-Out EV uses a 0.64x multiplier (~36% haircut) for fees, shipping, and price-to-sale gap.
- ●EV is an average. Any single opening can be much higher or lower. High-value chase cards are rare — most packs return bulk.