Sports Starter Pack
Sell on Marketplace is +$1.38 — close to breakeven.
+$1.38
you gain on avg
$27.13
market EV
$25.00
pack price
+5% net return (best scenario: Sell on Marketplace)
Updated just now
Cash-Out Scenarios
Your actual return depends on how you exit. Toggle between scenarios to see the all-in cost breakdown.
| Pack price | $25.00 |
| CC processing (~3%) | +$0.75 |
| Total cost | $25.75 |
| Market EV | $27.13 |
| Buyback cut (10%) | −$2.71 |
| Net EV (Instant Buyback) | $24.42 |
Odds Breakdown
Each tier shows the probability and value range for cards you could pull. EV contribution = midpoint value × probability.
| Tier | Odds | Value Range | Midpoint | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| base | 48.2% | $12.50–$20.00 | $16.25 | $7.83(29%) |
| common | 24.0% | $20.00–$25.00 | $22.50 | $5.40(20%) |
| uncommon | 22.0% | $25.00–$50.00 | $37.50 | $8.25(30%) |
| rare | 5.0% | $50.00–$100.00 | $75.00 | $3.75(14%) |
| chase | 0.6% | $100.00–$200.00 | $150.00 | $0.90(3%) |
| epic | 0.2% | $200.00–$800.00 | $500.00 | $1.00(4%) |
| Market EV | $27.13 | |||
Chase Cards
The top cards in this pack's pool, sorted by estimated value.
2023 Topps Chrome Mcdonald's All-American #68 Bronny James - Blue Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2023 Panini Select #126 Gradey Dick - Tiger Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2023 Panini Impeccable Rookie Autographs #RAAR Anthony Richardson - Silver (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1958 Topps #13 Billy Hoeft - White Name-Orange Triangle (PSA 8 NM-MT)
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2023 Panini Prizm Monopoly #48 Jaime Jaquez Jr. - Question Mark (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2022 Panini Mosaic Collage Autographs Mosaic #CMBAN Paolo Banchero - Blue (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2018 Topps Gallery #126 Juan Soto - Autograph (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2008 Stadium Club #107 Clayton Kershaw - Photographer's Proof-Blue (PSA 8 NM-MT)
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2023 Panini Prizm #137 Jaime Jaquez Jr. - White Ice (PSA 9 MINT)
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2024 Panini Prizm Draft Picks Signatures #SBUE Paige Bueckers (PSA 9 MINT)
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2023 Panini Stars & Stripes USA Kaboom! #K2 Wyatt Langford (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1962 Topps #313 Maris Blasts 61st (PSA 8 NM-MT)
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1997 Bowman Chrome International #85 Mike Piazza - Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1991 Hoops Prototypes 00 #004 Michael Jordan (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Prizm #400 JJ McCarthy - Autograph (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1956 Topps #33 Roberto Clemente - White Back (PSA 2 GOOD)
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1982 Fleer #576 John Littlefield - Pitching Lefty (PSA 8 NM-MT)
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1963 Topps #553 1963 Rookie Stars (PSA 7 NM)
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1996 Metal Universe #87 Derek Jeter (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Bowman's Best Best of 2024 Autographs #B24JC Jac Caglianone - Green Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Instant Nil College Football Open Edition Autographs #IAOE6 Julian Sayin (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2006 Finest #1 Carmelo Anthony - Black Refractor (PSA 9 MINT)
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1958 Topps #5 Willie Mays (SGC 5 EX)
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2002 Fleer Authentix WNBA #101 Sue Bird (PSA 9 MINT)
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2023 Bowman University Chrome #36 Travis Hunter - Autograph-Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2022 Bowman Chrome #CPA-RD Rayne Doncon - Auto. Gold Mini-Dia. Ref. (SGC 10 GEM MINT)
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1956 Topps #292 Luis Aparicio (PSA 7 NM)
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1958 Topps #418 Mickey Mantle/Hank Aaron - World Series Batting Foes (PSA 5 EX)
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2023 Panini Donruss Optic International Downtown #1 Eli Manning (PSA 9 MINT)
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2018 Panini Obsidian #67 LeBron James (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPABR Bryce Rainer - Purple Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Donruss Optic #248 Jayden Daniels - Orange Scope (PSA 9 MINT)
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2019 Panini Contenders Optic #126 Kyler Murray - Autograph-Red (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2023 Panini Prizm #343 Anthony Richardson - Red Wave Prizm (SGC 9.5 MINT+)
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2024 Topps Chrome Ultraviolet All-Stars #UV13 Juan Soto - Black Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1953 Topps #228 Hal Newhouser (PSA 5 EX)
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1986 Fleer #55 Steve Johnson (PSA 9 MINT)
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2018 Topps Chrome Update #HMT1 Shohei Ohtani (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1957 Topps #10 Willie Mays (SGC 4 VG-EX)
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2019 Panini Contenders #101 Kyler Murray - Autograph-Red Zone (PSA 9 MINT)
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1979 Topps #13 Kevin Porter (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPABW Brock Wilken - Hta Gold Lava (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2023 Bowman University Chrome Bowman Chrome Prospects Autographs #ZR Zaccharie Risacher - Lava Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2018 Topps Clearly Authentic #OA Ozzie Albies - Autograph (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPAEM Esteban Mejia - Blue Refractor (PSA 9 MINT)
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1960 Fleer #3 Babe Ruth (SGC 6 EX-MT)
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2019 Panini Contenders Optic #113 RJ Barrett - SP-Autograph-Red (PSA 9 MINT)
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2025 Topps Takashi Murakami + MLB World Tour Tokyo Series #1 Shohei Ohtani (PSA 8 NM-MT)
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2024 Panini Donruss Optic #266 Ladd McConkey - Blue Glitter (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2023 Bowman Sterling Prospect Autographs #PAJML Jackson Merrill (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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Assumptions
- ●Odds and prices come from Courtyard's public API, updated hourly.
- ●EV uses the midpoint of each tier's value range. Actual card values vary within each tier.
- ●Credit card processing estimated at 3%. Pay with USDC to avoid this fee.
- ●Domestic shipping estimated at $8 + $2 handling for the redeem scenario. International shipping costs more.
- ●EV is an average. Any single rip can be much higher or lower. Chase cards are rare.