Rip or Flip
Sports · Diamond · Courtyard
TOSS UP

Sports Diamond Pack

Sell on Marketplace is +$28.95 — close to breakeven.

+$28.95

you gain on avg

$1058.95

market EV

$1000.00

pack price

+3% net return (best scenario: Sell on Marketplace)

Updated just now

Cash-Out Scenarios

Your actual return depends on how you exit. Toggle between scenarios to see the all-in cost breakdown.

TOSS UP−7%net return
Pack price$1000.00
CC processing (~3%)+$30.00
Total cost$1030.00
Market EV$1058.95
Buyback cut (10%)$105.89
Net EV (Instant Buyback)$953.06

Odds Breakdown

Each tier shows the probability and value range for cards you could pull. EV contribution = midpoint value × probability.

Odds breakdown by value tier
TierOddsValue RangeMidpointEV Contribution
base44.8%$700.00$850.00$775.00$347.20(33%)
common31.0%$850.00$1000.00$925.00$286.75(27%)
uncommon21.0%$1000.00$2000.00$1500.00$315.00(30%)
rare3.0%$2000.00$4000.00$3000.00$90.00(8%)
chase0.2%$4000.00$16000.00$10000.00$20.00(2%)
Market EV$1058.95

Chase Cards

The top cards in this pack's pool, sorted by estimated value.

1
2020 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown #DT1 Pat Tillman (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2020 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown #DT1 Pat Tillman (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2
1996 Spx #R1 Michael Jordan - Record Breaker-Auto. (PSA 8 NM-MT)

1996 Spx #R1 Michael Jordan - Record Breaker-Auto. (PSA 8 NM-MT)

3
2018 Panini Contenders #105 Josh Allen - Variation-Autograph-Ticket Stub (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2018 Panini Contenders #105 Josh Allen - Variation-Autograph-Ticket Stub (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

4
2017 Panini Contenders Optic #103 Patrick Mahomes II - Autograph (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

2017 Panini Contenders Optic #103 Patrick Mahomes II - Autograph (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

5
1951 Bowman #305 Willie Mays (SGC 5 EX)

1951 Bowman #305 Willie Mays (SGC 5 EX)

6
1948 Leaf #79 Jackie Robinson (PSA 3 VG)

1948 Leaf #79 Jackie Robinson (PSA 3 VG)

7
2020 Panini Flawless Rookie Dual Patch Autographs #RDPAJL Jordan Love - Bronze (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2020 Panini Flawless Rookie Dual Patch Autographs #RDPAJL Jordan Love - Bronze (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

8
1949 Bowman #50 Jackie Robinson (PSA 5 EX)

1949 Bowman #50 Jackie Robinson (PSA 5 EX)

9
2000 Press Pass Autograph #3 Tom Brady (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2000 Press Pass Autograph #3 Tom Brady (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

10
2022 Panini Contenders Optic #112 Jalen Williams - Autograph-Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2022 Panini Contenders Optic #112 Jalen Williams - Autograph-Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

11
1951 Bowman #253 Mickey Mantle (SGC 2.5 GOOD+)

1951 Bowman #253 Mickey Mantle (SGC 2.5 GOOD+)

12
2000 Bowman Chrome #236 Tom Brady (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2000 Bowman Chrome #236 Tom Brady (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

13
1996 Topps Chrome #171 Allen Iverson - Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

1996 Topps Chrome #171 Allen Iverson - Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

14
1953 Topps #244 Willie Mays (PSA 5.5 EX+)

1953 Topps #244 Willie Mays (PSA 5.5 EX+)

15
1997 Topps Rock Stars #RS1 Michael Jordan - Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

1997 Topps Rock Stars #RS1 Michael Jordan - Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

16
2017 Panini Contenders Rookie of the Year Contenders Autographs #RY-PM Patrick Mahomes II (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

2017 Panini Contenders Rookie of the Year Contenders Autographs #RY-PM Patrick Mahomes II (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

17
2020 Panini National Treasures #158 Justin Herbert - Patch Autograph-Stars & Stripes (BGS 9 MINT)

2020 Panini National Treasures #158 Justin Herbert - Patch Autograph-Stars & Stripes (BGS 9 MINT)

18
2004 Upper Deck Trilogy Trimarks 1 or 2 #TMHJM Dwight Howard/LeBron James/Yao Ming - 2 (PSA 7 NM)

2004 Upper Deck Trilogy Trimarks 1 or 2 #TMHJM Dwight Howard/LeBron James/Yao Ming - 2 (PSA 7 NM)

19
1998 Skybox E-X Century Dunk 'N Go-Nuts #15DG Michael Jordan (PSA 9 MINT)

1998 Skybox E-X Century Dunk 'N Go-Nuts #15DG Michael Jordan (PSA 9 MINT)

20
2022 Panini Flawless Vertical Patch Autographs #VPAPBC Paolo Banchero (PSA 9 MINT)

2022 Panini Flawless Vertical Patch Autographs #VPAPBC Paolo Banchero (PSA 9 MINT)

21
1986 Fleer #57 Michael Jordan (PSA 8 NM-MT)

1986 Fleer #57 Michael Jordan (PSA 8 NM-MT)

22
2021 Panini Flawless Dual Diamond Memorabilia #DD3 Joe Burrow/Justin Herbert - Platinum 1/1 (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2021 Panini Flawless Dual Diamond Memorabilia #DD3 Joe Burrow/Justin Herbert - Platinum 1/1 (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

23
1952 Topps #312 Jackie Robinson (PSA 3.5 VG+)

1952 Topps #312 Jackie Robinson (PSA 3.5 VG+)

24
2020 Panini Select Signatures Prizm #SITBR Tom Brady - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2020 Panini Select Signatures Prizm #SITBR Tom Brady - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

25
2019 Bowman Prospect Autographs Chrome #JRO Julio Rodriguez - Gold Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2019 Bowman Prospect Autographs Chrome #JRO Julio Rodriguez - Gold Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

26
2018 Panini National Treasures #163 Josh Allen - Patch Autograph-Green Jersey Number (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

2018 Panini National Treasures #163 Josh Allen - Patch Autograph-Green Jersey Number (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

27
2024 Panini National Treasures Stars and Stripes Premium #156 JJ McCarthy JSY AU (BGS 8 NM-MT)

2024 Panini National Treasures Stars and Stripes Premium #156 JJ McCarthy JSY AU (BGS 8 NM-MT)

28
1955 Topps #164 Roberto Clemente (PSA 6 EX-MT)

1955 Topps #164 Roberto Clemente (PSA 6 EX-MT)

29
2001 Topps Pristine Autographs #ATD Tim Duncan (BGS 10 PRISTINE)

2001 Topps Pristine Autographs #ATD Tim Duncan (BGS 10 PRISTINE)

30
2020 Panini Select Rookie Signatures #RSEDW Anthony Edwards - Gold Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2020 Panini Select Rookie Signatures #RSEDW Anthony Edwards - Gold Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

31
2013 Bowman Chrome Draft Picks & Prospects Autographs #BCAAJ Aaron Judge (BGS 10 PRISTINE)

2013 Bowman Chrome Draft Picks & Prospects Autographs #BCAAJ Aaron Judge (BGS 10 PRISTINE)

32
2000 SP Authentic #118 Tom Brady (BGS 9 MINT)

2000 SP Authentic #118 Tom Brady (BGS 9 MINT)

33
1948 Leaf #79 Jackie Robinson (PSA 1.5 FR)

1948 Leaf #79 Jackie Robinson (PSA 1.5 FR)

34
1960 Topps #148 Carl Yastrzemski - Rookie Star (PSA 8.5 NM-MT+)

1960 Topps #148 Carl Yastrzemski - Rookie Star (PSA 8.5 NM-MT+)

35
2020 Panini Donruss #P301 Joe Burrow - Optic Preview-Gold (PSA 9 MINT)

2020 Panini Donruss #P301 Joe Burrow - Optic Preview-Gold (PSA 9 MINT)

36
2023 Panini Prizm #127 Keyonte George - Gold Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Panini Prizm #127 Keyonte George - Gold Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

37
2023 Panini National Treasures Crossover Rookie Patch Autographs NFL Shield #2 Anthony Richardson (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

2023 Panini National Treasures Crossover Rookie Patch Autographs NFL Shield #2 Anthony Richardson (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

38
1993 Skybox Premium Showdown Series #SS5 D.Robinson/H.Olajuwon (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

1993 Skybox Premium Showdown Series #SS5 D.Robinson/H.Olajuwon (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

39
2024 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Vertical #12 Joe Milton III - Gold (PSA 9 MINT)

2024 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Vertical #12 Joe Milton III - Gold (PSA 9 MINT)

40
2018 Panini National Treasures Rookie Material Signatures RPS Black #5 Lamar Jackson/3 (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

2018 Panini National Treasures Rookie Material Signatures RPS Black #5 Lamar Jackson/3 (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

41
2007 Exquisite Collection Exclusives Autographs Patches #MJ Michael Jordan/23 (BGS 9 MINT)

2007 Exquisite Collection Exclusives Autographs Patches #MJ Michael Jordan/23 (BGS 9 MINT)

42
1970 Topps #712 Nolan Ryan (SGC 9 MINT)

1970 Topps #712 Nolan Ryan (SGC 9 MINT)

43
2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPARA Roman Anthony - Gold Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #CPARA Roman Anthony - Gold Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

44
2024 Bowman Chrome Chrome Rookie Autographs #CRAYY Yoshinobu Yamamoto - Gold Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Bowman Chrome Chrome Rookie Autographs #CRAYY Yoshinobu Yamamoto - Gold Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

45
2018 Panini Prizm #280 Luka Doncic - Fast Break Prizm-Purple (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2018 Panini Prizm #280 Luka Doncic - Fast Break Prizm-Purple (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

46
2018 Panini Kaboom! #PMA Patrick Mahomes II (PSA 9 MINT)

2018 Panini Kaboom! #PMA Patrick Mahomes II (PSA 9 MINT)

47
1986 Fleer #57 Michael Jordan (PSA 3 VG)

1986 Fleer #57 Michael Jordan (PSA 3 VG)

48
1985 Star Last 11 ROY's #1 Michael Jordan (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

1985 Star Last 11 ROY's #1 Michael Jordan (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

49
1985 Star Last 11 Roys #1 Michael Jordan (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

1985 Star Last 11 Roys #1 Michael Jordan (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

50
2015 Panini Immaculate Collection #101 Karl-Anthony Towns - Autograph Patch (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2015 Panini Immaculate Collection #101 Karl-Anthony Towns - Autograph Patch (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

Rip this pack on Courtyard →

Assumptions

  • Odds and prices come from Courtyard's public API, updated hourly.
  • EV uses the midpoint of each tier's value range. Actual card values vary within each tier.
  • Credit card processing estimated at 3%. Pay with USDC to avoid this fee.
  • Domestic shipping estimated at $8 + $2 handling for the redeem scenario. International shipping costs more.
  • EV is an average. Any single rip can be much higher or lower. Chase cards are rare.
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