Limited Drop · Starter · Courtyard
TOSS UPDay 5: Vintage Pack
Instant Buyback is −$0.22 — close to breakeven.
−$0.22
you lose on avg
$101.75
market EV
$99.00
pack price
−0% net return (best scenario: Instant Buyback)
Updated just now
Cash-Out Scenarios
Your actual return depends on how you exit. Toggle between scenarios to see the all-in cost breakdown.
TOSS UP−0%net return
| Pack price | $99.00 |
| CC processing (~3%) | +$2.97 |
| Total cost | $101.97 |
| Market EV | $101.75 |
| Buyback cut (0%) | −$0.00 |
| Net EV (Instant Buyback) | $101.75 |
Odds Breakdown
Each tier shows the probability and value range for cards you could pull. EV contribution = midpoint value × probability.
| Tier | Odds | Value Range | Midpoint | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| base | 52.9% | $49.80–$75.00 | $62.40 | $33.01(32%) |
| common | 17.0% | $75.00–$99.00 | $87.00 | $14.79(15%) |
| uncommon | 25.0% | $99.00–$198.00 | $148.50 | $37.13(36%) |
| rare | 5.0% | $198.00–$396.00 | $297.00 | $14.85(15%) |
| epic | 0.1% | $792.00–$3168.00 | $1980.00 | $1.98(2%) |
| Market EV | $101.75 | |||
Chase Cards
The top cards in this pack's pool, sorted by estimated value.
1
2009 Pokémon Movie Commemoration Random Pack #010 Spiky-Eared Pichu (PSA 8 NM-MT)
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2
2005 Pokémon EX Delta Species #111 Groudon - Holo Gold Star (PSA 1 PR)
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3
2003 Aquapolis #H29 Umbreon - Holo (BGS 7.5 NM+)
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4
2000 Neo Genesis #36/111 Gloom - 1st Edition (CGC 10 GEM MINT)
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Assumptions
- ●Odds and prices come from Courtyard's public API, updated hourly.
- ●EV uses the midpoint of each tier's value range. Actual card values vary within each tier.
- ●Credit card processing estimated at 3%. Pay with USDC to avoid this fee.
- ●Domestic shipping estimated at $8 + $2 handling for the redeem scenario. International shipping costs more.
- ●EV is an average. Any single rip can be much higher or lower. Chase cards are rare.