Limited Drop · Starter · Courtyard
TOSS UPDay 4: Dragon Pack
Instant Buyback is −$0.06 — close to breakeven.
−$0.06
you lose on avg
$101.91
market EV
$99.00
pack price
−0% net return (best scenario: Instant Buyback)
Updated just now
Cash-Out Scenarios
Your actual return depends on how you exit. Toggle between scenarios to see the all-in cost breakdown.
TOSS UP−0%net return
| Pack price | $99.00 |
| CC processing (~3%) | +$2.97 |
| Total cost | $101.97 |
| Market EV | $101.91 |
| Buyback cut (0%) | −$0.00 |
| Net EV (Instant Buyback) | $101.91 |
Odds Breakdown
Each tier shows the probability and value range for cards you could pull. EV contribution = midpoint value × probability.
| Tier | Odds | Value Range | Midpoint | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| base | 43.0% | $48.20–$75.00 | $61.60 | $26.49(26%) |
| common | 15.0% | $75.00–$99.00 | $87.00 | $13.05(13%) |
| uncommon | 42.0% | $99.00–$198.00 | $148.50 | $62.37(61%) |
| Market EV | $101.91 | |||
Assumptions
- ●Odds and prices come from Courtyard's public API, updated hourly.
- ●EV uses the midpoint of each tier's value range. Actual card values vary within each tier.
- ●Credit card processing estimated at 3%. Pay with USDC to avoid this fee.
- ●Domestic shipping estimated at $8 + $2 handling for the redeem scenario. International shipping costs more.
- ●EV is an average. Any single rip can be much higher or lower. Chase cards are rare.