Football Starter Pack
Sell on Marketplace is +$0.97 — close to breakeven.
+$0.97
you gain on avg
$26.72
market EV
$25.00
pack price
+4% net return (best scenario: Sell on Marketplace)
Updated just now
Cash-Out Scenarios
Your actual return depends on how you exit. Toggle between scenarios to see the all-in cost breakdown.
| Pack price | $25.00 |
| CC processing (~3%) | +$0.75 |
| Total cost | $25.75 |
| Market EV | $26.72 |
| Buyback cut (10%) | −$2.67 |
| Net EV (Instant Buyback) | $24.05 |
Odds Breakdown
Each tier shows the probability and value range for cards you could pull. EV contribution = midpoint value × probability.
| Tier | Odds | Value Range | Midpoint | EV Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| base | 45.5% | $12.50–$20.00 | $16.25 | $7.39(28%) |
| common | 27.0% | $20.00–$25.00 | $22.50 | $6.08(23%) |
| uncommon | 22.0% | $25.00–$50.00 | $37.50 | $8.25(31%) |
| rare | 5.0% | $50.00–$100.00 | $75.00 | $3.75(14%) |
| chase | 0.5% | $100.00–$400.00 | $250.00 | $1.25(5%) |
| Market EV | $26.72 | |||
Chase Cards
The top cards in this pack's pool, sorted by estimated value.
2021 Panini National Treasures the Future Autographs #TFZW Zach Wilson - Holo Silver (PSA 9 MINT)
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2021 Panini Prizm #382 Micah Parsons - Autograph-No Huddle (PSA 9 MINT)
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2023 Topps Now #D1A Bryce Young - Autograph (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2004 SP Authentic #101 Jared Allen (PSA 9 MINT)
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2023 Bowman University Chrome 1955 Bowman Autograph #55BJA Jackson Arnold - Gold Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Bowman University Chrome Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs #PANIA Nico Iamaleava - Yellow Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2001 Upper Deck Top Tier #227 Ladainian Tomlinson (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2021 Panini Contenders #111 Najee Harris - Autograph-Championship (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2023 Panini Prizm #397 Will Levis - Blue Shimmer (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Origins Dual Rookie Autographs #DA3 Michael Penix Jr./Rome Odunze (PSA 9 MINT)
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2023 Panini Prizm #305 Bijan Robinson - Red Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2020 Panini Prizm #307 Joe Burrow - Lazer Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Donruss Optic Uptowns #10 JJ McCarthy (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Absolute Explosive #EXJBW Joe Burrow (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2021 Panini Phoenix #101 Trevor Lawrence - Autograph (PSA 9 MINT)
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2020 Panini National Treasures Stars and Stripes Premium #162 Jake Fromm JSY AU (BGS 9 MINT)
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2020 Panini Prizm #343 Jalen Hurts - Green Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Prizm #347 Jayden Daniels - Orange Ice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Prizm Draft Picks Draft Picks Autographs #DPAJMY JJ McCarthy - Orange Wave (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Topps Cosmic Chrome Planetary Pursuit #JD Jayden Daniels - Sun (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Donruss Optic #235 JJ McCarthy - Fire (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Donruss Optic Uptowns #25 Terry Bradshaw (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2022 Bowman University Chrome Prospects #100 CJ Stroud - Autograph-Lava Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2019 Panini Select #87 Travis Kelce - Pink Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Donruss #308 Michael Penix Jr. - Optic Preview-Purple (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2021 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown #DT26 Derek Carr (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2021 Panini Contenders Optic #108 Justin Fields - Autograph (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2022 Panini Mosaic #276 Garrett Wilson - Black/Gold Choice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2020 Panini Prizm #307 Joe Burrow - Disco Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2017 Panini Absolute Rookie Force Relic #9 Patrick Mahomes II - Red (PSA 9 MINT)
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2020 Panini Donruss Optic Mythical #20 Jalen Hurts (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1999 Upper Deck Century Legends Epic Signatures #TB Terry Bradshaw - Epic Signatures (PSA 9 MINT)
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2023 Panini Prizm #329 Hendon Hooker - Navy Camo (PSA 9 MINT)
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2020 Panini Select #161 Justin Jefferson - White Prizm (PSA 9 MINT)
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2023 Bowman University Chrome #8 Brian Thomas Jr. - Autograph-Gold Lava (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1984 Topps USFL #36 Jim Kelly (PSA 9 MINT)
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2019 Panini National Treasures Rookie Material Signatures #RMSDJ Daniel Jones (PSA 9 MINT)
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2017 Absolute Glass #27 Ben Roethlisberger EXCH (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)
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2022 Panini Select Phenomenon #PHE2 Justin Fields - Gold Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1956 Topps #118 Lamar McHan (PSA 7 NM)
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2000 Skybox Dominion #234 Giovanni Carmazzi/Tom Brady (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2021 Panini Absolute Kaboom! #K50 Najee Harris (PSA 9 MINT)
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2021 Panini Contenders Draft Class Autographs Rps #DCAJWA Jaylen Waddle (PSA 9 MINT)
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2023 Bowman University Chrome the Big Kahuna #TBK12 Travis Hunter (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2022 Bowman University Prime Chrome Signatures #PCSDA Drew Allar - Orange Refractor (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2021 Panini Prizm #337 JA'Marr Chase - Silver Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2024 Panini Donruss Optic #266 Ladd McConkey - Blue Glitter (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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2019 Panini Select #76 Kyler Murray - Tri-Color Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)
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1971 Topps #71 Alan Page (PSA 8 NM-MT)
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2022 Panini Mosaic Will to Win #WW2 Joe Burrow - Blue Fluorescent (PSA 9 MINT)
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Assumptions
- ●Odds and prices come from Courtyard's public API, updated hourly.
- ●EV uses the midpoint of each tier's value range. Actual card values vary within each tier.
- ●Credit card processing estimated at 3%. Pay with USDC to avoid this fee.
- ●Domestic shipping estimated at $8 + $2 handling for the redeem scenario. International shipping costs more.
- ●EV is an average. Any single rip can be much higher or lower. Chase cards are rare.