Rip or Flip
Football · Platinum · Courtyard
TOSS UP

Football Platinum Pack

Sell on Marketplace is +$18.23 — close to breakeven.

+$18.23

you gain on avg

$533.23

market EV

$500.00

pack price

+4% net return (best scenario: Sell on Marketplace)

Updated just now

Cash-Out Scenarios

Your actual return depends on how you exit. Toggle between scenarios to see the all-in cost breakdown.

TOSS UP−7%net return
Pack price$500.00
CC processing (~3%)+$15.00
Total cost$515.00
Market EV$533.23
Buyback cut (10%)$53.32
Net EV (Instant Buyback)$479.91

Odds Breakdown

Each tier shows the probability and value range for cards you could pull. EV contribution = midpoint value × probability.

Odds breakdown by value tier
TierOddsValue RangeMidpointEV Contribution
base39.8%$350.00$425.00$387.50$154.22(29%)
common36.0%$425.00$500.00$462.50$166.50(31%)
uncommon21.0%$500.00$1000.00$750.00$157.50(30%)
rare3.0%$1000.00$2000.00$1500.00$45.00(8%)
chase0.2%$2000.00$8000.00$5000.00$10.00(2%)
Market EV$533.23

Chase Cards

The top cards in this pack's pool, sorted by estimated value.

1
2018 Panini Kaboom! #PMA Patrick Mahomes II (PSA 9 MINT)

2018 Panini Kaboom! #PMA Patrick Mahomes II (PSA 9 MINT)

2
2023 Topps Composite Jumbo Patch Autographs Vertical Black #CJPAVBY Bryce Young (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

2023 Topps Composite Jumbo Patch Autographs Vertical Black #CJPAVBY Bryce Young (BGS 8.5 NM-MT+)

3
2023 Panini Prizm #311 Bryce Young - Gold Prizm (PSA 9 MINT)

2023 Panini Prizm #311 Bryce Young - Gold Prizm (PSA 9 MINT)

4
1998 SkyBox Premium Star Rubies #189 Emmitt Smith (BGS 7 NM)

1998 SkyBox Premium Star Rubies #189 Emmitt Smith (BGS 7 NM)

5
2023 Panini Flawless Collegiate Star Swatch Signatures #SSSCW Caleb Williams - Pink (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Panini Flawless Collegiate Star Swatch Signatures #SSSCW Caleb Williams - Pink (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

6
2020 Panini Flawless Rookie Dual Patch Autographs #RDPATT Tua Tagovailoa - Silver (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2020 Panini Flawless Rookie Dual Patch Autographs #RDPATT Tua Tagovailoa - Silver (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

7
2023 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #D1 Bryce Young - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #D1 Bryce Young - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

8
2005 Playoff Absolute Memorabilia Absolute Patches #AP-23 Tom Brady (PSA 8 NM-MT)

2005 Playoff Absolute Memorabilia Absolute Patches #AP-23 Tom Brady (PSA 8 NM-MT)

9
2023 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #D3 Anthony Richardson - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #D3 Anthony Richardson - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

10
2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Duos #13 Bo Nix/John Elway - Black Pandora (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

2024 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown Duos #13 Bo Nix/John Elway - Black Pandora (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

11
2023 Panini Prizm Color Blast #CB6 CJ Stroud (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Panini Prizm Color Blast #CB6 CJ Stroud (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

12
2024 Panini Prizm #378 Michael Penix Jr. - Gold Shimmer (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Panini Prizm #378 Michael Penix Jr. - Gold Shimmer (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

13
2020 Panini National Treasures #157 Tua Tagovailoa - Patch Autograph (BGS 8 NM-MT)

2020 Panini National Treasures #157 Tua Tagovailoa - Patch Autograph (BGS 8 NM-MT)

14
2021 Panini Contenders Optic #101 Trevor Lawrence - Autograph-Cracked Ice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2021 Panini Contenders Optic #101 Trevor Lawrence - Autograph-Cracked Ice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

15
2024 Panini Prizm #329 Drake Maye - Red Shimmer (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Panini Prizm #329 Drake Maye - Red Shimmer (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

16
2024 Panini Donruss Optic Uptowns #5 Marvin Harrison Jr. - Gold Vinyl 1/1 (PSA 8 NM-MT)

2024 Panini Donruss Optic Uptowns #5 Marvin Harrison Jr. - Gold Vinyl 1/1 (PSA 8 NM-MT)

17
2023 Panini Prizm #343 Anthony Richardson - Autograph-Green Shimmer (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Panini Prizm #343 Anthony Richardson - Autograph-Green Shimmer (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

18
1957 Topps #119 Bart Starr (PSA 7.5 NM+)

1957 Topps #119 Bart Starr (PSA 7.5 NM+)

19
2023 Panini Prizm #311 Bryce Young - Gold Shimmer (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Panini Prizm #311 Bryce Young - Gold Shimmer (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

20
2020 Panini Donruss Downtown #D-PAM Patrick Mahomes II (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2020 Panini Donruss Downtown #D-PAM Patrick Mahomes II (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

21
2020 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown #DT29 Patrick Mahomes II (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2020 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown #DT29 Patrick Mahomes II (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

22
2024 Panini Prizm #329 Drake Maye - Gold Shimmer (PSA 9 MINT)

2024 Panini Prizm #329 Drake Maye - Gold Shimmer (PSA 9 MINT)

23
2018 Panini Contenders Optic #112 Lamar Jackson - Autograph-Orange (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2018 Panini Contenders Optic #112 Lamar Jackson - Autograph-Orange (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

24
2022 Panini Contenders #263 Brock Purdy - Autograph-Ticket Stub (PSA 9 MINT)

2022 Panini Contenders #263 Brock Purdy - Autograph-Ticket Stub (PSA 9 MINT)

25
2020 Panini Prizm Color Blast #15 Jordan Love (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2020 Panini Prizm Color Blast #15 Jordan Love (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

26
2000 Bowman Chrome #236 Tom Brady (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

2000 Bowman Chrome #236 Tom Brady (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

27
2024 Panini Prizm Prizmania #3 Drake Maye (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Panini Prizm Prizmania #3 Drake Maye (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

28
2022 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Horizontal #KH9 Breece Hall - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2022 Panini Absolute Kaboom! Horizontal #KH9 Breece Hall - Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

29
2024 Panini Phoenix #19 Bryce Young - Black Hyper 1/1 (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Panini Phoenix #19 Bryce Young - Black Hyper 1/1 (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

30
2022 Panini Select #503 Anthony Richardson - Gold Prizm (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

2022 Panini Select #503 Anthony Richardson - Gold Prizm (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

31
2018 Panini Donruss Optic #154 Josh Allen - Autograph-Holo (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2018 Panini Donruss Optic #154 Josh Allen - Autograph-Holo (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

32
2024 Panini Select #477 Caleb Williams - Gold Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Panini Select #477 Caleb Williams - Gold Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

33
2020 Panini Contenders #109 Justin Jefferson - Variation-Autograph-Stub (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2020 Panini Contenders #109 Justin Jefferson - Variation-Autograph-Stub (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

34
2018 Panini Honors #13 Patrick Mahomes II - Signature-Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2018 Panini Honors #13 Patrick Mahomes II - Signature-Gold (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

35
2024 Panini Donruss #389 Jayden Daniels - Optic Preview-Gold Ice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Panini Donruss #389 Jayden Daniels - Optic Preview-Gold Ice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

36
2022 Panini Contenders #118 George Pickens - Autograph-Mosaic Clear Ticket 1/1 (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2022 Panini Contenders #118 George Pickens - Autograph-Mosaic Clear Ticket 1/1 (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

37
2024 Panini Prizm Color Blast #4 Bo Nix (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Panini Prizm Color Blast #4 Bo Nix (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

38
2016 Panini National Treasures Rookie Patch Autographs 10th Anniversary #101 Jared Goff (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

2016 Panini National Treasures Rookie Patch Autographs 10th Anniversary #101 Jared Goff (BGS 9.5 GEM MINT)

39
2024 Panini Prizm #301 Caleb Williams - White Sparkle (PSA 9 MINT)

2024 Panini Prizm #301 Caleb Williams - White Sparkle (PSA 9 MINT)

40
2023 Panini Donruss #339 CJ Stroud - Optic Preview-Gold Ice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Panini Donruss #339 CJ Stroud - Optic Preview-Gold Ice (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

41
2022 Panini Donruss Optic #121 Tua Tagovailoa - Holo (PSA 9 MINT)

2022 Panini Donruss Optic #121 Tua Tagovailoa - Holo (PSA 9 MINT)

42
2019 Panini Immaculate Collection Immaculate Eye Black Jersey Autograph #PMA Patrick Mahomes II - Gold (PSA 9 MINT)

2019 Panini Immaculate Collection Immaculate Eye Black Jersey Autograph #PMA Patrick Mahomes II - Gold (PSA 9 MINT)

43
2023 Panini Prizm #339 CJ Stroud - Blue Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Panini Prizm #339 CJ Stroud - Blue Prizm (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

44
2023 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #D3 Anthony Richardson - Black Pandora (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2023 Panini Donruss Optic Downtown! #D3 Anthony Richardson - Black Pandora (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

45
2024 Panini Prizm #301 Caleb Williams - Red Shimmer (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2024 Panini Prizm #301 Caleb Williams - Red Shimmer (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

46
2000 Bowman Chrome #236 Tom Brady (PSA 9 MINT)

2000 Bowman Chrome #236 Tom Brady (PSA 9 MINT)

47
2017 Panini Donruss Optic #177 Patrick Mahomes II - Lime (PSA 9 MINT)

2017 Panini Donruss Optic #177 Patrick Mahomes II - Lime (PSA 9 MINT)

48
2025 Leaf Metal Sports Heroes Win City Acetate #JD1 Jayden Daniels - Autograph-Sparkle 1/1 (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2025 Leaf Metal Sports Heroes Win City Acetate #JD1 Jayden Daniels - Autograph-Sparkle 1/1 (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

49
2021 Panini Mosaic #201 Tom Brady - Gold Mosaic (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

2021 Panini Mosaic #201 Tom Brady - Gold Mosaic (PSA 10 GEM MINT)

50
2023 Panini Prizm #343 Anthony Richardson - Forest Camo (PSA 9 MINT)

2023 Panini Prizm #343 Anthony Richardson - Forest Camo (PSA 9 MINT)

Rip this pack on Courtyard →

Assumptions

  • Odds and prices come from Courtyard's public API, updated hourly.
  • EV uses the midpoint of each tier's value range. Actual card values vary within each tier.
  • Credit card processing estimated at 3%. Pay with USDC to avoid this fee.
  • Domestic shipping estimated at $8 + $2 handling for the redeem scenario. International shipping costs more.
  • EV is an average. Any single rip can be much higher or lower. Chase cards are rare.
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